Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #VA10

Most recents (24)

Final Georgia EV update:

Exclamation point on Friday: +244K
EV total = nominally over 2.5mm

Context: Warnock campaign aspired to a 2.1mm EV cycle target. Anything >2.3mm = terrific, anything >2.4mm = almost unthinkable.

And then 2.5mm happened.

Gender spread? Women +10 !!!!
Context most favorable to Walker: Old Dixiecrats (white men & women >50yrs) showed up huge. Older white voters, both wealthy suburban & rural, are the largest % participation rate strata by a large measure.

Walker campaign did everything it needed to do to feed the MAGA beast…
That as given, GOP has a numbers problem along the Old Dixie I-95 corridor in VA, NC & in GA.

The pluses: older white voters are a group that has ardently showed up at rates >80% of RVs & is now breaking ~85% GOP straight ticket. It’s also a cluster growing on a nominal basis.
Read 9 tweets
🚨🚨🚨🧵Virginia Democrats to introduce legislation that would allow parents who don’t affirm their child’s “gender identity” to be criminally prosecuted. 1/
@NickMinock is reporting that @guzman4virginia is leading the charge to “expand the definition of child abuse to include parents that do not affirm their child’s gender identity.” /2 wjla.com/amp/news/crisi…
@guzman4virginia said that there would be a CPS investigation and “it could be a felony, it could be a misdemeanor, but we know that a CPS charge could harm your employment.” /3
Read 7 tweets
I came to the US as a refugee from a communist country, and have served all over the world. I've seen the weaponization of law enforcement for political purposes in failed states. It's stunning to see it happen here. I promise you: we do not want this for our country. (1/3)
The DOJ that signed off on this raid is the same DOJ that investigated concerned parents in #VA10 as “domestic terrorists.” Virginians are rightfully concerned that this is yet another step towards the criminalization of political disagreement in our country. (2/3)
Jennifer Wexton has supported these efforts every step of the way, voting with Joe Biden and Nancy Pelosi 100 percent of the time.

We will begin the work of returning to the values of our constitution and restoring trust in government on November 8th. (3/3)
Read 3 tweets
New: Virginia special masters' map eliminates Abigail Spanberger's (D) current suburban Richmond #VA07 & turns it into a safe Dem seat in Northern Virginia. Rep. Elaine Luria's #VA02 would remain highly competitive, for a 6D-4R-1C split overall.
By the numbers, this might be a slightly better map for Dems than the current one (5D-4R-2C), but much better for Republicans than had Democrats retained redistricting power and drawn an 8D-3R gerrymander.
This map would force Spanberger to move from the Richmond suburbs to Northern Virginia to keep a seat (the northern end of the current #VA07 is folded into Wexton's #VA10).

And, Rep. Elaine Luria's (D) #VA02 gets redder by losing Norfolk. It moves from Biden +5 to +2.
Read 4 tweets
On Cook's #VAGov ratings change:

What has to happen in Virginia is a combination of 3 things: McAuliffe significantly lags Biden margins with educated whites, gets low Black turnout, and faces high rural GOP turnout.

Could that happen? Definitely. Is that likely? IMO no.
Depths of the realignment in Virginia can't really be overstated here. Wexton won by 13 as Biden won by 19, and in this era of polarization, I veer towards thinking Wexton's numbers are near the floor for McAuliffe in that district, especially given his quasi-incumbency.
At the end of the day, I still think it's too big of a lift for Youngkin to successfully manage this. I'm not stupid enough to say it can't happen, because it absolutely can, but I'd be a bit wary of saying that it's a tossup (our model actually still has it as likely Democratic)
Read 5 tweets
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Read 51 tweets
Check it out!
ALL Democratic Candidates 50 STATES
#Congress2020 Govs AGs SoS
Postcards (Print & Share!) & Links to Follow & Support!
#PostcardsforAmerica
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets&Posts for each Candidate
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…
ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
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facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
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Read 51 tweets
It's #ElectionSeason! #Election2020 has begun!
#EarlyVoting already in:
IL MI MN MO NJ PA SD VA VT WY
Just to get you in the mood, here's a THREAD of the specifics on HOW TO #VoteByMail in each State AND all your Dem Candidates for House, Senate, AG, Governor & SoS
#VoteReady Image
Read 14 tweets
Check it out!
THREAD of all the Democratic Candidates!
50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs, SoS
With Postcards & Links to Follow & Support!
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Ready-made Tweets & Posts for each Candidate here
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ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
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GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
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#PostcardsforAmerica
ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
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#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
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Read 51 tweets
All hands on deck!
On #PostcardsforAmerica website
All Democratic Candidates for ALL 50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs & SoS
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Update Sep 12
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ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
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facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
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ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
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#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
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Follow & Support!
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Read 50 tweets
Want to check out all Democratic Candidates?
Pages on the #PostcardsforAmerica website with all Democratic Candidates for ALL 50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs & SoS
Postcards & Links to Follow & Support:
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
& ➡️ postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…

& follow @NDLB2020 Image
ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica Image
ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:
Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
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Read 50 tweets
New at @CookPolitical: House rating changes in 20 districts, all towards Democrats. I can’t recall the last time we moved so many races at once, let alone in the same direction.
More @CookPolitical: for the first time this cycle, Democrats have at least as good a chance of picking up House seats as Republicans on a net basis. cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…
(Here’s a graphic corrected for #WA03)
Read 8 tweets
House members will vote by proxy for the 1st time in chamber's 231-yr history beginning Wed. House clerk posted letters from mbrs who will not be physically present on House floor for votes due to COVID-19 pandemic & have given their proxies to other mbrs.
clerkpreview.house.gov/ProxyLetter#Ac…
1st term #CA39 Democratic @RepGilCisneros has designated his voting proxy to 1st term #PA06 Democratic @RepHoulahan. Image
3rd term #VA08 Democratic @RepDonBeyer, who represents one of the closest House districts to Capitol Hill, will vote by proxy for 7th term Democratic #TN09 @RepCohen, chair of the House Judiciary Subcommittee on the Constitution, Civil Rights, and Civil Liberties. Image
Read 59 tweets
A tour de force from ⁦@GerryConnolly⁩ about Virginia’s transformation from deep red to true blue during ⁦@VaDemocracy⁩ meeting. ⁦@FairfaxDems⁩ ⁦@DranesvilleDems
@GerryConnolly @VaDemocracy @FairfaxDems @DranesvilleDems Meeting was in #Dranesville.

Connolly: "In 1980s, Dranesville was seen out of reach and the only time @TheDemocrats won was when it was a three-way race. In 2007, @JohnFoustVA was first to win one-on-one. He won't be the last. Things have changed."
@GerryConnolly @VaDemocracy @FairfaxDems @DranesvilleDems @TheDemocrats @johnfoustva In 1995, Connolly first ran for #Fairfax, VA, Board of Supervisors, it was 6 R and 4 D. Connolly made it 5-5 and sound it was majority D and we've never looked back. 2019 made it 9-1. @FCPS School Board is 12-0.
Read 13 tweets
What a pleasure to get together with my colleagues to visit our Representative for #VA10 and being able to talk to a strong Democrat...our own @JenniferWexton!
This year I was asked to lead the congressional meeting with the Congresswoman as part of @AILANational #NDA2019. We stressed two things: a) zealously protecting due process of law, and b) holding federal agencies accountable.
We shared stories from our practices, talked about the invisible wall already built, judicial independence, businesses in NoVA suffering for lack of talent, and actual people from #VA10 who were forced to move to Canada or Australia because the US wouldn't approve their visas.
Read 4 tweets
I'm very excited to announce that State Senator @JenniferBoysko (SD-33) endorses our campaign in my bid for the Democratic nomination for the VA House of Delegates in District 87!

#Hassan4VA
Boysko took over the state Senate seat vacated by @JenniferWexton, now our Congresswoman from #VA10.

“When I was a newly elected House of Delegates member in 2013, one of my first priorities was ensuring that our most vulnerable communities could thrive in VA," said Boysko.
"In my advocacy at the state legislature, Hassan Ahmad helped me to lift up and share the experiences of Virginia residents affected by policies like the Virginia DREAM Act and driver’s licenses for the undocumented community."
Read 7 tweets
#116th New Congress convenes soon!
43 HOUSE SEATS FLIPPED BLUE! 🌊🌊🌊 #BlueWave2018
(*Net of 40) 64 New Democratic Members in the HOUSE!
with @TeamPelosi leading the way
What do they stand for?
⤵️THREAD of ALL New Blue Congressfolk⤵️
w/ graphic, campaign website links & Twitter
Arizona #AZ02 #116thCongress
Representative Ann Kirkpatrick
kirkpatrickforcongress.com/issues/
@Ann_Kirkpatrick

"Proud lifelong Arizonan, former prosecutor & congresswoman, independent voice for working Arizona families."

THREAD
Arizona #AZ09 #AZ9 #116thCongress
Representative Greg Stanton
Former Phoenix Mayor, Former Phoenix City Councilman & Attorney
stantonforarizona.com/issues
@gregstantonaz
Instagram.com/gregstantonaz
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THREAD
Read 67 tweets
Wexton running hot in #VA10. That's the district we door-knocked in 2016, so it'd be good to see Comstock lose, even if two years late.
Sweet. MSNBC calls #VA10.
Sherrod Brown isn't a surprise, but it's a lovely moment anyway.
Read 27 tweets
🚨MY MASTER THREAD of #Midterm2018 results analysis, including an array of data dives. Will the country chose to repudiate president Trump? Health care instead of the wall? RT & strap in, folks, tonight could be a wild ride. We get the first batch of results at around 6 PM ET.
Turnout has looked unprecedented for weeks now. Indications today that it could even beat these lofty expectations. At this point I think I’d buy for pickups in Tossup sub/urban seats like #TX07 #TX32 and #TX26, but sell in more rural districts that have looked like reaches.
Read 82 tweets
I made a list of the 55 House districts to watch, w/ the 32 key seats for Dems to win a net +23 to win the House. It’s also a viewing guide, organized roughly on poll closing times. (Based on @CookPolitical categories, @FiveThirtyEight, and the Hillary 25) shugerblog.com/2018/11/06/201…
2/ I'll post analysis of Senate and Governorships. Also watch the Attorneys General and State Supreme Court.
Texas, vote for my friend Justin @NelsonForTexas against an *indicted* and corrupt incumbent!
Justin is the real deal - super smart, devoted, hard working, progressive.
3/ Michigan, vote for @sbagen Sam Bagenstos for Supreme Court!
I can't imagine a better state supreme court justice. Brilliant scholar, rule-of-law defender, progressive perspective.
Michigan's Supreme Court has made huge decisions over the past decade. It needs Sam's wisdom.
Read 12 tweets
Why the slight shift? Let me try to explain what we've observed move post-Labor Day. There are basically 3 large buckets of House races we're watching...
1) Vulnerable Rs in upscale, suburban, Clinton-won "Whole Foods" districts like #VA10 Comstock, #KS03 Yoder, #CO06 Coffman, #MN03 Paulsen, #CA45 Walters, #NJ07 Lance, etc. These Rs are mostly trailing & their numbers haven't gotten any better recently.
2) Competitive races in redder, working-class districts that Trump won by double digits in '16, such as #IL12 Bost, #MN08 OPEN, #NY22 Tenney, #WV03 OPEN, etc. Overall, things have slightly improved in "Trump zones" for Rs, w/ notable exceptions in districts like #KS02 & #ME02.
Read 5 tweets
Virginia is where the post-Trump bounceback began last year, and we’re determined to elect more progressive leaders this year—including an all-women slate of congressional candidates. #VApol (1/7)
#VA02: Elaine Luria will prioritize Virginians’ safety by working to protect access to affordable healthcare and working to combat climate change. NXTGN.US/fj6
#VA05: Leslie Cockburn believes in #MedicareForAll. She will fight for living wages and free community college—and against pipelines. NXTGN.US/fj7
Read 7 tweets
Let's flip #VA10! I'm co-hosting a last-minute fundraiser for @JenniferWexton. Virginia needs a progressive leader, and it's time for GOP @RepComstock to step down.

Right before midterms. Right when it counts. Put your money where your mouth is.

secure.actblue.com/donate/nassar
Here's why I, as an immigration lawyer and #VA10 resident, believe we've moved past Comstock. She has succumbed to the race-baiting GOP party line. She can't be seen as true Republican if she doesn't conflate the entire Latino community with MS-13.
Despite her persistent and curious claims that @JenniferWexton wants to let gang members into Virginia, she voted in favor of freeing ICE to detain and deport anyone, without prioritization for the dangerous ones.

That makes us all LESS safe.
Read 7 tweets

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