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Ed Fieldhouse introduces our first panel, discussing what unprecedented level of electoral volatility means for next week’s election with @ranvir01, @jon_mellon and @caprosser #VotersAndBrexit 
Why have elections become more difficult to predict in the past? About a third of all voters switch how they vote between 2015 and 2017.
This means electoral shocks are more likely to happen. #VotersAndBrexit
This means electoral shocks are more likely to happen. #VotersAndBrexit
Half the current volatility is explained by two factors: people identifying with parties less, and a rise in smaller parties.
The rest is explained by electoral shocks: big, salient events that cut through and effect the way people think about party politics.
#VotersAndBrexit
The rest is explained by electoral shocks: big, salient events that cut through and effect the way people think about party politics.
#VotersAndBrexit
