Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #WEO19

Most recents (4)

The @IEA is often critiqued for not having a 1.5°C scenario, in #WEO19 they come a step closer.

It is possible to extend the Sustainable Development Scenario to 1.5°C, but it requires large-scale negative emissions (as in nearly all 1.5°C scenarios)!

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iea.org/newsroom/news/… Image
The SDS is consistent with about 1.65°C of global warming in 2100 when compared with scenarios assessed by the IPCC, but the big different is the scale of negative emissions.

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BECCS "may yet play a critical role, but the level at which they are deployed in the Sustainable Development Scenario (0.25GtCO₂ in 2050) is lower than nearly all of the 1.5°C scenarios assessed by the IPCC."

Figures show BECCS in #SR15 scenarios, 1.5°C & <2°C.

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Read 10 tweets
Solar PV stirs strong opinions in many, including on #WEO19. A thread.

Myth 1: #WEO forecasts flat solar additions.
-False. Depending on the scenario, annual PV additions in #WEO19 grow by 110% (STEPS) or 210% (SDS)
Myth 2: #WEO underestimates renewables growth.
-False. Additions of renewables lead all sources in all scenarios. Track back and China’s policy changes accelerated global growth. Unfortunately, in the rest of the world, renewables are behind (!) the STEPS equivalent from WEO2009
Myth 3: #WEO uses outdated costs and holds them constant.
-False. #WEO19 incorporates the latest historical data on renewable energy costs collected and published by @IRENA. Endogenous learning for solar PV is at 20% per doubling of cumulative capacity.
Read 5 tweets
A #FixTheWEO *THREAD* on how the @IEA is still boosting fossil fuels & acting as an obstacle on #climate with #WEO19.

TL;DR: It fails the biggest test – charting an energy road map to staying within 1.5°C, when that is a key to survival for millions of people. 1/
@IEA First things first: Why care? As Andrew Logan @CeresNews put it: "The @IEA is effectively creating its own reality. They project ever-increasing demand for fossil fuels, which in turn justifies greater investments in supply." 2/
reuters.com/article/us-cli…
@IEA @CeresNews When the world's 'gold standard' of energy analysis gives central billing to a 3°C scenario, @IEA normalizes a path we can't afford to take rather than focusing attention on the path we urgently need to pursue ➡️ below 1.5°C. 3/ ft.com/content/5c80f1…
Read 16 tweets
THREAD

Today we launched World Energy Outlook 2019 #WEO19, our flagship report.

Here are my key takeaways from this exceptional piece of work that provides wide-ranging insights into how today's decisions will shape our energy future.

iea.li/2CC8DdJ

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It's important to note that #WEO19 does not provide a forecast of what will happen.

It provides a set of scenarios that explore different possible futures, the actions or inactions that bring them about, and the interconnections between different parts of the system.

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Deep disparities define the energy world, notably the gaps between:

• The calm in oil markets & growing geopolitical tensions
• The urgency to tackle climate change & rising emissions
• The promise of energy for all & 850m people lacking electricity

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Read 14 tweets

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