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Good morning from The #WeMatter State.

Many of you know there is no bigger Michigan fan than I -- U-M, that is. But the notion that the state of MI should go first in the Dem presidential nominating process is laughable for many reasons. NV remains the obvious first choice.
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First, why would the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee give a nod to a state that doesn't even meet its criteria? Michigan is not only not as diverse as NV, but check out the requirements below: "the cost and logistical requirements of campaigning in state" must be considered.
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Second, why would the Dems give a head start to MI Gov. Gretchen Whitmer were she to run for president in 2024 -- er, I mean 2028? It's obviously not fair. No one in NV, even @AaronDFordNV, is running for president anytime soon. So MI should not even be considered.
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Good morning from The #WeMatter State.

By the end of the day we may know if NV has rendered Georgia irrelevant or if everyone still has Georgia on their minds.

Adam Laxalt is ahead by 862 votes, or .09%, closer than when his grandfather beat Harry Reid in 1974 for this seat.
There are 23,000 or so votes to count in Clark County. If Catherine Cortez Masto can win just 55 percent of those, under what she has done since Tuesday, she will be ahead. That would leave about 8,000 or so in Washoe, where she won by 10% Friday, and a few thousand rural votes.
We won't know whether the patterns will hold until votes are released sometime today and/or tonight.

You can keep asking me when and I will keep telling you: Hell if I know. It has been haphazard so far.

Don't forget there also are about 5.5K votes from Clark provisionals, too.
Read 6 tweets
It's the end of day 3 post-Election Day in Nevada. @TheNVIndy has projected winners for nearly every statewide race, except a tight race for Nevada's Senate seat.

Where do things stand in NV? What ballots were counted today?

Here's a goodnight roundup from the #WeMatter state:
The big update: Republican Joe Lombardo has been projected to win the Nevada gubernatorial race, unseating Democratic Gov. Steve Sisolak, while there is still no projected winner in the Senate race between Democratic Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto and Republican Adam Laxalt.
Today saw 46k ballots tabulated and reported (Clark - 27.3k, Washoe - 11k, Douglas - 5.1k, Carson - 2.6k). The results from Washoe (+1.1k for CCM) and Douglas + Carson (+1.2k for Laxalt) practically offset while CCM won Clark mail by more than 8k.

Now: Laxalt leads by 862 votes.
Read 12 tweets
Good morning from The #WeMatter State, and Happy Veterans Day, especially to those who served.

Here's where we are:

Laxalt leads by 9K statewide over CCM.

The news of this early AM is below, and let me tell you what it means.

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This is part of the 57K mail ballots (there are actually more but wait) to be counted in Clark.

Those first 35K will put a huge dent in Laxalt's lead, and CCM, if indies are breaking to Ds as they have been, will pick up more than 6K.

2/
If CCM continues pace of getting 60 percent and Laxalt gets 35 percent, she will pick up 9K in this batch alone.

If it's 55-40, she will add more than 5K.

The margin could be greater (65-30?).

3/

Bottom line: Unless trend suddenly shifts, this batch will help her a lot.

3/
Read 7 tweets
Good morning from the #WeMatter state, where I am surviving off of Dunkin coffee and support from my reporting sidekick Piper.

Here’s a quick rundown thread of where things stand in Nevada roughly 36 hours after the close of polls. Image
With about 887k votes counted statewide so far, Republican candidates at the very top of the ticket are leading, but there are results from more than 110k mail ballots still to be reported.
In the Senate race, Laxalt (R) leads Cortez Masto (D) by 15.8k votes.

In the governor’s race, Lombardo (R) leads Sisolak (D) by 34.1k votes.

I’ll post some more details on the state of play in other major NV races later this morning.
Read 10 tweets
Good morning from the #WeMatter state. Where do things stand in Nevada?

About 840,000 votes are counted, including ballots cast in person on Election Day, which heavily favor GOP. Rs are leading at the top of the ticket. But there are tens of thousands of uncounted mail ballots.
Mail ballots we are likely waiting on:
- tens of thousands in Clark
- potentially more than 20k in Washoe (including more than 18k received on Election Day)
- a smattering of thousands across the rurals
These ballots have been mailed in or dropped off in ballot boxes, including on Election Day.

With such a high volume of those ballots, officials in Clark and Washoe counties announced delays to counting them beyond last night.
Read 9 tweets
Good morning from The #WeMatter State.

AM cumulative voting #s:

Clark mail: D+20,000
Clark in-person:GOP+ 6,300
Clark combined: D+13,500
Washoe in-person: GOP+2,200
Washoe mail: D+3,400
Washoe all: D+1,200

Dems up nearly 16,000 in urban NV.
What does it mean?
Blog post coming! Image
Thanks, as always, to my favorite nocturnal animals, @JohnRSamuelsen and @sorceror43, for making sure I wake up to fresh numbers. (I check them but they are almost never wrong.)
Typo (coffee coming): Nearly 15,000 is combined Dem lead in urban Nevada.

Dems now outperforming registration lead in Clark and winning in Washoe despite registration deficit.

Turnout still low everywhere.

More perspective soon. Bookmark this site:

thenevadaindependent.com/article/the-ea…
Read 3 tweets
The funny thing is, I am absolutely bored when I listen to @StaffordScotty
But even funnier still is what @ADPAC6 has stated, #WeMatter when saying #Congratulations @ICALondon .

I hope you do not take me the wrong way as this is no way aimed at what ever work @ADPAC6 do as
I have never heard of you until I came across this tweet, however, the person you are talking of is not who you are placing on such a privileged respected level who many who have not been chased off over the years that #TonisArmy have been fighting for #justice4ambrose
and the #LovellTwins👩🏿‍🤝‍👩🏾 being the @ProductsSystem part of the exposed bogus @InquiryCSA set up by @theresa_may and @NSPCC @PeterWanless claiming to be dealing with historical @ChildJusticeInc @Lambeth_SA being one of the boroughs included in the #iicsa.
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Joe Biden's repeated ice cream-related detours may seem like good fun, but does he risk alienating millions of lactose intolerant Americans? My latest for Politico:
People are reacting harshly to my (non-existent) article and per Politico rulebook, that just proves that I am extremely right. Next up, I post a picture of a random email I got from doodooguy42069@yahoo.com calling me a swear word for sympathy. Image
Brb sending out an email to my journo-list serve to have all my buddies tweet about how great of a journalist/person I am (aka "doing a Haberman.") Image
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Vegas gambler Billy Walters had his sentence for insider trading commuted. He was a huge campaign donor and his commutation supported by an ex senator, an ex-gov, an ex-congresswoman, an ex-sheriff, pro golfers and...Lara Logan, who did a fluff 60 Minutes piece on him.

#WeMatter
My favorite Billy Walters story is he was on my TV show, didn't like my line of questioning, called me a "motherfucker" during the break, apologized during a later break, then tried to get me fired after the show.

Fun dude.
One of the best pieces ever done on Walters was by @BetsBarnes, who captured the man, his relationships (including with the former sheriff who supported his commutation) and his political donations/influence.
reviewjournal.com/business/casin…
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So-called land of free speech my ass! YouTube thinks Americans and the world may think the #Truth is to disturbing, so it can no longer be shared, tons of warning labels to try preventing view it&had the damn link, shameful, disgusting&cruel 🙏🇺🇸 Brothers and Sisters #StandAsOne
🖕 YouTube and bring back the draft!!!
There was a few prior to this trying to block view and had the link, so for those who don't they'll probably never see it #WeAreYou #StandAsOne #22aDay
Read 36 tweets
Finally: Last votes from Clark County are in. As I thought, very slightly favored Trump, but not nearly enough for him:
Biden: 702,277 (50.07%)
Trump: 669,278 (47.65%)

Biden wins Nevada by 32,999 votes, or 2.42 points.

(May be a few ballots left outside Clark.)

#WeMatter
Biden won Clark by just under 10 points. The Clark Dem firewall held, again. It was just over 90K and Biden won Clark by 91K. Republicans did not get super-high rural turnout they needed, and even if they had, Biden won Washoe by 11K.
His win here very closely mirrored Clinton's.
That last update flipped a Dem state Senate seat, so Dems lose one off their majority in the upper house. They already had lost their supermajority in the Assembly. Only bright spot for GOP is legislative races. They are still in minority, but made gains in Senate/Assembly.
Read 5 tweets
NEW CLARK NUMBERS:

Biden lead increases again to more than 34K.

I am told a Biden-Harris van dropped off more votes.

#WeMatter
Biden: 664,162
Trump: 629,879

50.17% to 47.58%
Biden's lead in Clark now is almost 89,000.

Remember the Clark firewall was 90,000.

Anyone remember the early voting blog? Seems like months ago:

thenevadaindependent.com/article/the-ea…
Read 3 tweets
NEWS: New NV numbers from Clark -- small batch, he's now up by 22.5K. Gain of about 2K.

It's still...over.
Only a few thousand ballots added, but Biden continues to win by large margin every Clark update. Third straight update that he has won by 2 to 1 or close to it:

Biden: +5,454
Trump: 2,934

Overall:

Biden: 632,558
Trump: 609,901

Lead is 22,657, or 1.6 percent
Let me show you how impossible this is for Trump here:

First, three reports of Clark ballots so far -- pattern of large proportional Biden gains. He has now almost tripled his election night lead of 7,500.

So there's that.

But bear with me...
Read 10 tweets
All right, everyone, there has been some confusion over how many ballots are left in NV -- some miscommunication, so let me clarify with latest via election officials.
In Clark:
The 51K Clark ballots that will be reported tomorrow are mail already through verification process.
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There are an additional 63,000 mail ballots in Clark that have been returned but have not gone though the process. A mail percentage will end up being rejected if pattern holds.
Then there are about 60,000 so-called provisionals in Clark.
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Those are same-day registrants that need to be verified after mail counted. And then some ballots that will arrive in the next few days mailed Monday or Tuesday.
So may be 175K in Clark, give or take, depending n rejections and new mail.
A few thousand in rest of state.
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Read 4 tweets
Medicine was weaponized&politicized over a decade ago easy, not everything is mental health. Folks can't get meds that work for PTSD&pain, etc cz of all the BS @realDonaldTrump

Trump OKs 2 Laws Aimed at Helping Veteran Mental Health and Reducing Suicide military.com/daily-news/202…
Please listen for the love of God, there's a bunch of busybody assholes in everyone's doctor's offices. They're even performing major surgeries&not giving pain meds that work afterwards, cheap/generic meds that have been around many yrs @realDonaldTrump
#StandUpForYourPeople 🙏🇺🇸
Read 76 tweets
"TRUMP ENGINEERED A SUDDEN WINDFALL IN 2016 AS CAMPAIGN FUNDS DWINDLED"

"Tax records expose more than $21 million in highly unusual payments from the Las Vegas hotel Donald Trump owns with Phil Ruffin, routed through other Trump companies and paid out in cash."

#WeMatter
"The bulk of the money went through a company called Trump Las Vegas Sales and Marketing that had little previous income, no clear business purpose and no employees. The Trump-Ruffin joint venture wrote it all off as a business expense."

nytimes.com/interactive/20…
"Unless the payments were for actual business expenses, he said, claiming a tax deduction for them would be illegal. If they were not legitimate and were also used to fund Mr. Trump’s presidential run, they could be considered illegal campaign contributions."
Read 4 tweets
I stand with @FairDistrictsVA to #VoteNoOn1: Whenever I think about compromise or incremental change, I always step back to see if it benefits the community overall. And I try to think through any unintended consequences, and whether the positives outweigh the negatives. 1/3
That’s the thing with compromise and incremental change. Sometimes taking that small step forward is the right thing to do, and sometimes it’s best to just walk away. The choice you make depends on who you center in your decisions. 2/3
Some say Amendment 1 is a step fwd, no matter how flawed it is. How do you tell Black & brown people that you know this new system isn’t as good as it can be, but you’ll fix it later? We’re already fighting to fix a 400yr system that wasn’t built for us. 3/3 #WeMatter #VoteNoOn1
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#VoteNoOn1 Why? It has fatal flaws. 1st: 4 individuals have concentrated power - the leaders from each political party in the House & Senate. This gang of 4 have their hands on every single one of the 16 commissioners - whether they’re a legislator or citizen commissioner. 1/5
The gang of 4 choose the legislators who will represent their parties on the commission, and they also choose which citizens to bring forward to the panel of judges that will select the citizen commissioners. 2/5
And 4 of the 5 judges are picked by that same gang of 4. A representative democracy shouldn’t have to depend on your access or relationship with the powerful elite. 3/5
Read 5 tweets
Big news via @meganmesserly: The Reno airport has informed the owners of an airport hangar -- including two well-known Reno businessmen, one of whom is the head of a conservative think tank -- that this weekend's Trump rally violates the state directive on in-person gatherings.
@meganmesserly Let the froth begin from Lord Farquaad of Virginia and his allies at Adelson's newspaper. Remember, this guy could have been governor:

@meganmesserly Response to @meganmesserly's exclusive is for Laxalt & Co. to spin rallies had been canceled by the gov? Pure gaslighting.
1. They knew the rules going in.
2. The rallies were not "canceled" by anyone except the Trump campaign. McCarran was never even asked about a rally.
Read 8 tweets
BREAKING: Trump sues Nevada over mail-in election bill.
Alt hed:

Republican president sues Republican secretary of state over NV elections bill.

(She opposed the bill but had to be named as chief elections officer.)
And now I know why Schlapp said ballots can be cast three days after Election Day. That is central to this lawsuit, that if you can't be sure when the ballot was postmarked so it might have been mailed after Election Day. This case could be precedent-setting. Folks:
#WeMatter
Read 4 tweets
THREAD: This got me —> “We have done so much more with so much less that I often forget we’re not competing with the same resources as our opponents. I’m only reminded in moments when it becomes painfully clear, and we’re at one of those moments right now.”
Here are a few things our scrappy team has accomplished across Nevada.

✅ Shine light on the forgotten homeless community living in the storm drain tunnels under the strip

✅Our state staff was the 1st to do a 4 day rural tour to 11 communities in July
✅1st candidate to visit Elko
✅focused on Native American outreach—a community often ignored by campaigns
✅JC’s op-ed standing against military expansion into sacred land➡️ bit.ly/2oXehnS
Read 13 tweets

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