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Weekly round up of useful / reliable English covid statistics:
1. Incidence
2. Care home outbreaks / admissions
3. Hospital / ICU admissions and deaths
4. Covid triage
5. Cases
6. Contact tracing
7. Mortality
8. ICU profile: ICNARC
#ahcveng
1. Incidence
2. Care home outbreaks / admissions
3. Hospital / ICU admissions and deaths
4. Covid triage
5. Cases
6. Contact tracing
7. Mortality
8. ICU profile: ICNARC
#ahcveng
1. Incidence
ONS: Incidence now up to 35k per day, 0.9% overall; huge variance regionally and by age group, with young getting infected *much* faster than old (good news), and this is backed up by Zoe (KCL/CSS) data: ()
ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…
ONS: Incidence now up to 35k per day, 0.9% overall; huge variance regionally and by age group, with young getting infected *much* faster than old (good news), and this is backed up by Zoe (KCL/CSS) data: ()
ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…
2. Care home outbreaks / admissions
Care home outbreaks flat; still 3% of outbreaks. But admissions from care homes rising (so size of each outbreak bigger?)
*If* our interventions work, why are admissions from care homes growing at the same pace as elsewhere? 🤔
Care home outbreaks flat; still 3% of outbreaks. But admissions from care homes rising (so size of each outbreak bigger?)
*If* our interventions work, why are admissions from care homes growing at the same pace as elsewhere? 🤔
Weekly round up of useful / reliable English covid statistics:
1. Incidence
2. Care home outbreaks
3. Hospital / ICU admissions and deaths
4. Covid triage
5. Cases
6. Contact tracing
7. Mortality
8. Miscellaneous: nosocomial
#ahcveng
1. Incidence
2. Care home outbreaks
3. Hospital / ICU admissions and deaths
4. Covid triage
5. Cases
6. Contact tracing
7. Mortality
8. Miscellaneous: nosocomial
#ahcveng
1. Incidence
ONS shows continued increase in incidence as the seasons change, driven by areas of the country subject to enhanced lockdown restrictions.
Great news: clear divergence between incidence in the vulnerable >70 versus younger age groups.
ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…
ONS shows continued increase in incidence as the seasons change, driven by areas of the country subject to enhanced lockdown restrictions.
Great news: clear divergence between incidence in the vulnerable >70 versus younger age groups.
ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…
(Caution due on the NE/Yorks piece of that chart: doesn't tally with the Zoe incidence data, which otherwise generally ties in well with ONS).
Weekly round up of useful / reliable English covid statistics:
1. Incidence
2. Care home outbreaks
3. Hospital / ICU admissions and deaths
4. Covid triage
5. Cases
6. Contact tracing
7. Mortality
8. Miscellaneous: ICU, France & Spain, GB Dec
#ahcveng
1. Incidence
2. Care home outbreaks
3. Hospital / ICU admissions and deaths
4. Covid triage
5. Cases
6. Contact tracing
7. Mortality
8. Miscellaneous: ICU, France & Spain, GB Dec
#ahcveng
1a. Incidence
Zoe (KCL CSS) suggests incidence is slowing after a steep rise, whereas ONS and Imperial (REACT1) show sharp recent rise.
covid.joinzoe.com/data
ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…
imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial…
Zoe (KCL CSS) suggests incidence is slowing after a steep rise, whereas ONS and Imperial (REACT1) show sharp recent rise.
covid.joinzoe.com/data
ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…
imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial…
1b. Incidence
Note sharp age distinction in ONS / REACT1; if you favour the "GB Declaration" approach (see below) you would want the difference between young and old incidence and trajectory as great as possible
ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…
Note sharp age distinction in ONS / REACT1; if you favour the "GB Declaration" approach (see below) you would want the difference between young and old incidence and trajectory as great as possible
ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…
Weekly round up of useful / reliable English covid statistics:
1. Incidence
2. Care home outbreaks
3. Hospital & ICU admissions and deaths
4. Covid triage
5. Cases
6. Contact tracing
7. The Vallance-tracker
8. Mortality
9. Miscellaneous
#ahcveng
1. Incidence
2. Care home outbreaks
3. Hospital & ICU admissions and deaths
4. Covid triage
5. Cases
6. Contact tracing
7. The Vallance-tracker
8. Mortality
9. Miscellaneous
#ahcveng
1a. ONS incidence
The headline is that during the most recent week (18 to 24 September) there were around 8,400 new infections per day not including those living in institutional settings, *down* from 9,600 previous week.
Still not rising in the elderly
ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…
The headline is that during the most recent week (18 to 24 September) there were around 8,400 new infections per day not including those living in institutional settings, *down* from 9,600 previous week.
Still not rising in the elderly
ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…
1b. Other incidence
We also had the Imperial "REACT1" interim incidence report this week which also pointed to a slowdown, and the KCL Zoe app (tracking symptomatic cases) points in the same direction
imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial…
covid.joinzoe.com/data
We also had the Imperial "REACT1" interim incidence report this week which also pointed to a slowdown, and the KCL Zoe app (tracking symptomatic cases) points in the same direction
imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial…
covid.joinzoe.com/data
Weekly round up of useful / reliable English covid statistics:
1. Cases
2. Care home outbreaks
3. Hospital deaths / admissions
4. Covid triage
5. Prevalence
6. Contact tracing
7. The Vallance-tracker
8. Mortality
9. Miscellaneous
#ahcveng
1. Cases
2. Care home outbreaks
3. Hospital deaths / admissions
4. Covid triage
5. Prevalence
6. Contact tracing
7. The Vallance-tracker
8. Mortality
9. Miscellaneous
#ahcveng
1. Cases
1a. Pillars 1&2 - last couple of weeks & last month (current wave) & full curve. Bear in mind the left-hand side was heavily rationed for testing, the right-hand side far less so: the 'two waves' are not comparable.
Source: Gov dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/cases?areaType…
1a. Pillars 1&2 - last couple of weeks & last month (current wave) & full curve. Bear in mind the left-hand side was heavily rationed for testing, the right-hand side far less so: the 'two waves' are not comparable.
Source: Gov dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/cases?areaType…
1. Cases
1b. English pillar 1 (clinical need / NHS) and pillar 2 (community swab) cases and % positive. The left-hand side was heavily rationed for testing, the right-hand side *far* less so.
Source: PHE covid surveillance report
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
1b. English pillar 1 (clinical need / NHS) and pillar 2 (community swab) cases and % positive. The left-hand side was heavily rationed for testing, the right-hand side *far* less so.
Source: PHE covid surveillance report
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
On Friday evenings I'm going to release a thread like this on English covid data that I think is useful / reliable. If you don't want to follow the rest of my ranting, the # will be #ahcveng
• Cases: pillar 1
• Care home outbreaks
• Hospital deaths & admissions
• Sundry
• Cases: pillar 1
• Care home outbreaks
• Hospital deaths & admissions
• Sundry
1. English pillar 1 (clinical need & NHS) cases and % positive
Source: weekly PHE surveillance report
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
#ahcveng
Source: weekly PHE surveillance report
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
#ahcveng
1a: why not pillar 2? Because I regard the data as corrupted by door-to-door testing of asymptomatic cases in hotspot areas, and testing of children / students with mild symptoms which will 🔼% positive while 🔽 usefulness (more non-infectious high Ct "weak" positives).
