Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #areaunderthecurve
Most recents (2)
So, lots of vilification and even gloating (by some insufferable đź’©s) at various countries now suffering dreadful omicron waves after having previously suppressed the virus and adopting a so-called #ZeroCovid strategy. One or two thoughts/observations.
1. "Told you so" really
1. "Told you so" really
isn't an appealing trait, whether you're actually right, or not...especially when you're discussing human suffering. Grow up, and grow a conscience.
2. The only people that use the zero term nowadays generally "were not fans" in the first place.
3. Being in favour of
2. The only people that use the zero term nowadays generally "were not fans" in the first place.
3. Being in favour of
suppressing virus spread ≠lockdowns and ≠zero C. We all recognise the game changing role that vaccines play, but they shouldn't be the only act in town.
4. Most hitherto "zero" countries had varying approaches, but almost all waves are coincident with relaxing protections.
4. Most hitherto "zero" countries had varying approaches, but almost all waves are coincident with relaxing protections.
1/ Q: Are cases peaking? That means it’s all downhill from here, right?
A: Sort of…. Remember that even if cases come down as quickly as they rise, there will be as many cases *after* the peak as before (think area under the curve).
dearpandemic.org/are-cases-peak…
A: Sort of…. Remember that even if cases come down as quickly as they rise, there will be as many cases *after* the peak as before (think area under the curve).
dearpandemic.org/are-cases-peak…
2/ ➡️ And if the downward slope is *slower* than the rise, we will see *more* cases during the decline from a surge. 
3/ Burning fast could be a silver lining of super transmissible #Omicron. Cases rose & fell quickly in S. Africa (w/ hospitalizations & deaths still lagging). The UK appears to have turned the Omicron corner. Many US states appear past their peak in cases, w/ regional variation:
