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I've updated our Labor-vs-Coalition 2-party-preferred (2pp) calculator with data from the 2022 federal election!
It converts a set of first-preference votes into a 2pp estimate, and gives you some idea of the uncertainty. #auspol #ausvotes #auspseph
armariuminterreta.com/projects/austr…
It converts a set of first-preference votes into a 2pp estimate, and gives you some idea of the uncertainty. #auspol #ausvotes #auspseph
armariuminterreta.com/projects/austr…
Some polls - like the #ResolvePM released today - don't provide 2pp estimates, so it's unclear who's leading and by how much from the vote estimates published.
armariuminterreta.com/projects/austr…
With this tool, we can see that the poll would result in a Labor landslide at an election,
armariuminterreta.com/projects/austr…
With this tool, we can see that the poll would result in a Labor landslide at an election,
approximately equal to 1943 in terms of Labor's win on the 2-party vote.
Additionally, we can also see that even if the preference flows shift against Labor, it's very unlikely that they'd change enough to make this anything other than a large Labor victory.
Additionally, we can also see that even if the preference flows shift against Labor, it's very unlikely that they'd change enough to make this anything other than a large Labor victory.
