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A quick, depressing 🧵 on what to expect in next steps toward autocracy in Poland. I hope @fromTGA is right and Poles will defend their democracy. However, I think things will get much worse and Poland will become an autocracy like Hungary 1/n
So far Kaczyński’s PiS government has been following the standard elected autocrat’s playbook very closely, following Orbán’s example of how to get away with building an autocracy inside the EU. Here are the steps: 2/n
As @fromTGA said, so far PiS focused on capturing the courts, turning state media into propaganda arm, & demonizing opposition. Next key steps will be to suppress vestiges of independence in lower ranks of judiciary & to establish PiS control over private media 3/n
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