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I posted a long thread about this yesterday but here again is my analysis of the possible impact of the #GOPCovidDeathCult on House races: 1/…
In short, there’s really only a dozen races where the GOP candidate *might* end up losing by less than the #GOPCovidDeathCult margin, which ranges from 0 - 600 votes in these 20 races (some of which have already been called since yesterday). 2/
I estimate that perhaps ~150K more Trump voters died of COVID than Biden voters between the 2020 & 2022 elections nationally. That’s a lot of people, but it’s tiny vs the ~112M who voted in the midterms, and most of these deaths happened in solid red/blue districts anyway. 3/
Read 8 tweets
wowza at the schedule today

≈7pm ET: Clark, WA could tell us who won #WA03

post-7pm ET: Clark NV could drop any time, tell us who won #NVSen

post-8pm ET: Maricopa will help decipher #AZGovernor

≈10:30pm ET: Washoe NV could get us to the end if Clark hasn't

(+ Cali drops?)
There's more!

≈7-8pm ET: Los Angeles will have an update.
(I guess most suspenseful here is #CA27, tho can't hurt to have more mayor confirmation)

People are telling me to also expect Clark County (!), Oregon (#or05), and maybe Orange & Riverside #CA41) counties & others.
Sorry, there is no Clark County in Oregon. 🤦‍♂️

Be patient, please, this is Hour 96 of election night.
Read 3 tweets

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