Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #badbets

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So I do this thing every year called ADP trends. Basically looking at the ADP change for each player before and after their rookie years.

Face planters are bad bets. (lose 12 or more spots of ADP)

And hence that rookie you want to buy-low on is a very bad idea.

Let's dive in
Here is a list of WR that lost 12 or more spots since 2007 from the first round of dynasty rookie drafts.

#badbets Image
Now I get that you are going to tell me that player x is different because he was injured! And I totally understand the rationale. But ZERO of the guys that went on to hit had extensive injuries as rookies.
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