Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #baseeffect

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.@INCIndia trolls elated at minus 7.3% GDP growth in FY21,forgetting this was a #Pandemic year,in fact the worst pandemic in 102yrs

Good News in 4Q👇

GDP growth was 1.6% despite consensus of minus 1.4%

GVA growth was 3.7% Vs consensus of 2.6%

Industrial growth was solid 6.9%
In fact,both in Q3&Q4FY21,India reported positive GDP&GVA growth

Industrial growth also was +ve for 2 qtrs in a row at 1.7%&6.9%

Agricultural growth has been a positive 3%+ in every single qtr,in last 4 qtrs

Construction growth has been a massive 6.5%&14.5% in Q3&Q4
#Economy
Some channels conveniently showing how WPI under @narendramodi govt has risen sharply,to 10.49% in April 2021

It is not #WPI but #CPI that matters& #RetailInflation measured by CPI was just 4.2% in April,with food inflation at 2.02%&Vegetable Inflation at minus 14.18%
#Economy
Read 10 tweets
#RetailInflation in Sep@7.34%,Vs 6.69% in Aug,is due to rise in food price index which rose from 9.05% to 10.68%,MoM

Uptick in #foodinflation is temporary &driven by #COVID related supply disruptions--We had bumper crop last year&FY21,should see bumper agri production,yet again!
By Dec,#CPI should ease& inflationary pressure will abate,due to #BaseEffect& #Kharif arrivals

Note:Kharif sowing was up between 50-88%,for most crops,despite #lockdown

With INR@73.11/$ level,threat of imported inflation is minimal

#CoreInflation at sub 6%,bodes well
#economy
#IIP contraction in Aug at 8% Vs 10.8% in July,is driven by relatively better numbers from #Mining& #ConsumerNonDurables

After record #ManufacturingPMI of 56.8 in Sep,#ServicesPMI at 49.8 Vs 41.8 in Aug,is a good sign💪

#TradeDeficit in Sep@ $2.9 Vs $10.9,in Sep2019,bodes well
Read 5 tweets

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