Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #bokoharam

Most recents (24)

Let's talk briefly about the law of unintended consequences.

According to Friedrich Hayek, the law of unintended consequences is that actions of people, and especially of governments, always have effects that are unanticipated or "unintended."
This law of unintended consequences is one of the building blocks of economics.

A simpler analogy for my lazy generation is in #GameOfThrones Season 5 when Cersei gave the High Sparrow power hoping that he would use that power to get her perceived enemies off her back.
He did what she wanted, but quickly turned the tables on her and had her put away.

Eventually, the only way she could get out of his grip was to stroll from one end of town to the other in her birthday suit.
Read 11 tweets
Shekau’s video released yesterday indicates that he is as committed to #BokoHaram’s ideology as he was 15 years ago.

It reinforces the group’s 5 key messages that:

1. Western-style schooling is forbidden;
2. Democracy is unbelief;
3. Secular governments must be destroyed;

1/
4. Muslim must reject and fight western-style schools, democracy and secular governments. Otherwise, they’ve apostasized;

5. Boko Haram’s violence is sanctioned and supported by God.

He reiterates that any Muslim who disagrees with him is a believer worthy of death.

2/
He self-references his lectures b/w 2004 & 2009 in Maiduguri and the old videos are overlayed on this one. This is the first time Shekau’s sound bites are used.

BH’s old videos are available and easily accessible on @YouTube and it’s most likely where BH got them from.

3/
Read 9 tweets
Just A Reminder: About 2 years ago, the security agencies issued a warning that we all took lightly, though widely reported in the media...
2) The agencies warned that as #BokoHaram insurgents and their camps are being decimated, some of the insurgents on the rub will head to the Southern parts of the country, some of them using COWS as cover to wreck mayhem. Can you folks @Google up this news item???
3) The Army and other security forces have made claims of over running #BokoHaram amd their territories in the North. But we are yet to ask: Where has the fleeing insurgents gone to?
Read 5 tweets
1/ A photographic look at Trump’s meeting with survivors of #religiouspersecution. A thread about suffering and political opportunism. (Photo of Esther Bitrus, one of the woman kidnapped by #BokoHaram in Nigeria in 2014, distracted by the swarm of media.)
2/ People were taken aback by Trump’s ignorance of his guests at the @WhiteHouse #religiouspersecution photo op on Wednesday. There was particular outrage over how he dealt with #NadiaMurad, the Yazidi woman from Northern Iraq.
3/ Others were equally upset over Trump’s ignorance about the Rohingya genocide.
Read 16 tweets
Clearly the NIgerian Army hasn’t made any improvements in the design of base defenses since the resurgence of #ISWAP attacks last summer. Likely a reflection of the NA’s infatuation with maneouverist doctrine—something largely antithetical to what’s needed for #COIN ops. 1/
Since the overrun of FOBs at Jili, Zari & others, why are defensive perimeters still in a circle with no final defensive fire line from crew-served wpns? Where are the OPs? Watchtowers? Bunkers? Why isn’t foliage burnt/cut to provide clear fields of fire & observation to 1km? 2/
The NA adopted the idea of ditches in 2018 to stop insurgents from advancing on their positions. Unfortunately, the berms ended up providing frontal cover and gave insurgents a close in support by fire position enabling them to get close to the NA perimeter with impunity. 3/
Read 11 tweets
As signed by Pres. @MBuhari, the Nigerian govt plans to spend N8.92 TRILLION in 2019, of which N2.14tn goes into DEBT servicing.

Where will this money come from?
Where's it going to?
What are the priority sectors & projects?

Here's everything you MUST know about #2019Budget.
#2019Budget: Where Will The Money Come From?

Oil Revenue: N3.69tn
Non-Oil Revenue: N3.31tn

IMPORTANT NOTE:

The projection has marginally stepped up from N6.97tn (as formally proposed) to N7trn. How feasible is this?

FG's total revenue as at Q3 of 2018 was N2.8tn.
#2019Budget: Where Will The Money Go To?

More than N500 billion is already shared among below institutions and commissions as "statutory transfers."

From @nassnigeria to the Judiciary down to @inecnigeria etc, these bodies spend billions that no one reviews.

#AskQuestions
Read 14 tweets
Hearing a fascinating account of #ISWAP operations in the area of the Komadugu-Yobe... a few weeks back, a Kanuri village on the Nigerian side of the river was attacked by Fulani herders. @Pastoralist1 @alouibrahim92 @FulanNasrullah @jhjezequel
Subsequently, since the Nigerian state was not providing security, dozens of young men from that village decided to join #ISWAP, to get protection. In Nigeria as elsewhere, chaos and state weakness are opportunities for jihadi governance projects.
This (specific) case goes against the general idea of a systematic Fulani/Jihadi association, which a number of people cling to in Nigeria and elsewhere. Local configurations are key.
Read 4 tweets
Attaque #BokoHaram ce jour a #Zelevet dans le Mayo Tsanaga. Les assailants dont certains armés et en uniforme militaries on attaqué le marché sur les motos. #Cameroun #SembeTv #ISWAP
Les #terroristes on eté repoussé grace a l'intervention rapide de l'armée. #SembeTv #BokoHaram #Cameroon #Cameroun
Bilan provisoire : 02 villageois legerement blessés, 02 motos abandonnés par les #terroristes pendant leur fuite vers le Nigeria. #BokoHaram #ISWAP #Cameroon #Cameroun #SembeTv
Read 4 tweets
Flash: Abubakar Shekau Reads BH ideology, Recites Nigeria's National Pledge in New Video.

The embattled leader of Jama'atu Ahlil-Sunnah Lid-Da'awati Wal-Jihad, otherwise known as Boko Haram appeared in a video robed in flowing white apparels whilst clutching an AK47 rifle ...
as he read a prepared speech in Arabic about the doctrines of Boko Haram. The factional leader of Boko Haram that have been weakened by an internal feud that led to the emergence of another faction in 2016 and persistent military campaign by the @NigerianArmy and the MNJTF ...
appeared to have impaired eyesight as he struggled to read his group's ideology in Arabic, while intermittently reciting Nigeria's National pledge in English, which he repeatedly said was an act of Shirk.
Read 5 tweets
The three major groups in Nigeria #BokoHaram (Shekau's JAS), #ISWAP and #Ansaru had their most active week of media releases this week. In addition to the highlight of their contents, I will also share my thoughts on where I think this decade-old insurgency is heading.

#Thread
1. Let me start with highlights from #BokoHaram Shekau's JAS. JAS acknowledged the Death of Man Chari Abū Sadīq al-Bāmāwī. He was the commander that issued the first protest against the deposition of Shekau by ISIS. He led the group as a commander & Imam. See Text 73 of BH Reader
2. Despite JAS schism with #ISWAP, the group still sees itself as part of ISIS which explains why the speeches of ISIS leaders (Adnani & Zarqawi) were frequently invoked in all their releases. #Ansaru is the only group in Nigeria as of now that make references to Al-Qaeda.
Read 17 tweets
"Despite Pentagon assertions, secret programs allow American troops to direct combat raids in Somalia, Kenya, Niger and other African nations."

Behind the secret U.S. war in Africa politi.co/2KE3Yh4
Revealed: The U.S. military's 36 code-named operations in Africa news.yahoo.com/revealed-the-u…
Read 21 tweets
What Do @PoliceNG Intend To Do About The Cops Detailed To The Nyanya (Abuja) Division,Patrolling In The Vehicle Marked "NPF 1557 D" Who Beat Jumbo Ochigbo, An Asst Superintendent Of The Civil Defence Corps, To Death As His Wife, Ada, And Sons, Emmanuel + Oche,Looked On In Horror?
@PoliceNG There is a certain level of near-bestial action which Nigerians observe in their security forces which can only make one wonder what a non-uniformed Nigerian's life is worth IF persons who bear arms in the name of the State can be this evil and ruinous towards each other
@PoliceNG Tis ONE reason why #BokoHaram remain on the prowl. The higher priorities are inter-service rivalry and exhibitions of dislike for each other's guts as security forces jostle to secure their places on some quirky pecking order of those who are empowered to brutalise Nigerians
Read 11 tweets
Zamfara in the last 7 days recorded less bloodshed compared to the previous week, but the rate of abductions of persons remains the same. There's however, something to worry about: an emerging evidence of the presence of Ansaru in #Zamfara,
operating across the states in North West #Nigeria right into the border with Niger Republic. #Ansaru is a sect, a breakaway faction of #BokoHaram in 2012. The were responsible for the prison break in Abuja in 2012.
So far, several armed bandits and cattle rustlers are being proselytized into the fold of the Jihadis while erring armed bandits are systematically being taken out by the #Ansaru elements. The Northwest may likely be the new jihadi battle ground in #Nigeria like the Northeast.
Read 12 tweets
Alert: Multiple sources are reporting that an attack on Maiduguri may be in the making, this night as over 50 #BokoHaram fighters have converged in Ajilari Kuros, which is approximately 2 kilometres from the city of #Maiduguri.
Update on attacks in #Maiduguri: At dawn today, #Bokoharam fighters infiltrated Maiduguri on foot from the old Molai road, where the CJTF engaged some of them. There were, however bomb blasts close to the Federal High Court and behind CBN Quarters within the metropolis.
These attacks are happening around the Ajilari and Molai axis, areas #Bokoharam fighters have always used as transit zones over the years to assemble fighters from different cells within the group before attacking the city of #Maiduguri.
Read 5 tweets
#BokoHaram fighters today at Moula village ambushed the 85 vehicle Convoy of the Provincial Governor of terror ravaged Borno Province NE Nigeria.

The rear tail of the convoy was attacked with PKM's, RPG7, newly purchased AK74 & AK47 on his way from political campaign in Dikwa /1
2/ while heading for border county and town of Gamboru-Ngala. About 16 vehicles, 157 persons were able to flee to nearby fire base FOB at Gajibo. Casualties yet unknown.

Provincial governor safe.
NOW: #BokoHaram now claiming they captured ten vehicles from the convoy of Borno provincial governor after Wednesdays vicious ambush.
Read 3 tweets
1/ A carelessly incurred fine, effectively ignoring a surging ISWAP, the CCB’s sudden impotence, and a judicial bailout for an under fire ruling party, Nigeria has become the land where the unnecessary is king.
2/ The drama between @MobilePunch and @CCBNigeria represents the latest indication of the current administration’s selective commitment to the rule of law.
3/ The irony of @CCBNigeria who responded to a letter against CJN #Onnoghen - an official who is no favourite of @MBuhari - in a matter of hours while ignoring a legal request for information that could potentially tar @AsoRock’s leading lights is inescapable.
Read 20 tweets
In Burkina Faso, Ansar ul-Islam, the Group for the Support of Islam and Muslims (JNIM) and the Islamic State in the Greater Sahara (ISGS) Are All Believed To Be Heavily Concentrating Their Recruitment Efforts On The Fulani, A Transnational Ethnic Group In West+Central Africa
The portents of this emerging reality for Nigeria is made all the more by the fact that terrorist activities have since 2018 increasingly shifted from the north to the east of that country.
Nigeria is separated from eastern Burkina Faso by a strip of Benin Republic territory which is not wider than 150 kilometres. Nigeria remains at the crossroads of Fulani-dominated pastoralist movements from all across the West and Central African sub-regions
Read 9 tweets
.@USAfricaCommand Gen Thomas Waldhauser & @Southcom Adm Craig Faller about to testify before the #SASC

Lawmakers already asking about growing influence of #Russia #China in their regions, as well as need to keep the pressure up on terrorism
"Overall US strategic interests in #Africa are very clear" per @USAfricaCommand's Gen Waldhauser "Prevent the undermining of our alliances or destabilization of African nations,counter violent extremist organizations,decrease the potential for Africa to become a failed continent"
"Persistent pressure on #alShabaab #ISIS & #alQaida associated groups remains necessary to prevent this destabilization" per @USAfricaCommand's Gen Waldhauser
Read 63 tweets
(THREAD) #Nigeria: In this thread I will be posting all #ISWAP attack claims and everything connected to Nigerian Army's fight against the terrorists in northeastern part of the country. It will be better to have everything in one place. Stay tuned.
Here is part of my work about #ISIS in December. The number of ISWAP attacks reported by their media has doubled compared to November:
The map of #ISWAP control in Borno. The situation has changed since - Baga, Cross Kauwa and Kukawa have been recaptured by Nigerian Army:
Read 507 tweets
1/ The country’s profile got bleaker this week for a host of reasons - impetuous regulatory behaviour, refugees left out in the cold, a needless rise in public recurrent spending and an unshackled rogue police squad.
2/ Nothing illustrates #Nigeria’s dysfunction as much as the minimum wage palaver. The ₦27,000 ($75) or even ₦30,000 ($83) is not much – those that earn it will hover around the poverty line.
3/ The issue is that even such a wage is beyond the capacity of @AsoRock to pay, and for many small businesses as well, this will represent a massive upswing in cost. There is a disconnect between value creation by the workforce, and how much they earn.
Read 24 tweets
In 2011, at a time #BokoHaram assassinates people that criticize them, as a reporter based in Maiduguri then, I penned a scathing article on the Islamic Faith of Boko Haram. I was asked to leave town, but I stayed back. salkida.com/tasking-the-ba
In this 2012 report I asked, how does operating and living in denial of the existence of a nightmare help society or advance national security? Sadly, not much has changed since then. #LakeChad salkida.com/reporting-terr
In 2015 I argued in this report that ‘Regional military cooperation must improve to defeat #BokoHaram.’ Four years later, we’ve not seen the leadership that unified the countries in the #LakeChad region working towards a common military target & objective. salkida.com/regional-milit
Read 4 tweets
Nigerian Air Force strike in Seyoram against alleged BH targets as part of OP Lafiya Doyle with NAF Intelligence Surveillance and Reconnaissance (ISR). Location: @wikimapia (wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=1…). Video of strike: #Nigeria
BH Tech also seen destroyed in OP Lafiya Doyle video by NAF 11km SW of Baga along Kukawa Kauwa Border Rd (goo.gl/maps/gXG4nxf5G…). h/t to @africaken1 for ID of possible Nigeria Army-owned BM-21 GRAD MRLS 👇()
Surveillance footage shows NAF strikes on alleged ISWAP fighters at former fishing village in Doro Gowon fishing area, east Borno. Geolocated here: goo.gl/maps/KJGYaJUmu…. Note: attack was 4.5km N of Baga, which was attacked by militants on 27/12 reuters.com/article/us-nig…
Read 9 tweets
It's bn a brutal holiday season in many parts of #Nigeria. In the NE, #BokoHaram ambushed a military convoy monday, on highway linking Maiduguri, capital of Borno state, with Damaturu in neighbouring Yobe state, killing 13 soldiers & a @PoliceNG officer
msn.com/en-xl/africa/t…
Unsurprising, reports emerged shortly thereafter indicating that up to 167 @policeNG personnel in preparation for posting to counter-insurgency frontlines in NE #Nigeria have absconded before deployment, taking their weapons with them
premiumtimesng.com/news/headlines…
While the rest of the country marked Christmas, forced displacement appears to have intensified in NE #Nigeria, with @nemanigeria registering over 2,046 IDPs over the past 48 hours in one LGA
premiumtimesng.com/regional/nnort…
Read 10 tweets
Addressing the annual conference of @NigBarAssoc in Aug, @MBuhari claimed #HumanRights were subject to his own notion of national security. As #Nigerians in different walks pay wth their lives for growing insecurity, it's impt to address #TheBuhariDoctrine
vanguardngr.com/2018/08/rule-o…
Supporters of #TheBuhariDoctrine of national security easily cite the side comment (dictum) of a Justice of #Nigeria's Supreme Court in the case of Mujahid Asari Dokubo v. Federal Republic of #Nigeria decided when OBJ was President on 8 June 2006.
nigeria-law.org/Alhaji%20Mujah…
In July 2009, during, under OBJ's successor, #UMYA, Yusuf Mohammed, the founder of #BokoHaram was executed extra-judicially by @PoliceNG. His killing became the proximate cause of an insurgency that has triggered multiple forms of lethal violence in #Nigeria
Read 15 tweets

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