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The #BullBearReport is out.
The #market started with a strong #rally, then #stumbled into week's end. With #oversold conditions still intact and CPI next week, the #bulls have a shot at a rally if #inflation shows some signs of cooling.
realinvestmentadvice.com/market-rally-s…
Moving forward, YoY comparisons become more challenging at 0.9%, 0.7%, 0.6%, 0.6%, 0.8%, and 1.2% through March 2023. In August, #inflation will drop to 7.9% from 9% in June. Assuming an avg. 0.2% MoM increase, CPI hits the Fed’s 2% target in June 2023.
realinvestmentadvice.com/market-rally-s… Image
Despite Friday's rout, the #market did finish the week in positive territory. The deeply oversold indicators turned up and are close to triggering “buy signals.” The market is trading 2-standard deviations below the 50- WEEK moving average.
realinvestmentadvice.com/market-rally-s… Image
Read 6 tweets
The #BullBearReport is out.
The #rally runs into resistance and backtracks as #overbought conditions slow the #bulls. Is the run over, or just resting? We review the #FOMC minutes, what it means for #investors, the #technical backdrop and #allocations.
realinvestmentadvice.com/fomc-minutes-e…
At 2-standard deviations above the 50-dma, and the 200-dma acting as resistance, the #market pullback, as discussed last week, was expected. Support levels reside just below between 4000 and 4160.
realinvestmentadvice.com/fomc-minutes-e…
Great note from BofA this weekend.
“Applying a 20th century PE of 15x gets you to an S&P500 index of 3300, applying a 21st century PE of 20x gets you to an S&P500 of 4400; there’s your range."
Problem: The drivers of the 21st century range are reversing.
realinvestmentadvice.com/fomc-minutes-e…
Read 5 tweets

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