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"The World Wonders"

A new "useful fiction" story by August Cole and I in the US @NavalInstitute Proceedings magazine,

on how a war in the Pacific might start,

and the changed way that we might learn about it

usni.org/magazines/proc…
Given what happened with #BurnInBook moments coming true a week after publication, we ought to put a disclaimer on it...
But among the key trends it is designed to help visualize:
1) how easily a conflict could start
2) how social media reshapes not just reporting, even of a great power war, but also ways governments act.
3) how traditional US allies might respond differently than assumed in past
Read 3 tweets
More thoughts on Flying Car (crashes):
It is not specific to that system or miltary eVTOL. Rather it is an issue to any of the "flying car" systems. IE, to reach mass use, they are not going to be flown by actual trained pilots, which means they will have to be mostly automated.
That, though, opens up the risk of hacking, much as how drones have already been hacked, such as by changing reading of altitude or direction. That is, a flying car is not an escalator, where failure just means it turns into stairs....
We explored this in #BurnInBook , where we matched the research on flying car plans for cities and drone hacking (both real) with a scenario of a flying car ("air taxi" is how often also described) flown into the Washington Monument.
Read 3 tweets
“A John Henry-versus-the-steam-engine moment.”

Me on the AI vs human F-16 pilot test

“There is a nobility to the human role, but it symbolically points to a future of more and more machines in more and more roles,”
thedailybeast.com/inside-the-wil…
HT @daxe @thedailybeast
It is massively symbolic moment, a proof case that even in the most hallowed of human roles in air war, AI is moving in.

But it is just the start, the opening pitch of a nine inning game so to speak.
The key is that this is not really a "contest," but a learning exercise for both the military and the machine. The military is learning what works or not, but so is the system itself. Each and every data point makes that system more intelligent, more capable.
Read 11 tweets
Major moment in tech and maybe military history:

In the AI vs human F-16 fighter pilot test today,
the AI won 5-0.


A Deep Blue vs @Kasparov63 moment for war?
BTW, the machine was NOT allowed learn and self-improve during the test...
Need to understand something big of this though. Moving forward, though, the question in not just air combat, but also in policing, medicine, on the highway, etc. is NOT replacement of humans. It is how and where humans and machine team. Key #burninbook theme
Read 3 tweets
Is dystopian fiction good for society? Time for a THREAD!
The proximate cause of this thread is the following article by @peterwsinger @august_cole whose #burninbook you should check out, if you haven't already. slate.com/technology/202…
This thread is a friendly dissent to the article's premise that we need dystopian fiction now more than ever, and additional comment on broader implications of this argument.
Read 22 tweets

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