Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #c4brexit

Most recents (10)

#REMAINERNOW TOP TEN TWEETS OF 2018.

In 2018 we publicised so so many stories evidencing either the UK population or that individuals have changed their mind on brexit and are #Remainernow.

We now bring you the Top Ten stories (in terms of tweet impressions) of the year.

1/11
#REMAINERNOW TOP TEN TWEETS OF 2018

At Number 10 with 92,028 impressions..

This pair of compilation videos of numerous leave voters who appeared on the media within 4 days of the #Brexit "deal" coming out in November.

Worth a watch and share..



2/11
#REMAINERNOW TOP TEN TWEETS OF 2018

At number 9 (with 94,330 impressions)

A tweet sharing the results of the large @survation poll for the #c4brexit show in November which showed UK is noticeably #Remainernow

3/11

Read 11 tweets
The last enduring myth of #Brexit is that "Remainer" May betrayed leavers
Last night's #C4Brexit debate showed that up for what it is:
3 offers from 3 *clear* brexiters - all incompatible, each hated by the others

There is no deal anyone can agree on, that's what killed Brexit
In the end Brexit could only work if there was consensus, at least amongst Leave supporters if no one else. But instead #Brexit leaders are caught between May's deal, no deal, Canada+++ & Norway+

This is the issue, not May, Brexit leaders cannot speak with a single voice
Even if you accept that May's deal was a remainer compromise, what then? You'd at least expect to see the Brexiters coalescing around a single alternative, but they cannot
No deal, hard brexit, go back and renegotiate, they're moving between these options in desperation
Read 5 tweets
#C4brexit thread
1) Labour #Brexit "policy" finally exposed, the shiniest unicorns of all

Tonight we finally saw Barry Gardiner lay out Labour brexit policy, and its nothing short of an utter and complete fantasy which makes Vote Leave's pack of lies look reasonable
2) May government is offering the deal which at least represents something concrete if compromised

Mogg - no deal, terrifying but at least a "pure" brexit

Lucas - #PeoplesVote, a chance to step back and Remain

All 3 have a vision which can be discussed and assessed

Labour?
3) Labour are offering a brand new Customs Union which allows us to set our own trade deals and Veto the EUs

Full benefits of the SM but without FoM and a free pass on subsidising any industry

Why will we get this unicorn deal?

"we're the 5th largest economy"
Yes, he said that
Read 10 tweets
Canvassing whether to catch up on the #C4Brexit debate. Anything new to be learned, or are we still in CakeLand?
Ok, so first impression is that @krishgm is doing a terrific job of making people answer questions they prefer not to.

And, regardless of my own preference for a #PeoplesVote, i do think James Cleverly made a decent start, almost just by turning up to defend an unpopular deal.
Read 6 tweets
Think I'm watching on a slight delay, but have to say with considerable surprise that all four politicians in the #C4Brexit debate actually started with more facts than I expected
Barry Gardiner though... turned the unobtainium up to 11. Though good for him to recognise the need to deliver for both the 52 and 48 #C4Brexit
JRM failing the fact check though...
Read 10 tweets
A few quick thoughts on #C4Brexit @Survation poll of 20,000 people interviewed between 20/10 to 2/11.

54% of those who would vote now backing Remain.

Survey shows England too has gone Remain.

70% @UKLabour voters are Remain.

But our political situation is stuck in time. /1
A striking feature from @Survation analysis is that support for leaving EU has fallen most sharply in local authorities that saw highest vote share for Leave

Left pic (today) shows England too has gone Remain (yellow) from results in June 2016 (right). /2
This excellent @chrishanretty thread analysing @Survation data shows that its predominantly @UKLabour areas in the North that have seen greatest change.

That doesn’t begin to be reflected in the Labour leadership’s nearsilence on all things Brexit. /3

Read 12 tweets
Now that the #c4brexit show's over, time for some background charts focusing on trends in different areas (1/n)
As you might expect, there's a strong association between 2016 vote and how LAs would vote now (2/n)
Switches away from Leave are:
- more pronounced in areas that started out Leavier;
- more pronounced in areas that voted UKIP in the 2014 EP elections;
Switches away from Leave are:
- less pronounced in areas which voted Cons. in the 2014 EP elections
Read 14 tweets
Reminder. The UK has 66,000,000 people living in it. You only need 5,000 for a survey with a very strong confidence. Survation and C4 polled over 20,000.

What that means is you can hate the result of the survey all you like, but the methodology is definitely robust. #c4Brexit
Here’s the full underlying data from the C4 Survation poll on Brexit that was unveiled on the debate this evening...
survation.com/wp-content/upl…
Here’s a sample size calculator so that you can verify what size survey sample you need to get a particular accuracy. You will see that 20,000 people surveyed gives a very small margin of error.
surveysystem.com/sscalc.htm
Read 5 tweets
Survation’s big poll goes 54% Remain to 46% Leave. They polled over 20,000 people. Statistically you only need 5,000 people to give a very high confidence result (check that for yourself on any of the many free online stats calculators, don’t take my word for it) #c4Brexit
Here’s the full underlying data from the C4 Survation poll on Brexit that was unveiled on the debate this evening...
survation.com/wp-content/upl…
Here’s a sample size calculator so that you can verify what size survey sample you need to get a particular accuracy. You will see that 20,000 people surveyed gives a very small margin of error.
surveysystem.com/sscalc.htm
Read 5 tweets
I can see a lot of people on the #C4Brexit hashtag fretting about validity of the polling. You can check it yourself using any of the many free stats calculators online. Under 5,000 people are needed for a very, very accurate picture at the national level - and C4 polled 20,000.
For example this one (there are loads to choose from). Population of the UK is 66,000,000.
surveysystem.com/sscalc.htm#one
Finally, if your mind is not completely closed to facts, please explore the compilation of threads about various aspects of Brexit, below.
Read 3 tweets

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