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THREAD ON IMPEACHMENT AND REMOVAL IN THE NEW YEAR. The conventional wisdom is that the Republicans in the Senate will rush to acquit Trump. I outline here why I think that overstates the case, and that the process has any number of variables in which things may change.
1.Trump wants you to believe that the outcome is preordained. But it’s not. Particularly when he acts the way he does.

In short, he acts like a guilty man.
2. First, the facts. Trump has done something no one has done, not even Nixon. Categorically blocked all witnesses&documents in impeachment. That’s how a guilty man behaves. Nixon’s support looked strong through the start of impeachment, but it crumbled

nytimes.com/2019/11/12/opi…
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