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A June African Easterly Wave (#AEW) is getting ready to emerge off the African coast. While it is quite early in season, there are a couple of factors worth monitoring w/ this system over the next week I'll try to briefly describe --
Image source: @Weathernerds
Image source: @Weathernerds
As this wave propagates westward, a convectively coupled kelvin wave (#CCKW) is propagating eastward & could result in anomalous favorable environmental conditions across the MDR as it passes across over the next week.
Image source: ncics.org/portfolio/moni…
Image source: ncics.org/portfolio/moni…
In addition, we had a helpful "sacrificial" lead off system earlier that helped to moisten upstream environment. There has been good literature looking at the importance of the upstream wave environment moisture for ultimate development.
Image source: @TropicalTidbits
Image source: @TropicalTidbits
