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General McKenzie, commander of #CENTCOM told the U.S. Senate Armed Services Committee on March 15:
1. #ISKP poses a moderate to high threat to the Taliban& civilians. The group could establish an external attack capability against the U.S.& its allies in 12-18 months, or sooner.
2. #AQ will most likely continue to #maintain_a_low_profile under pressure from the #Taliban, which seeks international legitimacy. AQ likely still aspires to recruit& train, & if successful, restore an external attack capability against the U.S. & its allies in 12 to 24 months.
3. For the U.S., conducting CT operations in AFG from “over the horizon” remains difficult, but not impossible. Withdrawal of U.S. forces has exacerbated gaps in our intelligence. Reductions in consistent CT pressure potentially could enable VEO groups to pose increased #threats.
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