Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #cfrn99

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For the first time since the 1960s, there are 3 competitive political blocs largely along the old regional divides.

Hence the latest survey, which was commissioned by @EiENigeria and conducted by @sbmintelligence, did not provide us with a clear front-runner.
The first 2023 election survey conducted by SBM was published in July 2022 and showed that only 41% of registered voters had collected their Permanent Voters Cards (PVCs).

This assumption of low turnout fed into our December 2022 projections, based on a 7,000-respondent survey.
The assumption of low turnout changed when, in January 2023, our 6,500-respondent survey on PVC collection showed a remarkable increase in PVC collection - 97%.
Read 18 tweets
Earlier in this month, more than 127 Civil Society Organisations called attention to the violence, lawlessness and bloodletting in all parts of #Nigeria. bit.ly/3i3gpDs

This thread is adapted from a statement by the Joint Action Civil Society Coalition & Nigeria Mourns
On both occasions, they called on @NigeriaGov at all levels to provide leadership in ensuring that the security of all Nigerians is preserved as enshrined in section 14 (2)(b) of #CFRN99.
They also urged @NGRPresident to provide political and moral leadership for the security crisis and ensure governmental actions are humane in tandem with section 17 (2)(C) of #CFRN99.
Read 15 tweets
It's amusing to see a lot of pro-government misters trying to spread the disinformation that the #EndSARS protests of October 2020 were "hijacked" and turned into some sort of orgy of violence.
The facts, as recorded in this world of digital media where it is now difficult to hide, is that @NigeriaGov, unable to find "leaders" to either bribe, intimidate or otherwise coerce, cynically turned to thugs to disrupt (not hijack) the protests.
The govt's strategy succeeded to some extent, but the jury is still out, and it is increasingly looking like a case where they won a battle in order to lose a war.

This is where my column in today's @BusinessDayNg comes in: businessday.ng/columnist/arti…
Read 16 tweets
Yesterday a man was buried.

Abba Kyari was, to many, the de facto president of #Nigeria.

Since his demise became public knowledge, there has been a deluge of praise for him, as well as criticism of course, which will always accompany the death of an influential figure.
But something happened yesterday.

There was a concerted effort to blackmail those criticising the late Mr Kyari, in some cases by implying that those criticising him would die soon.

Like WTF?
In a century's time, not one person who is my agemate will be alive.

Heck, in half a century, most of us will be dead, so those blackmail merchants miss the point.

So let's look briefly at Abba Kyari's role.
Read 12 tweets
Truth is, @NyesomWlKE is wrong in this, and @hadisirika is right to blast him. But also today @elrufai's state, 748km away said they'll start quarantining travellers passing through.

Basically, #Nigeria's states are taking more power for themselves. Can Abuja stop it?
Let me tell a quick story...

In 1999, #Nigeria organised the u20 World Cup. The organisation was done entirely by the FG, and Nigeria ’99 is on record as probably the worst ever @FIFAcom competition. It led to loads of changes in the way FIFA ‘helps’ host countries.
10 years later, we were, for some reason, awarded the right to host the u17 World Cup.

When it became evident that the LOC was slacking, state governments in some state govs stepped in, and #Nigeria 2009 ended up being more successful in some areas than it was in others.
Read 18 tweets

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