Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #chinareopening
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Global Macro Review
11/20/2022
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#Recession cometh
Are you positioned accordingly?
Chart: Conference Board Leading Economic Index -3.2% over the past 6 months conference-board.org/topics/us-lead…
Global Macro Review
11/20/2022
🧵 1/7
#Recession cometh
Are you positioned accordingly?
Chart: Conference Board Leading Economic Index -3.2% over the past 6 months conference-board.org/topics/us-lead…
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The 10Y3M treasury spread, as a standalone indicator, has predicted recession with 98% accuracy.
Chart: 10Y3M Treasury Spread to -52 bps
The 10Y3M treasury spread, as a standalone indicator, has predicted recession with 98% accuracy.
Chart: 10Y3M Treasury Spread to -52 bps
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According to this Richmond Fed article, when both the LEI and 10Y3M are flashing #recession, there is a 99% chance of recession ahead.
richmondfed.org/publications/r…
Chart: Recession Indicators
According to this Richmond Fed article, when both the LEI and 10Y3M are flashing #recession, there is a 99% chance of recession ahead.
richmondfed.org/publications/r…
Chart: Recession Indicators
