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1. If #Ukraine can figure out a way to put a mechanized force across the #Dnipro at #Kherson, #NATO supplied armor force that has arrived could be used for a lightning strike on #Mariupol from #Vuhledar while a second force moves from #Kherson to cut Russian escape at #Armiansk.
2. With only the #Crimean bridges at #Chongar and #Henichesk available to withdraw the dilemma created by possible loss of #Mariupol could start a rout that will see #Russians abandoning more equipment to be able to escape into Crimea or in the east towards #Donetsk or #Rostov.
3. #Zalenskyy's visit to #Zaporizhia may suggest this is the plan. But guessing the #Ukrainian moves has proven a fool's errand. Just making the #Kremlin contemplate the capture of 50,000 Russian soldiers might be enough to get #Putin to withdraw especially
