Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #cis

Most recents (7)

Hilo sobre lo que es un Golpe de Estado
Cuando un Ministro se niega a dimitir y un Presidente a cesarlo despu茅s de comprobar que incit贸 a delinquir, minti贸 en el parlamento y despidi贸 a quien le impidi贸 cometer el delito, eso es un golpe de estado.
Cuando un Gobierno coloca como Fiscal General del Estado a un Ministro de su partido para controlar la Justicia y someter la separaci贸n de poderes, eso es un golpe de estado.
Cuando utilizas los medios de comunicaci贸n p煤blicos para fabricar las noticias a favor de tu Gobierno y desprestigiar al contrincante pol铆tico, niegas o tergiversas la realidad y pones tu logo en la pantalla, eso es un golpe de estado.
Read 12 tweets
So we've got a general election in #Spain today. Socialist PM Pedro S谩nchez is the frontrunner, although it's not certain that he will be able to put up a ruling majority. Here's a thread with a few thoughts on #28A:

1/
What's new?

a) The Socialists are set to win, a first since 2008
b) Five national parties will get over 10% of the vote
c) The far-right will enter parliament, a first since 1982
d) The conservative PP faces an assault on the right not seen since the UCD collapsed in the 80s

2/
The campaign has been heavily polarized between left and right.

The right (PP + Ciudadanos + Vox) has focused on #Catalonia, hammering S谩nchez's credibility and accusing him of being ready to cut the country into pieces for the sake of remaining in office.

3/
Read 37 tweets
Aprovechando el #CIS, un par de cuestiones sobre la evoluci贸n del voto en #auton贸micas #andaluzas entre 2015 y 2018. Hilillo va 馃憞(cc @CDialoga)
La tabla m谩s interesante es la de cruce 2015-2018. Con un poco de ingenio se puede extrapolar el cruce a n煤mero de personas, recuperando n潞 de casos y aplic谩ndolo al censo de 2018. Si la encuesta es representativa, recuperaremos el n煤mero de personas estimado en cada situaci贸n.
Este es el resultado de visualizar d贸nde van los flujos de voto de acuerdo al c谩lculo anterior: 馃憞
Read 10 tweets
Cuando quer谩is saber por qu茅 la intenci贸n directa de voto no es fiable tal cual:

Izquierda: recuerdo de voto Generales 2016 seg煤n el 煤ltimo CIS.
Derecha: resultado real.

馃

cc @CDialoga
Desglosando, Unidos Podemos sac贸 en Generales 2016 un 13,37%, En Com煤 un 3,55%, Comprom铆s un 2,74% y En Marea un 1,44%.
Por 煤ltimo, la participaci贸n real se qued贸 rozando el 70%, mientras que m谩s del 80% de los encuestados en el #CIS afirman haber votado.

En general, si el muestreo est谩 bien hecho, que un partido tenga m谩s recuerdo que resultado real es positivo, aunque no concluyente.
Read 21 tweets
The new @wiiw_news Handbook of #Statistics 2018 contains updated key #macroeconomic & structural indicators for 22 economies in #CESEE serving as easy-to-use reference tool & facilitating comparisons across topics, countries & time.
wiiw.ac.at/wiiw-handbook-鈥
Thread: 1/11
New features of the 2018 ed. include e.g.
- new key indicators at #regional levels
- #wages & #investment data by activity now also available for #Turkey
- comparable #structural breakdown for all countries
Find below examples of some conclusions from the newly released data
2/11
All countries in #CESEE experienced positive #economic #growth in 2017, clear leader was #EUCEE with average real GDP growth of 4.9%. Ten economies achieved their highest real #GDP growth rates over the last 5 years.
3/11
Read 11 tweets
Today we release our annual @wiiw_news Autumn #Forecast Report, with macroeconomic projections for #CESEE out to 2020. Below, a thread on the highlights 1/13
#Growth still looks quite good for most, notable upgrades this time for #Poland, #Serbia, #Hungary. But downgrades for several #EU members, plus #Turkey, #Macedonia and #Belarus. 2/13
Over the #forecast period we expect best growth performance in #EUCEE and #WesternBalkans, although both will slow by 2020. Outlook for #CIS & #Ukraine weaker. 3/13
Read 14 tweets
Recently, a #tenured #prof at a grp dinner made a #sexist joke. I didn't laugh.

He pointed at me & called me out on it.

"See, I knew SHE wouldn't get it."

I reported it to an #administrator & copied a 1st yr prof also present at dinner. She corroborated my story.

Thread 1/7
Like me, she couldn't say anything during dinner as senior prof collaborated w/ our prog, which he reminded us several times. The administrator I spoke to was sympathetic & concerned, & assured us that senior prof is a well-known a**. We aren't the 1st to run afoul of him. 2/7
Hearing their responses validated my experience greatly.

The 3 of us discussed how junior prof & I would deal w/ future events. One way was to ask senior prof to clarify his "jokes."

Junior prof said this was likely to be the least destructive. Administrator agreed. 3/7
Read 7 tweets

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