Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #coincidencetheory

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Nothing to see here, move along.

Vietnam
Before C19Vax: 35 deaths
Since C19Vax: 21381 deaths
Thailand
Before C19Vax: 83 deaths
Since C19Vax: 18403 deaths
Tanzania
Before C19Vax: 21 deaths
Since C19Vax: 703 deaths
Read 18 tweets
British Airways lost 4 out of 4000 pilots in one month during mass vaccination.
Similarly, JetBlue lost 5 out of less than 4000.

Using reasonable assumptions, I compute p-values of 0.0140 and 0.0025:

docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Actually, the p-value for JetBlue is a little lower, but I used 4000 pilots to be quick, when the actual number is under 3800.

I used actuarial tables under an assumption of a smooth age distribution of 30-60.
#CoincidenceTheory is alive and well.
Read 5 tweets
I'm performing an analysis on what happens to CFR in nations after starting mass vaccination.

If somebody has time to work with me on this project who has excellent data handling skills, and can spare a couple of days, contact me.

In the meantime, I'm going to drop results...
India began mass vaccination Jan 16. CFR has gone up a bit. These are not mRNA vaccines. The rise in CFR may be that efficacy favors reducing milder cases more than the deadlier ones. Image
The U.S. (primarily mRNA) began mass vaccination Dec 21, 2020. CFR has been on the decline, but went up, and too quickly for the 12 day AB lag to build up in any significant part of the population. Image
Read 37 tweets

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