Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #containment

Most recents (10)

1)Mal eine ganz banale Frage:

Wie geht es eigentlich weiter mit Covid19?

Gerade in der aktuellen Debatte um #Lockerungen finde ich es wichtig eine Antwort auf die so häufig gestellte "Bis wann"-Frage zu finden

Daher dieser THREAD 1/x


2)Eins vorab:

Die Antwort ist NICHT: "DAUER-Restriktionen bis zum Impfstoff", wie viele vermuten.

Was wir brauchen sind klare Kriterien und Absprachen, wann wir Restriktionen lockern können UND (ganz wichtig!) wann wir sie wieder einführen müssen (Bidirektionalität)
3)Um diese formulieren zu können, brauchen wir erst mal eine epidemiologische Strategie. Leuchtet ein, oder?

(Einschub: Es ist hoffentlich allen klar, dass SARS-CoV2 nicht von alleine weg geht?)

Was ist also unsere Strategie? Die Kanzlerin sagt dazu:

Read 14 tweets
1/ #Italy: a group representing dozens of relatives of people who died from #COVID19 is taking legal action aimed at revealing "where the system might have failed", as officials allegedly refused to take appropriate measures against the spread of #coronavirus in March.
2/ Doctors and virologists stated that a two-week delay in locking down the communities of Alzano and Nembro helped the virus to spread in the Bergamo area (571% increase in excess deaths/March). Other towns instead were immediately locked down after registering first cases.
3/ A recommendation to quarantine Alzano and Nembro, (issued by the National Health Institute) was opposed by the leading business lobby. Bergamo's Mayor also initially refused to impose a lockdown, but now he regrets, saying that the time lost was 2 months rather than 2 weeks.
Read 4 tweets
#Maharashtra #COVID19 Updates for today

*️⃣ New cases - 2739
*️⃣ Recovered patients - 2234
*️⃣ Deaths - 120
*️⃣ Active cases - 42,600
*️⃣ Total positive cases till date - 82,968
*️⃣ Total recoveries till date - 37,390
✡️ Recovery rate - 45.06%
✡️ Case fatality rate - 3.57%

As on today, there are 42,600 active #COVID19 cases in #Maharashtra.

Details of district-wise active cases are as follows:

2739 new #COVID19 cases have been reported in #Maharashtra today.

The state tally of #COVID19 positive patients is now 82,968.

District-wise details of cases and deaths until today are as follows:

Read 5 tweets
'Rajasthan'....Why NOT getting some limelight in #COVID19 context? At a Glance:
- 5119/mil tests
- 66% recovery rate
- 31% active cases
- 2.23% mortality
- 3% growth rate, which needs to be down further.
The state is doing fine so far!! #rajasthancoronaupdate Image
States w/ 1000+ #Covid_19 cases: Sample tested until 31 May & Positive rate(%)
#Maharashtra 14.63%, highest
Trouble: Delhi, Telangana, Bihar & Gujarat, need intervention.
Excellent: Andhra, Karnataka, J& K positive rate below 1.5%.
Good: Rajashthan, Haryana, UP #COVID19India Image
As on 1 June, #TamilNadu added 1162 new cases. Positive rate stands at 9.77%, highest in last 7 days. Recovery 57%, Active cases 42%, mortality is just 0.79%. #TamilNaduCoronaupdate #IndiaFightsCoronavirus @Sheks65 @pibchennai
Read 18 tweets
Der Prototyp einer zweiten Welle ist die der spanischen Grippe im Herbst 1918. Hierbei kamen über 20 Mio. Menschen ums Leben. Aber warum verlaufen 2. Wellen so viel heftiger als 1. Wellen? 1/8 THREAD👇 Vorerst Einschub:
#BreakTheChain #ZweiteWelle
Leider ist u.g. Tweet epidemiologische Realität. 2.Wellen werden durch Suppression und Flächenausbreitung begünstigt. Hierbei handelt es sich tatsächlich um ein epidemiologisches Phänomen, nicht bloß um eine Wiederaufnahme des Infektionsgeschehens 2/8
Suppression ist hier das Schlagwort.

Ein Suppressionsfaktor war 1918 die starke Saisonalität des Influenzavirus. Dieses hatte es bei Wärme und Außenaktivitäten der Menschen schwer sich zu verbreiten.

#BreakTheChain #covid19 #zweiteWelle 3/8
Read 16 tweets
Even uit de losse hand een aanvalsplan nu @bslagter eindelijk gehoord wordt over de mogelijkheid aan #Containment te doen.

De ui moet laag voor laag gepeld.

De rok van de ui is het slopen van de gedachte dat je tegelijk Containment/indammen en Mitigation/uitrazen kunt doen.
Als je het virus wilt marginaliseren moet je de uitbraak zover terugbrengen met strenge maatregelen dat de duizenden contactonderzoekers aan het werk kunnen om iedere infectie met z'n contacten te isoleren.

Dat is niet uitrazen gestuurd op IC-capaciteit met Rt~1. Gewoon niet.
De tweede laag van de ui is de gedachte killen dat Nederland aan indammen gaat of wil doen. Het kabinet is daar eigenlijk best eerlijk over, maar misleidt ook om twijfel te zaaien, en je hoort wat je wilt horen.…
Read 17 tweets
Many know UKGov for 2 months had a "Herd Immunity" [HI] plan for #Covid_19. now changed.

This plan was bad science, and NOT due to modelling.

The result, even with the change of strategy will be ~500,000 needless deaths.

I'm proposing now a theory of how it happened.
There's sufficient evidence that

1. UK Gov & advisors misunderstood viral behaviour
2. It reached for flu pandemic] choosing an ideological "survival of the fittest" solution
3. It ignored details of the plan, particularly warnings about viruses unable to [HI]
4. It failed or chose not to consult experts in the field
5. And deliberately sabotaged containment procedures in order to maximise exposure
6. It also failed to create the communication and NHS preparedness plans - speculation - because it thought they wouldn't be needed.
Read 44 tweets
#Covid_19 1/n: I hear the ppl with heated emotions, even if some of these tweets are no longer available. Let me clarify things. Once. Firstly, I am not from 🇨🇳. I came from a country that the WHO holds up as a gold standard for containing #COIVD19. Singapore. Why gold-standard?
#Covid_19 2/n:Because S’pore gov’t base their policies on science. One (!) case... and the entire gov’t went into action. It was the very first country to ban travelers & even TRANSITs from China in Jan. @SingaporeAir also proactively said it won’t fly to major internat’l hubs...
#Covid_19 3/n: when only a couple dozen cases have been detected. 1 dozen=12. This is responsible world citizenship.

Did China try suppressing info on the outbreak in the early days? Absolutely. This is a matter of public record. Should trade in wild-life be banned. Absolutely.
Read 13 tweets
Yesterday was hard.
Today will be harder.
It's going to get worse.

How do we deal and cope amongst the #uncertainty and #chaos?

Some thoughts about managing through the #coronavirus #pandemic:
1. At work:
✅If you're in a position of leadership, get on the same page with the rest of leadership
✅Know your institution's policies, collate them in 1 place, disseminate to employees
✅Be proactive in asking folks how they are. What ? do they have? If you don't know, say so
✅Amidst all the physical preparedness, don't forget to check on their mental and emotional health.

We are all scared. Uncertain of each coming day. Of each coming hour.

Don't assume when folks are quiet that they are not scare, confused, or just need a little comfort.
Read 25 tweets
MAR 5 #CoronavirusOutbreak MD THREAD 1: Latest ARGIS Map 3/5 6:53AM .. NOTE #China not supplying DEATHS update.FIRST SEE #IMF Report from yesterday.. AND Breaking #Boris suspends #British #Parliament .. IS #Iran totally sure that Vendor from #Wuhan had come to HolyDays before?
MAR 5 #CoronavirusOutbreak MD THREAD 2:
Yesterday's MD THREAD:
by MD trained during #HIV #AIDS Epidemic When we had to fight YEARS for Research, and Treatment.
Still do @VP #Pence killed many in #Indiana in 2015 #maddow @seattletimes @sfchronicle
MAR 5 #CoronavirusOutbreak MD THREAD 3: WaPo Mapping as I note above I like ARGIS JohnsHopkins Map better but this is US alone... HEADS UP..SCARY folks...
While #ImpeachedForLife #IMPOTUS45 #Trump and @VP Pence are clueless @maddow @CNN @votevets
Read 36 tweets

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