Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #continuousforecasting
Most recents (2)
1/n In-match, win probabilities for the #IndVsPak world cup game yesterday. This was a nail-biter of a game with a huge swing in fortunes towards the end. The win probability forecaster (by @ESPNcricinfo) has some lessons in #ContinuousForecasting
#metrics #agile
#metrics #agile
2/n The forecast is probabilistic, not deterministic. It always (except at the end..more on that in a bit) talks about the probability of an outcome, not "This shall happen". It is not a single - "Ind will win" or "Pak will win".
3/n How about your forecasts? Are they of the type - "I will get this done in 5 days" or "I have an 80% chance of getting this done in 5 days"
Game one has come and gone. Here is how the predictions have shifted for LeBron eclipsing Kareem.
We first made these predictions here - singhpr.medium.com/when-will-lebr…
Time to update the forecast. #ContinuousForecasting
We first made these predictions here - singhpr.medium.com/when-will-lebr…
Time to update the forecast. #ContinuousForecasting
Lebron scored 31 points in the first game of the season. 31 is a better score than 70% of the games Lebron played in the last three seasons.
Our New "LeBron plays all games" forecast -
