Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #coronarvirusoutbreak

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Let's talk seasonality and #covid19 #nCoV2019 #coronavirus.

There is an element of seasonal roulette with emerging viral diseases.

I have previously said #OnHere that China had a stroke of bad luck to have emergence in December, just as the flu season was getting underway.
The reason I mentioned before was that flu competes for space in hospitals, and causes Dx problems.

But there is another reason: flu and *all* respiratory viruses spread more in the wintertime.

Even measles — a rash, but which has respiratory transmission — is winter-dominant.
By emerging at the start of the N Hemisphere winter, the coronavirus #covid19 #nCoV2019 has all the advantages (to it) of the winter season. Not just confusion with flu, but the enhanced transmission that the winter brings to respiratory viruses.
Read 13 tweets

Auskunft Gesundheitsamt:

Deutschland hat KEINEN verfügbaren Schnelltest

Ein leitender Arzt vom Gesundheitsamt entscheidet, ob man einen Test machen kann oder nicht. Kriterien: Direkter Kontakt mit Person aus China, in China gewesen
Die Probe kann nicht vor Ort analysiert werden. Je nach Abgabeort bis zu 250km Anfahrt. Kühltransport.

In Wuhan konnte bis Anfang Januar auch nur der getestet werden, der Kontakt zum Seafood Market hatte.

Deutschland ist NICHT vorbereitet.

Ohne Schnelltestverfahren werden bei ersten lokalen Clustern Quarantänemaßnahmen nicht voll greifen, zB Kongressteilnehmer. Weitere Ausbreitung erfolgt.
Read 11 tweets

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