Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #covid19switzerland

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Finora non mi sono espresso molto sulla questione #Coronavirus, ma dopo l'evoluzione dei fatti negli ultimi giorni, ho deciso di dire la mia. 1/25 #Covid19 #Covid19ch #Covid19Italia #Covid19Italy #FlattenTheCurve #Covid19Switzerland
So già che mi farò odiare da molti, perché i miei pareri sono piuttosto controversi, ma per fortuna siamo ancora in una democrazia diretta con libertà di pensiero. 2/25
Voglio iniziare esprimendo la mia più grande solidarietà a tutti quelli che stanno soffrendo, nonché ai loro amici e familiari. La situazione è gravissima, prima in Cina, poi in Italia, in Ticino, nel resto della Svizzera ma anche altrove. 3/25
Read 25 tweets
Going through the numbers released by @WHO (in turn are numbers released by China) from Jan 20th to Jan 27th.

Based on the released numbers, I did a simple analysis on the day-by-day increase in # of confirmed cases and # of dead owing to #coronavirus Image
The findings:(day2day)

1. The # of infected ⬆️ by an average factor of 1.49 ⬇️ to 1.4 *

2. The # of dead ⬆️ by an average factor of 1.68 ⬇️ to 1.6 *

3. The Death:Infected ratio is currently around 2.7 (# of deaths/100 infections)

* ⬇️ owing to conservative estimates + factors
Based on above trends:

1. The # of infected & the # of dead may reach a significant figure as early as Feb 6th *

2. The "Death:Infected Ratio" may ⬆️ sharply after Feb 2nd *

* Not posting my numbers here.

3. #nCoV is faster in it's infection rates compared to #SARS

ℹ️:@WHO
Read 173 tweets

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