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A lot of interest in this comment. So let me lay out a framework for assessing risk in general and how it relates to Covid so we have a more nuanced understanding of “risk” and risk mitigation.
3 things can determine risk:
-probability
-severity
-time
1/N
3 things can determine risk:
-probability
-severity
-time
1/N
2/ Looking to lessons learned in wilderness education and mountaineering, risk can be understood as a combination of these 3 factors. And we have varying control over each of them in different settings. We do this all day long but don’t consciously think about it.
R=P*S*T
R=P*S*T
3/ In simple terms, P (probability) is just how likely is something to happen?
S (severity) is how bad would it be?
T (time) is how long you are at risk/exposed to the hazard.
Unpacking this from just “risk” helps tremendously with thinking about Covid.
S (severity) is how bad would it be?
T (time) is how long you are at risk/exposed to the hazard.
Unpacking this from just “risk” helps tremendously with thinking about Covid.
