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The Home Office published their quarterly update of crime outcomes data today, and I've been taking my periodic look at rape charge rates.

Here, first, we see that the charge rate for rapes recorded in 2020/21 has now reached 4.0% and continues to rise. #crimestats

1/ 🧵 Image
I can provide this kind of analysis because I've been collating an archive of the quarterly updates over the last 2 yrs, something I'm not aware anyone else has done.

Here's a summary of the data.

2/ Image
We can look at charge rate progression in chart form, comparing where successive years have got to. The dashed lines and hollow markers indicate no refresh of the data published at that point.

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Read 11 tweets
🚨The #crimestats for #NYC are out and they’re not good.

Murder: ⬆️ 25%
Rape: ⬆️ 63.6%
Robbery: ⬆️ 63.7%
F. Assault: ⬆️ 23%
Burgs: ⬆️ 21%
Grand Larceny: ⬆️ 79.8%
GLA: ⬆️ 103.5%

Shooting Vics: ⬇️ 30%
Shooting Incidents: ⬇️ 31.6%

Week: ⬆️ 57.58%
YTD: ⬆️ 48.49%
The only bright spot was shootings down and Murder was up 1. Other than that, they’re ugly.

Source: www1.nyc.gov/assets/nypd/do…
Weekly #crimestats by #NYC Borough:

Bronx: ⬆️ 40.34%
Brooklyn South: ⬆️ 88.36%
Brooklyn North: ⬆️ 41.98%
Manhattan South: ⬆️ 60.09%
Manhattan North: ⬆️ 62.58%
Queens South: ⬆️ 56.93%
Queens North: ⬆️ 72.5%
Staten Island: ⬆️ 52.5%
Read 8 tweets
Some discussions in the press about how charge/summons rates vary by police force area.

Here I've prepared some charts to look at rape and other sexual offences, for the 3 years from 2018/19 to 2020/21 (inclusive).

First, rape charge rates.

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A very wide range of charge rates (as at July 2021: these data are periodically refreshed).

Durham are in a league of their own, with a 7.1% charge rate. Wilts, Kent, A&S and GMP all under 2%. Met Police on 2.3%. #crimestats

2/
Here's the same data with the 3 years separated out.

Note that rape offences that reach a charge typically take a long time to investigate, so those reported in 2018/19 have had longer to reach a conclusion, and not all rapes recorded over the 3 years are finalised yet.

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Read 16 tweets
I have a question about DASH forms, and wonder if someone can help?

If police respond to an allegation of rape, and the victim/complainant and suspect are in a domestic relationship, is a DASH assessment conducted?

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Why am I asking? Because in the context of understanding the police recording of rape, I'm trying to work out if it is possible to identify the % of rapes reported via DASH forms, secondary to a different primary allegation of domestic abuse/violence.

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For context: around 1/3 of police recorded rape allegations relate to domestic relationships. I'm told many are recorded after being disclosed during DASH assessments.

Eg police respond to a domestic assault, conduct a DASH assessment, the victim discloses a previous rape.

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Read 8 tweets

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