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Day Two of #DeterrenceConf kicking off with my previous 3* Peter Watkins. Talking cyber, space and deterrence including @blagden_david
Starting with cyber, highlighting how understanding of technicalities of cyber still remain in a small community. Probably need to grow understanding of the capability and it’s limitations.
How do we deter cyber attacks? We have threatened to use multi-domain responses as agreed at NATO Wales 17. The problem is anonymity and attribution - who is the return address? How do we get to certainty? Prove the machine and location but not the C2 and executive.
Read 38 tweets
Afternoon panel: #DeterrenceConf
What is current strategy? US NDS says long term threat is RUS and CHI seek to mould the world in their favour at the expense of the rules based order. CHI scoping and pacing power, RUS acute problem with nuclear weapons and a gang of rogues.
Every new 1* had entered the military post 1991. So competition with new powers is not new to them nor is the chaos of post Cold War order.
Read 14 tweets
How to adapt deterrence to novel weapons, disruptive technologies and strategic challenges - including rebuilding our nuclear and conventional deterrence.
Run through of changes to the NATO conventional response and deterrence structure - including new domains (cyber) - new nature of Art 5 cyber clause. Biggest reinforcement of collective deterrence in a generation.
No quarrel with the Russian people. NATO is a defensive alliance with no intent to intimidate anyone or any state. Adaptation needs to continue to provide effective deterrence in cyber and hostile state action.
Read 76 tweets

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