Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #drawdowns
Most recents (3)
On PMIs
1. Recently, we received new PMI data, which feeds into our PMI composite, whose readings continue to show a weak environment for growth assets (stocks, commodities, & high yield credit). As of the latest available data, our PMI composite now shows a reading of -10.93.
1. Recently, we received new PMI data, which feeds into our PMI composite, whose readings continue to show a weak environment for growth assets (stocks, commodities, & high yield credit). As of the latest available data, our PMI composite now shows a reading of -10.93.
2. This was a sequential deceleration from one month prior and a decline in the three-month trend. PMIs are generally strong directional indicators of where we are in the profit cycle, as PMI respondents manage inventories and orders in response to their outlook on profitability.
3. PMI indicators are typically biased toward the manufacturing sector. While this does indeed make sense since production is largely driven by the manufacturing sector, it is important to also separate these sub-indexes to understand the pervasiveness of the current trend .
1) In the @WSJ, last year @Justinbaer utilised a very useful perspective to historical declines and S&P #BearMarkets.
Following @naterattner's chart, I've applied the similar methodology to #BIST and let's have a closer look to the results.
Following @naterattner's chart, I've applied the similar methodology to #BIST and let's have a closer look to the results.
2) In the study, I selected #XU100 Index as a proxy and worked with 6.386 daily observations (Range is from 02/07/1997 to 20/01/2023).
Below is history of #drawdowns from All Time High (#ATH) levels to the lowest values for the #BIST. Left scale shows the percentage declines.
Below is history of #drawdowns from All Time High (#ATH) levels to the lowest values for the #BIST. Left scale shows the percentage declines.
3) As you can see, maximum drawdown is minus 67.03% and there were more occasions for 50% drops in the past.
Black dotted line represents #BearMarket territory with more than 20% declines from the peaks, and it looks more common and recursive to drastic declines.
Black dotted line represents #BearMarket territory with more than 20% declines from the peaks, and it looks more common and recursive to drastic declines.
#RussiaUkraineConflict begins, and markets are crashing the world over. Wars come with an irreparable human cost. But what about the impact on us far away? If your portfolio looks red and you are worried, this is for you. A #thread 🧵
#sensex #stockmarketcrash
#sensex #stockmarketcrash
Let’s travel back in time to see how wars have affected the markets. We'll look at the largest #drawdowns because of war, and use the movement of S&P 500 index to track impact. 2/n
March 1939, Nazi Germany enters former Czechoslovakia. Markets go down🔻 -20.5% in 22 days. And how long did it take to recover⬆️? About 12 months. Within a year, the drop was eliminated. 3/n
