Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #economies

Most recents (6)

The race is on to find a #COVID19 vaccine. We’ve conducted an in-depth review of the development pipeline and immunization and demand scenarios. What might a #vaccine mean for the #pandemic—and society? Here are 11 tweets about what we’ve learned. mck.co/31CaSdj (1/11)
So when could we get a #vaccine? Globally, scientists are working on more than 250 potential ‘candidate’ vaccines; 30 have reached clinical study stage; around 25 are poised to enter human trials in 2020. mckinsey.com/industries/pha… (2/11)
There is growing optimism: Scientists and governments are reporting timelines for emergency use of candidate #vaccines between Q4 2020—Q1 2021 (although we are unlikely to see vaccines for broad population use until later in 2021). mckinsey.com/industries/pha… (3/11)
Read 11 tweets
.#Markets keep pivoting off of a great deal of noise running through the #media, but as we’ve indicated for some time, it’s worth taking a step back to consider the power behind #monetary rescue programs and their influences.
Critics of the efficacy of quantitative easing (#QE) often contend that asset purchase proceeds remain stranded in the #financial #economy
but the transfer of #capital to #MainStreet actors; amounts to the first direct payment of money creation from the #Fed into the real #economy since WW2, catalyzing broad #money and incremental #NGDP growth, and Chair Powell also indicated those purchases won’t run off.
Read 6 tweets
As we’ve argued many times in the past, the #CashFlows generated by today’s #economy are accruing to fewer and fewer corporate players, which is why it’s not surprising that the top 5 companies in the $SPX by market cap comprise nearly 21% of the index total.
And contrary to the many commentaries speculating on the hypothetical differences between pre- and post- #Covid #economies, we’re fairly certain that this is a trend that’s likely to accelerate. Especially when the @Nasdaq just added the equivalent of two Russell 2000s this year!
Revenues, cash flows and ultimately #market #capital flows are in motion at an astounding speed, as #investors attempt to distinguish between winners/losers in sectors, industries and individual companies: that amazing structural evolution is key to #investment success today.
Read 3 tweets
The #IMF says the "Great Lockdown" recession will likely be the worst since the Great Depression. Global economy projected to shrink by 3% in 2020. By contrast, in January, the IMF had forecast a global GDP expansion of 3.3% for this year. Details in chart below. Table: @IMFNews
IMF: Partial global rebound to 5.8% in 2021 “assumes the #pandemic fades in the 2nd half of 2020, & that policy actions taken by countries are effective in preventing widespread firm bankruptcies, extended job losses, & system-wide financial strains.” #WEO ow.ly/ZLYi50zccSJ
How does your country fare in the latest #IMF projections for 2020 & 2021? imf.org/~/media/Files/… @IMFNews #economies #GDP #finance
Read 21 tweets
Lets talk about how important it is to frequently #Review #CentralBank #MonetaryPolicy #Frameworks...
I will set things off by pointing out that the various facets of #BusinessCycles (early, mid, late / boom & busts) consistently keep reminding us that what goes up, must come down. We might find ourselves in a prolonged #expansion, but eventually it decelerates into a #recession
As part of #Macroeconomic management (counter cyclical), a #CentralBank's objective (through its #MonetaryPolicy) is to maintain #PriceStability & #FinancialStability & in other cases, to promote #FullEmployment. It does this hand in hand with #FiscalPolicy...
Read 15 tweets
#demographics #militaries #economies #currencies
#USA
- Best demographics
- Largest military
- Largest economy
- Most used currency
- Liquid financial markets
- Open capital account
- Rule of law
- Best geography
- Can be self sufficient if required
- Not trade dependent
#USA
Top trade partners as of 30 June 2018:
- China: 15.2% (strategic competitor)
- Canada: 15.1%
- Mexico: 14.6%
- Japan: 5.1%
- Germany: 4.4%

The next 10 years could result in the below:
- Mexico (25%)
- Canada (20%
- Japan (7%)
- South Korea (5%)
- Great Britain (4%)
#USA
Bring the manufacturing (jobs) home while negatively impacting China's economy.
forbes.com/sites/kenrapoz…
cebglobal.com/talentdaily/au…
irishtimes.com/business/econo…
Read 338 tweets

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