Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #electability
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#electability
This poll had a sample size of 10k. The largest I've ever seen. MorningConsult will occasionally hit 7-8k
This poll had a sample size of 10k. The largest I've ever seen. MorningConsult will occasionally hit 7-8k
"But National polls are worthless because of the electoral college. handwave handwave. Clinton. OMG we're all going to die"
The only modern examples of popular vote vs electoral college contradictions are Al Gore with 0.5% margin and HRClinton with 2% margin.
The only modern examples of popular vote vs electoral college contradictions are Al Gore with 0.5% margin and HRClinton with 2% margin.
So to be safe, let's turn that +3% Sanders margin into a +5% margin instead of spreading weak fear mongering like Russian Meddling or OMG Socialism or All His Supporters Are Assholes or unfounded age & health concerns.
For 10 years I’ve worked on progressive policies like immigration reform while living in rural or red states. Below is a thread to try and help progressives avoid repeating the same mistakes we’ve made in the past especially when it comes to the #electability argument.
Obviously the Democratic brand is a liability in rural communities. @RuralOrganizing 2018 midterm polling showed that 68% of rural Americans consider themselves to be conservative or moderate. But that's only half of the picture. ruralorganizing.org/polling-brief-…
Democrats tend to engage rural voters in one of two ways. They either outright ignore them or try to sound more like Republicans. This cycle, many DC consultants are pushing the latter which is a big mistake. thehill.com/opinion/campai…
Not to mention the only Democrat since Carter to go north of 50 percent in the popular vote....
Carter 1976: 50.1%-48%
Clinton 1992: 43%-374%-18.9%
Clinton 1996: 49.2%-40.7%-8.4%
Gore 2000: 48.4%-47.9%
Obama 2008: 52.9%-45.7%
Obama 2012: 51.1%-47.2%
H. Clinton: 2016: 48.2%-46.1%
Carter 1976: 50.1%-48%
Clinton 1992: 43%-374%-18.9%
Clinton 1996: 49.2%-40.7%-8.4%
Gore 2000: 48.4%-47.9%
Obama 2008: 52.9%-45.7%
Obama 2012: 51.1%-47.2%
H. Clinton: 2016: 48.2%-46.1%
Barack Obama won by the most crushing majorities any Democrat had since LBJ: winning by 10 million and 5 million votes in 2008 and 2012 respectively. Next best Dem performer? A woman: Hillary Clinton, who won the popular vote by 3 million votes. Just sayin... #electability
Democrats just don't seem to accept who their base is: 9/10 black voters, 7-8/10 LatinX and API voters, 8-9/10 Native American, Muslim & Jewish voters, close to half of white women voters, most LGBT, maybe 3/10 white male voters, most nonwhite+a plurality of wht college grads.
