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THREAD (of my #enova2020 presentation)

If 2.5°C is easy, why is 2°C hard?

The future is uncertain & scenarios are used to explore those uncertainties. But which scenarios are more likely & why is this important to know?

enova.no/enovakonferans…

1/
Baseline scenarios assume no climate policy through to 2100, nor climate impacts on society.

They show a wide range, with some baseline scenarios decreasing emissions while others showing rapid growth (& acceleration).

2/
RCP8.5 (SSP5-8.5) is a particular baseline scenario, assuming both a fossil fuel intensive world, no climate policy, & no climate impacts to 2100.

RCP8.5 was selected as an outlier scenario 10 years ago, & it is even more of an outlier now given current developments.

3/
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