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1/10 Since October @ftargument has been running a crowd forecasting project for #COVID19. First in Germany and Poland and now in all ECDC nations + the United Kingdom.
You can contribute your forecasts here: cmmid-lshtm.shinyapps.io/crowd-forecast/
You can contribute your forecasts here: cmmid-lshtm.shinyapps.io/crowd-forecast/
2/10 We submit an ensemble of these forecasts to the ECDC forecast hub where they are combined with many other models from other forecasters and evaluated.
covid19forecasthub.eu/visualisation
covid19forecasthub.eu/visualisation
3/10 This crowd forecasting method has been found to perform well compared to models submitted by multiple groups and to be one of the only methods to produce useful forecasts at longer time horizons.
medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
