Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #escalation

Most recents (13)

Guerra #Ucraina, ricapitoliamo lo stato delle cose:
1) Nel 2014 gli #USA partecipano al #golpe contro il governo eletto in Ucraina (Yanukovych);
2) La #Russia per risposta occupa la #Crimea, storicamente russa;
3) Novembre 2021 l'#Ucraina firma un partenariato con gli #USA per l'entrata nella #NATO con la promessa della restituzione della #Crimea;
Perciò la storia secondo cui questo fosse una paranoia russa è falso, l'Ucraina stava per entrare nella Nato.
4) Dal 2018 inizia un massiccio armamento dell'#Ucraina da parte degli #USA, anche con #Javelin, droni...
5) Il conflitto non è solo tra #Russia e #Ucraina, le difficoltà russe sul campo sono anche dettate dalla fattiva partecipazione della #Nato, con armamenti, informazioni...
Read 11 tweets
1/5.
The #Crumbling #Empire & its #EU #Vassals are #Locked in an #Economic #War of #Attrition with #Russia, which it did NOT #Expect & against which it has NO #Plan on how to #Win it.
The #Increase of ever #More #Sanctions on #Russia are #Hurting both the #US & even more>>
2/5.
the #EU-part of the #Empire more than #Russia,
in a steady #Rising way, creating more & more #Resistance against it, both in the #US as in #Europe.
In the #Battlefield- #War-#Theatre however, its clear that the #Russian #Allies are slowly, but #Decisively & #Grindingly>>
3/5.
#Destroying the #Ukraine #Army & its #Infrastructure, that was #Constructed, #Armed & #Trained by the #NATO-allies in the 8 years since the #Maidan #Coup & #Start of the #Ukraine #Civil #War in 2014.
When the #Policy of #Fighting instead of #Diplomacy continues,
>>
Read 6 tweets
1. Sono inorridito per le immagini di #Bucha - che confermano, per l'ennesima volta, l'orrore maladetto delle #guerre, motivo per il quale da trentacinque anni sono impegnato per la #nonviolenza - ma sono anche molto preoccupato per il clima di questo Paese
2. Dove la ricerca della #verità è sostituita dal bisogno ossessivo della conferma alle proprie #opinioni.
Dove la ricerca delle vie d'uscita al #conflito armato è sostituita dallo schierarsi sull'attenti contro il #nemico. Spesso interno, prima che esterno.
3. Dove la ricerca di soluzioni alternative a più #armi e più guerra fino alla possibilità dell'atomica è sostituita dall'#escalation cieca dell'"occhio per occhio e dente per dente". Dove la ricerca del dialogo tra opinioni differenti è sostituita dall'uso delle clave mediatiche
Read 5 tweets
There are no treaty limits to the number of tactical (non-strategic or battlefield) nuclear weapons a country can possess.

🇺🇸 has est. 230 tactical nuclear weapons
🇷🇺 has est. 1,000 to 2,000 tactical nuclear weapons

Source: sgp.fas.org/crs/nuke/RL325… (2021, p. 2) #escalation 1/
"We estimate that Russia today has approximately 1,912 nonstrategic nuclear warheads, potentially fewer, assigned for delivery by air, naval, ground, and various defensive forces." 2/ thebulletin.org/premium/2022-0…
"Russia retains the right to use nuclear weapons. This does not mean that Russia will use such weapons, and deterrence at the strategic level appears to be robust. At the tactical level, however, the situation is different." 3/ thebulletin.org/2022/03/read-t…
Read 6 tweets
RUSSIA'S EXPANSION
1. While most analysts see primarily a crime, I see primarily an error in Putin’s recognition of the two Russia-created East Ukrainian pseudo-states. This and the entry of regular Russian troops into the occupied territory are doubtlessly criminal & worrisome.
2. Yet, the East Ukrainian reality on the ground has so far not changed much with this "illegal legal" act and additional military presence. Instead, the larger political constellation of the conflict is arguably shifting to #Russia's disadvantage.
3. First, the always dubious and #Kremlin-imposed #MinskAgreements will not any longer be available as instruments of #Russian political pressure on #Ukraine. Second, the #West will now close ranks with Ukraine in view of #Russia's new blatant violation of #InternationalLaw.
Read 7 tweets
1. Many analysts are now fully convinced that a large #escalation of #Russia's #war against #Ukraine is imminent. However, we should not discount the possibilty that the #Kremlin is still playing a #gameofchicken. A major war would be a sharp break with #Putin's past behaviour.
2. The prospect of an imminent large war dictates negotiations and deescalation - possibly involving even concessions by Kyiv and the West. In contrast, a #chickengame demands calm, firmness, and composure. The apt strategy is then to not blink rather than to quickly compromise.
Read 3 tweets
188/ns The urgent need for an Indian (conventionally armed) #Rocket #Force & associated #ISR to deter a decapitating strike by #PLARF 🧵
190/ns #National #Security #Strategy: #India's upcoming #Rocket #Force; Background, current state & future prospects 👍🏼 thediplomat.com/2021/11/indias…
Read 31 tweets
#Occupy: Thread/Collection on #Warmongering.

Hugh #Escalation after #Biden's #NATO-"#Talks"

Naked Truth:
#Israeli PM Bennett Hints at Possible #Involvement in Recent #Attack on #Iranian Nuclear #Site - Report:
sputniknews.com/middleeast/202… via @SputnikInt
US Threatens Arab States With Sanctions If They Choose to Normalize Ties With Syria - Report:
sputniknews.com/world/20210625… via @SputnikInt
US Confirms Three Drone Attacks Near Its Consulate in Erbil, Iraqi Kurdistan - Photos:

sputniknews.com/middleeast/202… via @SputnikInt
Read 14 tweets
New #rstats package #precautionary now on CRAN CRAN.R-project.org/package=precau…

“The shaft of the arrow had been feathered with one of the eagle’s own plumes. We often give our enemies the means of our own destruction.”

— Aesop

[THREAD] 1/
By unifying several categories of dose-escalation design under a single simulation framework, @CatchTwentyToo’s neat #escalation package has greatly facilitated the development of package #precautionary. 2/

@CatchTwentyToo My initial experiments toward #precautionary began by cloning his #escalation sourcecode, then — following the plan I had intimated in a 2018 letter desk-rejected by @CCR_AACR — “changing just one line of simulation code”: pubpeer.com/publications/4… 3/ Image
Read 40 tweets
#Iran

So if it comes to a invasion of #Iran there are several things to see and know. The #Geography is on the side of Iran. The #West is protected by a massiv #Chain of #mountains wich would be easy to #defend even with a weaker #army they could try to keep there a defend line
The north is not able to reach for the #US troops and the #caspiansee is #landlocked by many #nations. A inportant @NATO allie if the defens act works would be #Turkey wich would be forced to send troops against #Iran and a area mainly owned by #Kurds in #Iran.
the east has a little lower mountain chain and a bigger desert in the south west the #Dasht-e #Lut and is coverd by huge #rocks and the area of #Namak-#Zar inside Dasht-e Lut is the #hotest place on #earth actual. And the border area to #Pakistan is also coverd by a dry #desert
Read 11 tweets

Related hashtags

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!