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#ClimateChangeNow #ExtremeWeatherUpdate THREAD
#Invest91L located East of the Seaward Islands has woken up at day break with explosive convection - and is starting to look organised.
This storm is forecast to move towards the Gulf of Mexico.
#Invest91L located East of the Seaward Islands has woken up at day break with explosive convection - and is starting to look organised.
This storm is forecast to move towards the Gulf of Mexico.
In the long range PWAT animation in the quoted thread above you can see one possible outcome, a massive cyclone embedded in a gyre which nearly covers the entire Gulf of Mexico.
But that is still a long way off and can probably be considered a worst case scenario.
But that is still a long way off and can probably be considered a worst case scenario.
Hurricane's are not predictable at such long ranges. But large scale dynamics about atmospheric water dynamics are fairly reliable at range.
At this point the NHC remains unconvinced by Invest91L itself. And gave it just a 20% probability of formation only this morning.
At this point the NHC remains unconvinced by Invest91L itself. And gave it just a 20% probability of formation only this morning.
