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A short 🧵🪡
1/7

Equity markets remain on a ‘hair trigger’ and today’s wobble probably due to $FRC and regional bank model concerns

👀 on #Fed FOMC 5/3-5/4

- we still expect a ‘dovish’ +25bp
- regional softness one factor
- other is lots of disinflation in pipeline
2/7

Case-Shiller showed upside surprise on price (MoM) but arguably as important is home prices went to ZERO YoY

- zero price inflation on homes
- @Redfin rent yoy negative
- Yet, #CPI showing 8.6% yoy gains for housing

CPI lagging real-time measures = disinflation in pipeline Image
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