Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #fiscal

Most recents (10)

Another canard currently doing the rounds is this whole, "Yields are low ergo public debt is no burden - and yields must STAY low or it WOULD quickly become one, far too heavy to bear" schtick.

#UST #Treasury #Fed #deficit 1/x
Clearly no-one understands the difference between real costs and virtual, financial ones.

The State's gross mishandling of the #coronavirus crisis has destroyed or impaired tremendous amounts of productive #capital - a loss which should neither be understated nor camouflaged 2/x
The fact that the gazillion new IOUs #UST has issued as a partial (and temporary) recompense for this will come with artificially low interest rates is absolutely NO cause for cheer: in fact, quite the converse. 3/x
Read 7 tweets
With only a few days to go before the most comprehensive #lockdown announced by GoI comes to an end, participated in a VC with Hon PM to discuss the exit strategy to deal with fallout from #COVIDー19 Crisis & ways to kick start the #economy. Made the following suggestions.(1/n)
1. TESTING: Use Rapid test kits to segregate the people into red, yellow & green zones. Empowering employers to test their workforce, will reduce the burden on Govt and create green zones of productivity and help get economy back on track. (2/n)
2. #supplychain: They are extremely important to get the economy moving even in a partial manner. Allowing trucks to #transport goods and other #materials is vital for the #economy. The Govt might also consider ensuring Road side facilities for the drivers' #welfare. (3/n)
Read 11 tweets
Though it hardly needs to be said, there are few historical precedents for us to look to that are truly comparable to recent #Fed policy moves. The 2008/09 #GFC is an obvious analogue, but the pace and extent of #policy moves is even eclipsing that.
Another potential point of reference is the Second World War when, following Pearl Harbor, the @federalreserve pledged that it would be: “prepared to use its powers to assure at all times an ample supply of funds for financing the war effort.”
That stance, in effect, left the @federalreserve’s System Open Market Account’s (#SOMA) size at the mercy of #Congress and the Administration, which is a clear example of the #Fed doing “whatever it takes” to prevent unwanted increases in #yields to fund #fiscal crisis response.
Read 7 tweets
Reading all these calls for ‘stimulus’, one wonders, if Constantine XI had had a ‘technology we call the printing press’ would his city not have fallen to the besieging Ottomans in 1453.
Shame he hadn’t heard of Gutenberg’s newly invented gizmo...
#Fed #UST #coronavirus #ECB
“The bad news, Tommy, iss for your ze war iss over. Ze good is, your RAF has parachuted in a packet of £5 notes to ease your captivity”
#coronavirus #stimulus #centralbanks #HelicopterMoney
Imagine if, during the Berlin Airlift, General Lucius Clay had not bothered flyng in food and fuel, but had just dropped Greenbacks.

You think Stalin might have chuckled?
#stimulus #coronavirus #COVID2019 #centralbanks #fiscal
Read 9 tweets
Lets talk about #Global #CentralBanks and their #MonetaryPolicy stances given #COVID19. Specifically, lets ask ourselves: "Can Central Banks Help Fight COVID-19?"
The best place to start is to note that #Global #Growth was already facing considerable downside risks before the #COVID19 outbreak December 2019. The slow down in global growth came on the back of trade (china vs. us) and geopolitical (Brexit etc.) tensions...
To this end, institutions such as the #IMF & #WorldBank revised down their 2020 #Economic #Growth outlook & emphasised the need for a more coordinated #policy approach between #monetary & #fiscal policy around the globe to "rescue" growth from the doldrums...
Read 14 tweets
Lets talk about the 1st meeting of #G20 #Finance Ministers and #CentralBank Governors. Specifically, lets talk about the short to medium term headwinds for global #Economic #Growth...
If you haven't been living under a rock, and you happen to be an avid scholar / practitioner in the world of #Global #Finance / #CentralBanking, then you know that the Group of 20 Finance Ministers & Central Bank Governors met on the 22-23 Feb 2020 in #Riyadh, #SaudiArabia...
The 2020 #g20 meeting of finance ministers & central bank governors in #Riyadh brought together key #Fiscal and #Monetary #Policy makers to discuss, inter alia, what #Global #Economic #Growth prospects look like in the short to medium term...
Read 12 tweets
Wondering what’s happening with #socialassistance reform in Ontario?

Here’s a new report from @maytree_canada on Service Transformation in Ontario Works.

It's lengthy, so I’ve tried to capture the threads with, well, this thread🧵. #onpoli

maytree.com/publications/s…
Though the gov repealed some of its early decisions on income support, there are significant changes underway on the service delivery side, in particular changes to the employment and skills training offered to #OntarioWorks recipients that we need to pay attention to.
The paper explores what these changes are, whether they address the root causes leading people living in #poverty to need support from OW, how other countries fared when undertaking similar reforms (spoiler alert: not great), & things that @ONgov will need to consider.
Read 17 tweets
#BREAKING

#Lithuania #Vilnius

Last week #Lithuanian #parliament adopted the state #budget for 2020. The main #financial document of the #state was approved by the majority of voters.
It is sad to see how #Lithuania is #suffering without #money. Absolute #chaos – this is how they say in #Lithuania about the new budget.
So, state budget revenues are planned in the amount of 11.559 billion euros, expenses – 12.705 billion euros.
The budget deficit will amount 2.9% of the planned gross domestic product. In other words, the #Lithuanian #draft hardly met the requirements of #fiscal #discipline. The #budget #deficit for #EU member states should not exceed 3% of GDP.
Read 16 tweets
#OpportunityCost is the aggregate net cost of doing something, vis a vis 'not doing it' at all.

The initial project, option & prospect of #Brexit came with huge opportunity costs, which were too easily pre-discounted as #ProjectFear. 1/
The initial #Leave case, dramatised by the #BorisBus, contended that UK could save its £350m pw #EU 'gross membership contribution' and pass that 'saving' straight to the #NHS - as 'additional funding'. 2/
The #Leave case focused on saving UK's #EU gross membership cost in favour of #NHS.

It ignored regular #EU annual contributions back into a multiplicity of UK projects, which would obviously be stopped, if we ceased membership.
3/
Read 34 tweets
1/6 As Powell puts in his recent speech, we are “in a world of slow global growth, low inflation, and low interest rates…" and "fac[ing] heightened risks of lengthy, difficult-to-escape periods in which our policy interest rate is pinned near zero.”
2/6 CF40 member Miao Yanliang mentioned in his book that, under a #fiscal policy framework, the #demographic change and pessimistic anticipation collectively contribute to the world characterized by LOW #inflation, LOW #growth and LOW interest rate.
mp.weixin.qq.com/s/6q8SJ9RHmrKh…
3/6 After the global financial #crisis in 2008, major developed countries faced pressure to reduce #deficits, #debt, and private sector #deleveraging. In this context, the macro-policy has shifted from the former #monetary dominance to #fiscal dominance. #macroeconomics
Read 6 tweets

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