Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #fl07

Most recents (18)

So, here's how redistricting and, in some cases, gerrymandering, helped the Republicans take the House:

Again, Republicans had full control over redistricting in 17 states (AL, AR, FL, GA, IN, KS, KY, MS, MO, NE, NH, NC, OK, SC, TN, TX and WV).
Democrats had full control over redistricting in 7 states (IL, MD, MA, NV, NM, OR and RI).

There were 3 states in which an Independent Commission drew the lines but Republicans could override them (IA, OH and UT).
And there was 1 state in which an Independent Commission drew the lines but Democrats could override them (NY).

Because of the 2020 Census, CA, IL, MI, NY, OH, PA and WV all lost House seats.
Read 23 tweets
Republicans flip the much-litigated #FL04, with Aaron Bean (R) scoring an easy pickup in a seat that is no longer racially gerrymandered.

R+2
And per the NYT, R's have also flipped #FL07, a suburban Orlando seat that moderate Dem Stephanie Murphy (D) bailed on, criticizing her party's direction.

R+3
Dems get a low-hanging fruit one back, the new deep-blue #TX35 around Austin.

R+2
Read 3 tweets
The AP has called #FL11 GOP primary for Rep. Dan Webster. The longest-serving state legislator in FL history and its first GOP state House speaker since Reconstruction turns back far-right activist Laura Loomer in shockingly tight contest.
Over in GOP primary for open and dark red #OK02, former state Sen. Josh Brecheen leads state Rep. Avery Frix 54.5-45.5. Group affiliated with Club for Growth spent heavily for Brecheen, a former Club fellow.
AP calls #FL13 GOP primary for Trump's candidate, 2020 nominee Anna Paulina Luna. She'll face former DoD official Eric Lynn in seat GOP gerrymandered into 53-46 Trump.
Read 46 tweets
Polls have closed in most of Florida, where a huge amount of votes usually start coming in early; Oklahoma is at 8 PM ET/ 7 local time, New York 9 ET. We'll be liveblogging the results and tweeting here dailykos.com/stories/2022/8…
This is the biggest U.S. election night from now till November. Check out our cheat sheet for what to follow! docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
You can also find our preview of tonight's MANY big races dailykos.com/stories/2022/8…
Read 23 tweets
3rd term Central #FL07 Democratic Congresswoman Stephanie Murphy, co-chair of the centrist Blue Dog Democrats' Coalition, annonces she won't seek re-election to the House next year.
Pelosi: "Congresswoman Stephanie Murphy is a valued Member of Congress, whose leadership has advanced jobs, security and opportunity in her district, for Florida and across the nation."
Pelosi on Murphy: "As an immigrant and the first Vietnamese-American woman to serve in the Congress, she has been an inspiration to young women in America."
Read 7 tweets
The Florida state Senate has released four proposed congressional maps. Up and analyzed on @FiveThirtyEight: projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-…
@FiveThirtyEight The four maps are very similar. All create 14 🔴 seats, 8 🔵 seats, and 6 🟣 seats. They have a mild GOP bias, but it's pretty shocking Republicans didn't try to gerrymander them further. They left a lot of seats on the table. projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-…
@FiveThirtyEight The maps leave #FL05 and #FL07 intact (though #FL07 does get 4 points redder). The biggest changes came in the I-4 corridor, where #FL09 becomes safe 🔵, a safe 🔴 #FL28 is created, #FL15 goes from 🔴 to 🟣, and #FL14 goes from 🔵 to 🟣.
Read 4 tweets
NEW: FL's Senate Rs release four draft congressional maps. Bizarre: these maps shore up #FL27 Rep. Maria Salazar (R), but otherwise are barely gerrymanders. By my count these maps break down 16-12 Trump-Biden, vs. 15-12 today. Is this a head fake?
These maps would put #FL15 Rep. Scott Franklin (R) in the new safe R #FL28, but turn #FL15 into a *Biden* seat in the east Tampa suburbs - effectively creating a new Dem seat. I can't imagine this is going to be the ultimate GOP plan in FL.
What's more, the map keeps #FL07 Rep. Stephanie Murphy (D) and #FL13 Rep. Charlie Crist (D) in Biden seats, even though Rs could turn them into double-digit Trump districts. I'd be very surprised if Tallahassee Rs settle for this.
Read 4 tweets
New @CookPolitical: just when Florida Dems thought it couldn't get any worse, it's about to. Why FL is the GOP's biggest redistricting weapon of 2022. cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…
Thanks to the FL Supreme Court's hard right turn, Republicans could stretch their current 16R-11D lead in House seats (left) to as wide as 19R-9D (example, right) - erasing most of Dems' current House margin.
The reason? Unlike maps in other large states the GOP controls (TX, GA, OH), the current FL map isn't already a Republican gerrymander. It was redrawn by courts in 2016 after a more liberal FL Supreme Court struck down the GOP's 2011 map. Now, Dems are in big trouble.
Read 5 tweets
FLORIDA: if you thought things couldn't get worse for Dems...it can. FL could be the GOP's biggest redistricting weapon of 2021.

FL is poised to gain two seats. At a minimum, Rs could easily add two new safe R seats (right) to the current 16R-11D map (left). But...
Because the FL Sup Ct has turned sharply right since 2015, Rs could be even more aggressive - in defiance of FL's Fair Districts amendments.

At the extreme end, Rs could attempt a 21R-8D gerrymander (below), which could cost Dems almost their entire House majority.
In the example above, Reps. Stephanie Murphy (D) #FL07, Charlie Crist (D) #FL13 and Al Lawson (D) #FL05 would all end up in double-digit Trump districts - which might help explain why Murphy & Crist are threatening statewide bids.
Read 6 tweets
Call & tell these AL & AZ Reps to STOP enabling Trump & being AGAINST @HouseJudiciary #IMPEACHMENT inquiry;
#AL07 @RepTerriSewell 202-225-2665
Arizona
#AZ01 @TomOhalleran 202-225-3361
Call & tell these California Reps to STOP enabling Trump by being AGAINST @HouseJudiciary #IMPEACHMENT inquiry:

#CA05 @RepThompson 202-225-3311
#CA07 @RepBera 202-225-5716
#CA09 @RepMcNerney 202-225-1947
#CA10 @RepJoshHarder 202-225-4540
#CA12 @SpeakerPelosi 202-225-4965
Call & tell these California Reps to STOP enabling Trump & being AGAINST @HouseJudiciary #IMPEACHMENT inquiry:

#CA16 @RepJimCosta 202-225-3341
#CA18 @RepAnnaEshoo 202-225-8104
#CA20 @RepJimmyPanetta 202-225-2861
#CA21 @RepTJCox 202-225-4695
Read 29 tweets
Hey Florida;
Call these reps & tell them to listen to a leader like @EWarren. Don’t let @SpeakerPelosi throw wet blankets on impeachment momentum:
#FL05 @RepAlLawsonJr 202-225-0123
#FL07 @RepStephMurphy 202-225-4035
#FL09 @RepDarrenSoto 202-225-9889
Hey Florida;
Call these reps & tell them to listen to a leader like @EWarren. Don’t let @SpeakerPelosi throw wet blankets on impeachment momentum:
#FL13 @RepCharlieCrist 202-225-5961
#FL14 @USRepKCastor 202-225-3376
#FL20 @RepHastingsFL 202-225-1313
Hey Florida;
Call these reps & tell them to listen to a leader like @EWarren. Don’t let @SpeakerPelosi throw wet blankets on impeachment momentum:

#FL21 @RepLoisFrankel 202-225-9890
#FL23 @DWSTweets 202-225-7931
Read 4 tweets
CALIFORNIA;
Of your 46 Dem House Reps, 22 are afraid of #ImpeachmentInquiry. The only thing to fear is fear itself. Call & tell them: Do your job!

#CA05 @RepThompson 202-225-3311
#CA07 @RepBera 202-225-5716
#CA09 @RepMcNerney 202-225-1947
#CA10 @RepJoshHarder 202-225-4540
CALIFORNIA;
Of your 46 Dem House Reps, 22 are afraid of #ImpeachmentInquiry. The only thing to fear is fear itself. Call & tell them: Do your job!

#CA12 @SpeakerPelosi 202-225-4965
#CA16 @RepJimCosta 202-225-3341
#CA17 @RepRoKhanna 202-225-2631
#CA18 @RepAnnaEshoo 202-225-8104
CALIFORNIA;
Of your 46 Dem House Reps, 22 are afraid of #ImpeachmentInquiry. The only thing to fear is fear itself. Call & tell them:Do your job!

#CA19 @RepZoeLofgren 202-225-3072
#CA20 @RepJimmyPanetta 202-225-2861
#CA21 @RepTJCox 202-225-4695
#CA24 @RepCarbajal 202-225-3601
Read 46 tweets
In my view, Trump’s worst nightmare Dem challenger in ‘20 would possess the following traits:

1) young & charismatic
2) female
3) aspirational life story
4) natsec background
5) no lengthy pol record

By process of elimination, I’m arriving at #FL07 Rep. Stephanie Murphy (D).
A caveat: this is all under the assumption new members (Spanberger/Sherrill/Slotkin etc.) wouldn’t turn around & run for POTUS just months after getting elected for the first time.
Another caveat, as many have pointed out: Murphy was born in Vietnam.
Read 4 tweets
Hey #FLORIDA!
#Midterms2018 NOVEMBER 6, 2018!
Here’s a THREAD of all Democratic Candidates (w/ Photos, Twitter & Websites)
plus VOTER INFO with Links!
(*Graphics have GOP Incumbent's NRA Ratings*)
Register to Vote by OCTOBER 9th
Online Registration here: registertovoteflorida.gov/en/Registratio…
VOTER REGISTRATION #FLORIDA
#MidtermElections NOV 6
Register by OCTOBER 9
Online here: registertovoteflorida.gov/en/Registratio…
DHSMV services: services.flhsmv.gov/virtualoffice/…
Other agencies: dos.myflorida.com/elections/for-…
Check (& keep checking) your Registration here: registration.elections.myflorida.com/CheckVoterStat…

#VoteBlueFL
Democratic Candidate for U.S. Senate #FLORIDA
#Midterms2018
DEM Incumbent Senator Bill Nelson
nelsonforsenate.com
@NelsonForSenate

#VoteBlueFL
Register by October 9th
Early Voting Oct 27-Nov 3
Request Absentee Ballot by October 31 for mail, in-person by Nov 6

THREAD
Read 36 tweets
In June, Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez backed a candidate primarying Stephanie Murphy for her seat in the House repoing the #FL07.

Murphy is the first Vietnamese woman to be elected to the House.

Her politics align with her district.

It’s... umm... not close.
Regardless of your personal politics, there’s no denying that the “farther left wins anywhere” narrative has been pummeled into the ground since AOC’s win in a D+29 district.

Also undeniable AOC isn’t a kingmaker.

Neither made sense then. No shock they haven’t proven true.
p.s. Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez endorsed one other House candidate in today’s Florida primaries.

Michael Hepburn.

He pulled 6% of the vote.

AOC’s Justice Dems went 0-for-3 in contested primaries. None of their candidates were competitive.
Read 3 tweets
Hey #FLORIDA!
You need to Register to Vote by JULY 30 to vote in the #PrimaryElection on AUGUST 28!
Online Voter Registration here: registertovoteflorida.gov/en/Registratio…

And here's a THREAD of all your Democratic Candidates (photos, Twitter & websites) plus Voter Info with Links!

#VoteBlueFL
VOTER REGISTRATION #FLORIDA
Register to Vote Online here: registertovoteflorida.gov/en/Registratio…
DHSMV services: services.flhsmv.gov/virtualoffice/…
Other agencies: dos.myflorida.com/elections/for-…
Check (and keep checking) your Registration here: registration.elections.myflorida.com/CheckVoterStat…

#VoteBlueFL

THREAD
Democratic Candidates for Congress in #Florida #FL01 #FL1

Phil Ehr
ehrforcongress.com
@PhilEhr

Jennifer Zimmerman
jenniferzimmermanmd.com
@DrZ4Congress

vs GOP incumbent Matt Gaetz (R)
#VoteBlueFL #PRIMARIES
Read 36 tweets

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