Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #fl15

Most recents (24)

Rep.-elect Anthony D'Esposito (#NY04) is supporting Kevin McCarthy for speaker, a spokesperson tells FiveThirtyEight.
Rep.-elect Nick LaLota (#NY01) also supports McCarthy, his campaign tells me.
Rep.-elect Anna Paulina Luna on the speaker vote: "I will vote on January 3rd for whoever allows me to best represent my constituents… I do not like to publicly disclose my private conversations with my colleagues."
Read 9 tweets
The AP has called #FL11 GOP primary for Rep. Dan Webster. The longest-serving state legislator in FL history and its first GOP state House speaker since Reconstruction turns back far-right activist Laura Loomer in shockingly tight contest.
Over in GOP primary for open and dark red #OK02, former state Sen. Josh Brecheen leads state Rep. Avery Frix 54.5-45.5. Group affiliated with Club for Growth spent heavily for Brecheen, a former Club fellow.
AP calls #FL13 GOP primary for Trump's candidate, 2020 nominee Anna Paulina Luna. She'll face former DoD official Eric Lynn in seat GOP gerrymandered into 53-46 Trump.
Read 46 tweets
Gun safety activist Maxwell Alejandro Frost has expanded his lead in safely blue #FL10. 76% of estimated vote in, he's beating state Sen. Randolph Bracy 34-25; ex-Reps. Alan Grayson and Corrine Brown at 16 and 10.
#FL11 is TIGHT. 71% of estimated vote in, Webster leads Loomer 47.8-47.7, margin of 95 VOTES.
Two of #FL11's four counties, Orange and Polk, aren't reporting anything. If Loomer's strength is confided to The Villages, gives Webster breathing room. If not ...
Read 13 tweets
Polls have closed in most of Florida, where a huge amount of votes usually start coming in early; Oklahoma is at 8 PM ET/ 7 local time, New York 9 ET. We'll be liveblogging the results and tweeting here dailykos.com/stories/2022/8…
This is the biggest U.S. election night from now till November. Check out our cheat sheet for what to follow! docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
You can also find our preview of tonight's MANY big races dailykos.com/stories/2022/8…
Read 23 tweets
Without even getting into legal arguments, this is factually wrong on at least three counts.

First, the new #FL10 and the old #FL10 are both 28% Black. There is no change to Black voting strength in Orlando's seat, as anyone who bothered to check DRA before tweeting would notice
Second, the new #FL14 in Tampa/St. Pete has a higher Black % than either the old #FL13 or the old #FL14. The old seats were likely to elect one white D and one white D or R. The new #FL14 offers a better chance for a Black rep to be elected from TB, at the expense of white D's.
Third, the split of the Black vote in St. Pete was likely done for compactness, and actually hurts R's! DeSantis's #FL14 (left) leaves out some AA precincts in St. Pete. Adding them (right) in makes the seat less compact, but more AA, and also makes #FL13 and #FL15 each redder.
Read 4 tweets
NEW List of Dem candidates running for Congress in 2022 against GOP incumbents! Please take a minute and follow them! It’s the least we can do to show our support for the folks who are literally trying to save our democracy! RESISTERS RESIST #VoteThemAllOut2022
@abbybroyles vs Stephanie Bice House #OK05 electoral objector
@adammgentle vs Mario Diaz Balart House #FL25 electoral objector
@AlishaKShelton vs Don Bacon House #NE02
@AndreaRSalinas House #OR06
@AngieNixon vs Scott Franklin House #FL14 electoral objector
@AnnieAndrewsMD vs Nancy Mace House #SC01
@anthonyjtristan vs Michael Cloud House #TX27 electoral objector
@ashley_ehasz vs Brian Fitzpatrick House #PA01
@AramisAyalaFL House #FL10
@atticaforky House #KY03
@baxterstapleton vs Michael Turner House #OH10
Read 38 tweets
The Florida state Senate has released four proposed congressional maps. Up and analyzed on @FiveThirtyEight: projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-…
@FiveThirtyEight The four maps are very similar. All create 14 🔴 seats, 8 🔵 seats, and 6 🟣 seats. They have a mild GOP bias, but it's pretty shocking Republicans didn't try to gerrymander them further. They left a lot of seats on the table. projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-…
@FiveThirtyEight The maps leave #FL05 and #FL07 intact (though #FL07 does get 4 points redder). The biggest changes came in the I-4 corridor, where #FL09 becomes safe 🔵, a safe 🔴 #FL28 is created, #FL15 goes from 🔴 to 🟣, and #FL14 goes from 🔵 to 🟣.
Read 4 tweets
NEW: FL's Senate Rs release four draft congressional maps. Bizarre: these maps shore up #FL27 Rep. Maria Salazar (R), but otherwise are barely gerrymanders. By my count these maps break down 16-12 Trump-Biden, vs. 15-12 today. Is this a head fake?
These maps would put #FL15 Rep. Scott Franklin (R) in the new safe R #FL28, but turn #FL15 into a *Biden* seat in the east Tampa suburbs - effectively creating a new Dem seat. I can't imagine this is going to be the ultimate GOP plan in FL.
What's more, the map keeps #FL07 Rep. Stephanie Murphy (D) and #FL13 Rep. Charlie Crist (D) in Biden seats, even though Rs could turn them into double-digit Trump districts. I'd be very surprised if Tallahassee Rs settle for this.
Read 4 tweets
Check it out!
ALL Democratic Candidates 50 STATES
#Congress2020 Govs AGs SoS
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ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
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ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
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Read 51 tweets
Check it out!
ALL Democratic Candidates 50 STATES
#Congress2020 Govs AGs SoS
Postcards (Print & Share!) & Links to Follow & Support!
#PostcardsforAmerica
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets&Posts for each Candidate
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…
ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:
Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica
Read 51 tweets
FL1
Running against Matt Gaetz #FL1
Democratic Candidate
FLORIDA 1st Congressional District
PHIL EHR
Retired Navy Commander
ehrforcongress.com
Donate here secure.actblue.com/donate/ehr-for…
@PhilEhr

THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
All Dem Candidates 50 States: postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
FL2
FLORIDA 2nd Congressional District
NO DEM CANDIDATE
Read 30 tweets
#PostcardsToVoters writers are currently boosting @KathyLewisforFL in FL State District 20; paired with the Democratic candidate @AlanMCohn for US Congress #FL15

Medicare, Medicaid & SocialSecurity are on the line during the COVID19 pandemic. Support Kathy & Alan in #Florida
US Congressional District #FL15
alancohnforcongress.com
Read 3 tweets
Check it out!
THREAD of all the Democratic Candidates!
50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs, SoS
With Postcards & Links to Follow & Support!
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets & Posts for each Candidate here
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums: facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…
ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:
Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica
Read 51 tweets
Getting this thread going on what races to donate to….

Right now, 44 days out, is the best time to donate. A few states are early voting. Voters are paying attention and can still register.

Campaigns can still hire staff and pay for strategic, targeted ads and mailers.
Money thrown at races in Oct goes into media spin. Unclear if it's effective at persuasion.

Millions of $$$ from out of state donors, raised by national orgs, doesn't mean your race is competitive. So it's doubly important for us to pick a few races/states and be strategic.
It's sweet to ragedonate for RBG. But it's smarter to flip the Senate, cement the House majority, and win key states in the electoral college. All states and races aren't equal.

A few thousand $ to a House race or $1 million to an underfunded Senate race can make the difference.
Read 15 tweets
All hands on deck!
On #PostcardsforAmerica website
All Democratic Candidates for ALL 50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs & SoS
Links (& Postcards) to Follow & Support:
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
& ➡️ postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…

Update Sep 12
mega-THREAD Image
ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica Image
ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:
Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica Image
Read 50 tweets
Want to check out all Democratic Candidates?
Pages on the #PostcardsforAmerica website with all Democratic Candidates for ALL 50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs & SoS
Postcards & Links to Follow & Support:
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
& ➡️ postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…

& follow @NDLB2020 Image
ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica Image
ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:
Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica Image
Read 50 tweets
FL1
Running against Matt Gaetz #FL1
Democratic Candidate
FLORIDA 1st Congressional District
PHIL EHR
Retired Navy Commander
ehrforcongress.com
Donate here secure.actblue.com/donate/ehr-for…
@PhilEhr

THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
All Dem Candidates 50 States: postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
FL2
FLORIDA 2nd Congressional District
NO DEM CANDIDATE
Read 30 tweets
1st term #FL15 Republican Rep. Ross Spano, backed by House GOP leadership and NRCC, loses his primary election tonight to Lakeland City Commissioner Scott Franklin per AP.

Spano becomes 8th Congressman to lose his party's nomination this year.
Spano joins fellow House Republican incumbents King-IA, Riggleman-VA, Tipton-CO and Watkins-KS ,and Democrats Clay-MO, Lipinski- IL and Engel-NY in losing their party's nomination this year.
#FL15 Republican primary winner Scott Franklin will face Democratic primary winner Alan Cohn for the now open , west central Florida House seat race in November.
Read 6 tweets
.@NRCC chair @tomemmer has put out statements on #FL27 and #FL18 so far. I've asked if he or the NRCC has any statement to issue on Laura Loomer's #FL21 primary win. Will update if I get a response.
UPDATE: @NRCC / @tomemmer has released statements on #FL26 and #FL13. Nothing on #FL21 yet.
MORE: @tomemmer has released a statement on #FL15.

Nothing on Laura Loomer's #FL21 primary win.
Read 3 tweets
Rep. Ross Spano (R) jumps out to a 58%-42% lead in early votes in the #FL15 GOP primary. Dems hoping he wins so they can attack his campaign finance scandal in the general election. Still early.
Update: Spano (R) lead over insurance businessman Scott Franklin (R) now down to 52%-48% as Polk Co. (Franklin's base) reports its early votes. #FL15

Spano could become the 8th (!) House incumbent to lose renomination in 2020, about double the average.
Update: Franklin (R), who has Matt Gaetz’s endorsement, has pulled ahead of Spano (R) 51%-49% in #FL15.
Read 3 tweets
Alaska, Florida and Wyoming are holding Congressional primaries today.
Dean of the House Alaska at-large Republican Rep. Don Young, first elected to Congress in 1973, is facing primary challengers today. Democrats in Alaska are voting in #AKSEN primary election to challenge 1st term GOP Senator Dan Sullivan in November.
In Florida, there are two House open seat races with two Republicans, 4th term #FL03 Rep. Ted Yoho, who represents Gainesville/Ocala areas, and 2nd term #FL19 Rep. Francis Rooney, who represents Fort Myers/Naples district, are both not seeking re-election this fall.
Read 6 tweets
Individual-1 is totally implicated in #TrumpRussia by this week’s Mueller filings and nailed hard for the cover up.

What’s worse is that prosecutors practically announced that he is guilty of conspiracy charges related to the substantive crimes, like illegal hush money deals. 1/
Conspiracy to defraud the United States (18 USC 371) is a charge that ensnares everyone with knowledge of a crime to defat the lawful purpose of a US agency like the Federal Election Commission, who Congress assigned the task of providing election transparency. 2/
Trump has zero defenses against a charge under 18 USC 371 based on the #TrumpTapes that Michael Cohen so graciously recorded to get proof of his six figure debt from his chintzy boss. 3/

dworkinreport.com/2018/07/24/mic…
Read 7 tweets
Why the slight shift? Let me try to explain what we've observed move post-Labor Day. There are basically 3 large buckets of House races we're watching...
1) Vulnerable Rs in upscale, suburban, Clinton-won "Whole Foods" districts like #VA10 Comstock, #KS03 Yoder, #CO06 Coffman, #MN03 Paulsen, #CA45 Walters, #NJ07 Lance, etc. These Rs are mostly trailing & their numbers haven't gotten any better recently.
2) Competitive races in redder, working-class districts that Trump won by double digits in '16, such as #IL12 Bost, #MN08 OPEN, #NY22 Tenney, #WV03 OPEN, etc. Overall, things have slightly improved in "Trump zones" for Rs, w/ notable exceptions in districts like #KS02 & #ME02.
Read 5 tweets

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