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Most recents (14)
2022 #Midterms Simulation: #ArtoftheGerrymander
A Republican House win will be built on gerrymanders (TX/GA/FL/TN/LA, etc.)
To illustrate the need for fair maps, I'm calculating the results using the 2022 votes, but if every state had a Democratic gerrymander. #ElectionTwitter
A Republican House win will be built on gerrymanders (TX/GA/FL/TN/LA, etc.)
To illustrate the need for fair maps, I'm calculating the results using the 2022 votes, but if every state had a Democratic gerrymander. #ElectionTwitter
Methodology:
I’ll apply the difference in Presidential margin to the House result. Thanks @davesredist @mikemathieu @vest_team + @DKElections @PoliticsWolf
Keen to see how my maps perform over the decade; tried to comply with state law if partisan intent were allowed to stand.
I’ll apply the difference in Presidential margin to the House result. Thanks @davesredist @mikemathieu @vest_team + @DKElections @PoliticsWolf
Keen to see how my maps perform over the decade; tried to comply with state law if partisan intent were allowed to stand.
#ArtoftheGerrymander: #Alabama
Trump 62.0% - Biden 36.6%
Real delegation: 6R-1D
Gerrymandered: 5R-2D
Δ Share of D seats: 14% => 28%
Easy Democratic pick-up of a safe new African American seat.
davesredistricting.org/join/ff857256-…
Trump 62.0% - Biden 36.6%
Real delegation: 6R-1D
Gerrymandered: 5R-2D
Δ Share of D seats: 14% => 28%
Easy Democratic pick-up of a safe new African American seat.
davesredistricting.org/join/ff857256-…
A week late, but let's do a thread on the Alabama VRA case and what it might mean for redistricting in 2024. The Supreme Court is expected to reinterpret the VRA--one way or another--next spring, and the Court's new guidelines will change the way states approach redistricting. 1/
Earlier this year, a lower court ordered Alabama to redraw its map (left), which has had one Black-majority district since 1992. Plaintiffs convinced the court that the VRA required Alabama to draw two Black-majority seats (right, for one example). 2/
SCOTUS has long had a 3-factor test (the "Gingles factors") to determine when a VRA district is required:
1. A compact district can be drawn that is at least 50%+1 of a min. group
2. The minority is politically cohesive
3. Whites bloc vote to defeat minorities' candidates
3/
1. A compact district can be drawn that is at least 50%+1 of a min. group
2. The minority is politically cohesive
3. Whites bloc vote to defeat minorities' candidates
3/
Check it out!
ALL Democratic Candidates 50 STATES
#Congress2020 Govs AGs SoS
Postcards (Print&Share)& Donations Links
#PostcardsforAmerica
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets&Posts for each Candidate
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…
Mega-THREAD
ALL Democratic Candidates 50 STATES
#Congress2020 Govs AGs SoS
Postcards (Print&Share)& Donations Links
#PostcardsforAmerica
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets&Posts for each Candidate
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…
Mega-THREAD
ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:
Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:
Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica
Check it out!
ALL Democratic Candidates 50 STATES
#Congress2020 Govs AGs SoS
Postcards (Print & Share!) & Links to Follow & Support!
#PostcardsforAmerica
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets&Posts for each Candidate
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…
ALL Democratic Candidates 50 STATES
#Congress2020 Govs AGs SoS
Postcards (Print & Share!) & Links to Follow & Support!
#PostcardsforAmerica
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets&Posts for each Candidate
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…
ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:
Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:
Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica
FLORIDA Democratic Candidates
Postcard & Links for Each
#Congress2020
#FL1 #FL2 #FL3 #FL4 #FL5 #FL6 #FL7 #FL8 #FL9 #FL10 #FL11 #FL12 #FL13 #FL14 #FL15 #FL16 #FL17 #FL18 #FL19 #FL20 #FL21 #FL22 #FL23 #FL24 #FL25 #FL26 #FL27
Find County info here:
dos.elections.myflorida.com/supervisors/
THREAD
Postcard & Links for Each
#Congress2020
#FL1 #FL2 #FL3 #FL4 #FL5 #FL6 #FL7 #FL8 #FL9 #FL10 #FL11 #FL12 #FL13 #FL14 #FL15 #FL16 #FL17 #FL18 #FL19 #FL20 #FL21 #FL22 #FL23 #FL24 #FL25 #FL26 #FL27
Find County info here:
dos.elections.myflorida.com/supervisors/
THREAD
FL1
Running against Matt Gaetz #FL1
Democratic Candidate
FLORIDA 1st Congressional District
PHIL EHR
Retired Navy Commander
ehrforcongress.com
Donate here secure.actblue.com/donate/ehr-for…
@PhilEhr
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
All Dem Candidates 50 States: postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Running against Matt Gaetz #FL1
Democratic Candidate
FLORIDA 1st Congressional District
PHIL EHR
Retired Navy Commander
ehrforcongress.com
Donate here secure.actblue.com/donate/ehr-for…
@PhilEhr
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
All Dem Candidates 50 States: postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
FL2
FLORIDA 2nd Congressional District
NO DEM CANDIDATE
FLORIDA 2nd Congressional District
NO DEM CANDIDATE
Check it out!
THREAD of all the Democratic Candidates!
50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs, SoS
With Postcards & Links to Follow & Support!
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets & Posts for each Candidate here
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums: facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…
THREAD of all the Democratic Candidates!
50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs, SoS
With Postcards & Links to Follow & Support!
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets & Posts for each Candidate here
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums: facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…
ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:
Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:
Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica
FLORIDA Democratic Candidates
LINKS & Postcards for Each
#Congress2020
#FL1 #FL2 #FL3 #FL4 #FL5 #FL6 #FL7 #FL8 #FL9 #FL10 #FL11 #FL12 #FL13 #FL14 #FL15 #FL16 #FL17 #FL18 #FL19 #FL20 #FL21 #FL22 #FL23 #FL24 #FL25 #FL26 #FL27
#DemCastFL #NoSafeSeats
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
LINKS & Postcards for Each
#Congress2020
#FL1 #FL2 #FL3 #FL4 #FL5 #FL6 #FL7 #FL8 #FL9 #FL10 #FL11 #FL12 #FL13 #FL14 #FL15 #FL16 #FL17 #FL18 #FL19 #FL20 #FL21 #FL22 #FL23 #FL24 #FL25 #FL26 #FL27
#DemCastFL #NoSafeSeats
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
FLORIDA #FL #VoteByMail
Application myfloridaelections.com/Voting-Electio…
County Election Supervisors myfloridaelections.com/Contact-your-S…
Info myfloridaelections.com/Voting-Electio…
#AbsenteeVoting #DemCastFL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
All States here postcardsforamerica.com/vote-by-mail.h…
Application myfloridaelections.com/Voting-Electio…
County Election Supervisors myfloridaelections.com/Contact-your-S…
Info myfloridaelections.com/Voting-Electio…
#AbsenteeVoting #DemCastFL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
All States here postcardsforamerica.com/vote-by-mail.h…
FLORIDA BE A GUARDIAN OF DEMOCRACY!
Be A Poll Worker in #FL
Contact County Elections dos.myflorida.com/elections/cont…
Poll Watcher: 1 per party & 1 per candidate
Detailed info pc2a.info/PollWorkerFlor…
#Elections2020 #DemCastFL
Students Age 16+ qualify
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
Be A Poll Worker in #FL
Contact County Elections dos.myflorida.com/elections/cont…
Poll Watcher: 1 per party & 1 per candidate
Detailed info pc2a.info/PollWorkerFlor…
#Elections2020 #DemCastFL
Students Age 16+ qualify
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
All hands on deck!
On #PostcardsforAmerica website
All Democratic Candidates for ALL 50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs & SoS
Links (& Postcards) to Follow & Support:
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
& ➡️ postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
Update Sep 12
mega-THREAD
On #PostcardsforAmerica website
All Democratic Candidates for ALL 50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs & SoS
Links (& Postcards) to Follow & Support:
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
& ➡️ postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
Update Sep 12
mega-THREAD
ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:
Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:
Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica
Want to check out all Democratic Candidates?
Pages on the #PostcardsforAmerica website with all Democratic Candidates for ALL 50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs & SoS
Postcards & Links to Follow & Support:
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
& ➡️ postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
& follow @NDLB2020
Pages on the #PostcardsforAmerica website with all Democratic Candidates for ALL 50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs & SoS
Postcards & Links to Follow & Support:
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
& ➡️ postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
& follow @NDLB2020
ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:
Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:
Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica
FLORIDA Democratic Candidates
Postcard & Links for Each
#Congress2020
#FL1 #FL2 #FL3 #FL4 #FL5 #FL6 #FL7 #FL8 #FL9 #FL10 #FL11 #FL12 #FL13 #FL14 #FL15 #FL16 #FL17 #FL18 #FL19 #FL20 #FL21 #FL22 #FL23 #FL24 #FL25 #FL26 #FL27
#DemCastFL #NoSafeSeats
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
Postcard & Links for Each
#Congress2020
#FL1 #FL2 #FL3 #FL4 #FL5 #FL6 #FL7 #FL8 #FL9 #FL10 #FL11 #FL12 #FL13 #FL14 #FL15 #FL16 #FL17 #FL18 #FL19 #FL20 #FL21 #FL22 #FL23 #FL24 #FL25 #FL26 #FL27
#DemCastFL #NoSafeSeats
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
FL1
Running against Matt Gaetz #FL1
Democratic Candidate
FLORIDA 1st Congressional District
PHIL EHR
Retired Navy Commander
ehrforcongress.com
Donate here secure.actblue.com/donate/ehr-for…
@PhilEhr
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
All Dem Candidates 50 States: postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Running against Matt Gaetz #FL1
Democratic Candidate
FLORIDA 1st Congressional District
PHIL EHR
Retired Navy Commander
ehrforcongress.com
Donate here secure.actblue.com/donate/ehr-for…
@PhilEhr
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
All Dem Candidates 50 States: postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
FL2
FLORIDA 2nd Congressional District
NO DEM CANDIDATE
FLORIDA 2nd Congressional District
NO DEM CANDIDATE
House members will vote by proxy for the 1st time in chamber's 231-yr history beginning Wed. House clerk posted letters from mbrs who will not be physically present on House floor for votes due to COVID-19 pandemic & have given their proxies to other mbrs.
clerkpreview.house.gov/ProxyLetter#Ac…
clerkpreview.house.gov/ProxyLetter#Ac…
1st term #CA39 Democratic @RepGilCisneros has designated his voting proxy to 1st term #PA06 Democratic @RepHoulahan.
3rd term #VA08 Democratic @RepDonBeyer, who represents one of the closest House districts to Capitol Hill, will vote by proxy for 7th term Democratic #TN09 @RepCohen, chair of the House Judiciary Subcommittee on the Constitution, Civil Rights, and Civil Liberties.
Call these @HouseJudiciary Dems. Ask why they’re afraid to frame the debate.
Tell them to REINSTATE #AssaultWeaponsBan & propose Feinstein Sen. Bill 66.
@GregStantonAZ #AZ09 202-225-9888
@RepSwalwell #CA15 202-225-5065
@TedLieu #CA33 202-225-3976
Tell them to REINSTATE #AssaultWeaponsBan & propose Feinstein Sen. Bill 66.
@GregStantonAZ #AZ09 202-225-9888
@RepSwalwell #CA15 202-225-5065
@TedLieu #CA33 202-225-3976
@HouseJudiciary @gregstantonaz @RepSwalwell @tedlieu Call these @HouseJudiciary Dems. Ask why they’re afraid to frame the debate. Tell them to REINSTATE #AssaultWeaponsBan & propose Feinstein Sen. Bill 66.
@RepLouCorrea #CA46 202-225-2965
@RepKarenBass #CA37 202-225-7084
@RepZoeLofgren #CA19 202-225-3072
@RepLouCorrea #CA46 202-225-2965
@RepKarenBass #CA37 202-225-7084
@RepZoeLofgren #CA19 202-225-3072
@HouseJudiciary @gregstantonaz @RepSwalwell @tedlieu Call these @HouseJudiciary Dems. Ask why they’re afraid to frame the debate. Tell them to REINSTATE #AssaultWeaponsBan & propose Feinstein Sen. Bill 66.
@JoeNeguse #CO02 202-225-2161
@RepValDemings #FL10 202-225-2176
@RepTedDeutch #FL22 202-225-3001
@JoeNeguse #CO02 202-225-2161
@RepValDemings #FL10 202-225-2176
@RepTedDeutch #FL22 202-225-3001
Hey #FLORIDA!
#Midterms2018 NOVEMBER 6, 2018!
Here’s a THREAD of all Democratic Candidates (w/ Photos, Twitter & Websites)
plus VOTER INFO with Links!
(*Graphics have GOP Incumbent's NRA Ratings*)
Register to Vote by OCTOBER 9th
Online Registration here: registertovoteflorida.gov/en/Registratio…
#Midterms2018 NOVEMBER 6, 2018!
Here’s a THREAD of all Democratic Candidates (w/ Photos, Twitter & Websites)
plus VOTER INFO with Links!
(*Graphics have GOP Incumbent's NRA Ratings*)
Register to Vote by OCTOBER 9th
Online Registration here: registertovoteflorida.gov/en/Registratio…
VOTER REGISTRATION #FLORIDA
#MidtermElections NOV 6
Register by OCTOBER 9
Online here: registertovoteflorida.gov/en/Registratio…
DHSMV services: services.flhsmv.gov/virtualoffice/…
Other agencies: dos.myflorida.com/elections/for-…
Check (& keep checking) your Registration here: registration.elections.myflorida.com/CheckVoterStat…
#VoteBlueFL
#MidtermElections NOV 6
Register by OCTOBER 9
Online here: registertovoteflorida.gov/en/Registratio…
DHSMV services: services.flhsmv.gov/virtualoffice/…
Other agencies: dos.myflorida.com/elections/for-…
Check (& keep checking) your Registration here: registration.elections.myflorida.com/CheckVoterStat…
#VoteBlueFL
Democratic Candidate for U.S. Senate #FLORIDA
#Midterms2018
DEM Incumbent Senator Bill Nelson
nelsonforsenate.com
@NelsonForSenate
#VoteBlueFL
Register by October 9th
Early Voting Oct 27-Nov 3
Request Absentee Ballot by October 31 for mail, in-person by Nov 6
THREAD
#Midterms2018
DEM Incumbent Senator Bill Nelson
nelsonforsenate.com
@NelsonForSenate
#VoteBlueFL
Register by October 9th
Early Voting Oct 27-Nov 3
Request Absentee Ballot by October 31 for mail, in-person by Nov 6
THREAD
Hey #FLORIDA!
You need to Register to Vote by JULY 30 to vote in the #PrimaryElection on AUGUST 28!
Online Voter Registration here: registertovoteflorida.gov/en/Registratio…
And here's a THREAD of all your Democratic Candidates (photos, Twitter & websites) plus Voter Info with Links!
#VoteBlueFL
You need to Register to Vote by JULY 30 to vote in the #PrimaryElection on AUGUST 28!
Online Voter Registration here: registertovoteflorida.gov/en/Registratio…
And here's a THREAD of all your Democratic Candidates (photos, Twitter & websites) plus Voter Info with Links!
#VoteBlueFL
VOTER REGISTRATION #FLORIDA
Register to Vote Online here: registertovoteflorida.gov/en/Registratio…
DHSMV services: services.flhsmv.gov/virtualoffice/…
Other agencies: dos.myflorida.com/elections/for-…
Check (and keep checking) your Registration here: registration.elections.myflorida.com/CheckVoterStat…
#VoteBlueFL
THREAD
Register to Vote Online here: registertovoteflorida.gov/en/Registratio…
DHSMV services: services.flhsmv.gov/virtualoffice/…
Other agencies: dos.myflorida.com/elections/for-…
Check (and keep checking) your Registration here: registration.elections.myflorida.com/CheckVoterStat…
#VoteBlueFL
THREAD
Democratic Candidates for Congress in #Florida #FL01 #FL1
Phil Ehr
ehrforcongress.com
@PhilEhr
Jennifer Zimmerman
jenniferzimmermanmd.com
@DrZ4Congress
vs GOP incumbent Matt Gaetz (R)
#VoteBlueFL #PRIMARIES
Phil Ehr
ehrforcongress.com
@PhilEhr
Jennifer Zimmerman
jenniferzimmermanmd.com
@DrZ4Congress
vs GOP incumbent Matt Gaetz (R)
#VoteBlueFL #PRIMARIES
