Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #forecast

Most recents (10)

New release for @Uber forecasting library 🌈

Orbit is an open-source #Python library for Bayesian time series forecasting and inference applications developed by @UberEng 🧵 👇🏼

#timeseries #forecast #MachineLearning #PyTorch #Bayesian #Bayes
The library uses under the hood probabilistic programming languages with libraries such as #Python @mcmc_stan , Pyro, and #PyTorch to build the forecast estimators.

The new release, version 1.1 includes the following new features and changes: 👇🏼
New #forecasting model - Kernel Time-based #Regression (KTR). KTR model uses latent variables to define a smooth, time-varying representation of regression coefficients. Tutorials: 👇🏼
orbit-ml.readthedocs.io/en/latest/tuto…
orbit-ml.readthedocs.io/en/latest/tuto…
orbit-ml.readthedocs.io/en/latest/tuto…
orbit-ml.readthedocs.io/en/latest/tuto…
Read 8 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 12/19/2020 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2020/12/19/dai…
Albert Edwards: The 10-Year Yield is Heading to Zero - Articles - Advisor Perspectives

advisorperspectives.com/articles/2020/…

#investing #deflation #forecast
Optimization is as hard as approximation – Machine Learning Research Blog

francisbach.com/optimization-i…

#optimization #MachineLearning
Read 8 tweets
2020 Electoral College Forecast Map
Donald Trump vs Joe Biden
October 25~ 2020.
My Analysis Post: statespoll.com/post/632919336…
Post will continue to be updated.
#ElectoralMap #ElectoralCollegeMap2020 #Election2020
#Forecast #Election2020Map #ElectoralCollege
Wisconsin: Trump vs Biden
Gravis , 10/23. 677 LV.
My Analysis Post: statespoll.com/post/632918928…
#Election2020 #Wisconsin2020 #WI2020 #swingstates
(Fixed error)
Nevada: Tilt R.
I don't get it why ppl are saying NV is Lean R on my map.
Read 29 tweets
Hmm. When is a "#scenario" NOT a "#forecast" - literally a "#prediction" or estimate of future events?

You may have multiple forecasts and, as with the weather, some may not come to pass. But you don't model scenarios that can't ever happen. What would be the point? Image
Again, and as with scientific papers, if people are reporting on something it's a good idea to publish (a link to) *the whole thing*. News reports may pick up on bits that are interesting, but #EvidenceMatters!
Read 3 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 09/05/2020 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2020/09/05/dai…
Tracking the COVID-19 pandemic in Australia using genomics | Nature Communications

nature.com/articles/s4146…

#tracking #COVID19 #pandemic #Genomics
Why efficiency is dangerous and slowing down makes life better | Psyche Ideas

psyche.co/ideas/why-effi…

#optimization #efficiency
Read 8 tweets
North #Kokan Forecast from 10 to 13 Aug

Increase in #Rain activity expected but this time it will be of much less rains than last 3-6th hyper active spell for coastal area like #Mumbai… As Bay system is much weaker and may track along monsoon axis i.e from East MP to UP, Delhi
(1/2) As offshore #trough may not be much strong for very heavy rains. So in my opinion gradual rise in spells from Mon with bit more increasing toward Wed-Thurs possible.

#MumbaiRains #mumbairain #Konkan #Maharashtra #WeatherUpdate #WeatherForecast #analysis #Amateurforecast
(1/3)At coastal areas of #Raigad,#Mumbai will be cloudy with occasional spell of #Rains with some spells may be heavy in it but may not enough to bring century in 24 hr period so 4 days total may be around 150-300 mm. Though in that N & NE #Mumbai belt may get bit more. #forecast
Read 6 tweets
#TELANGANA #MUNICIPAL #ELECTION #FORECAST

As per our team's assessment, TRS is going to perform really well once again in the state and expected to bag 72-78 Municipalities

INC can win 18-24, while BJP, fought it alone, is in place to win 7-13 Municipalities and a corporation.
#Continuation 1

BJP could have performed more than this figure,but lack of cadre strength except the northern part of the state affected them. Yet they did well considering their assembly figure

And they expected to win one more Corporation, Karimnagar, where polling is on 25th
#Continuation 2

The land is absolutely fertile for BJP & the future will tell this in detail

INC tried their best 2 hold on, yet couldn't counter TRS,they r losing certain areas 2 BJP as well. In the long run it will be seen in large

TRS is still the best choice of TS voters
Read 4 tweets
Today's Applied Complexity Symposium begins with a panel on Computation and Complex Economies, feat. Rob Axtell, Joshua Epstein, @C4COMPUTATION, Blake LeBaron, John Miller, & @MelMitchell1

(Follow this thread for live coverage all day...)

#complexsystems #economics
4 Principles of Collective #Computation:

1 Ground truth (objective reality)
2 Effective ground truth (what we agree on, whether or not it is accurate)
3 #Information can be collectively encoded in #networks
4 Outputs are a product of collective dynamics

@C4COMPUTATION right now
"I think #economics really needs to adopt a generative framework with agent-based models of cognitively plausible software people...[and] we don't choose to fear."

- SFI'S Joshua Epstein (@GeorgeMasonU) on modeling emotions at today's ACtioN symposium:
Santafe.edu/action
Read 44 tweets
Today we release our annual @wiiw_news Autumn #Forecast Report, with macroeconomic projections for #CESEE out to 2020. Below, a thread on the highlights 1/13
#Growth still looks quite good for most, notable upgrades this time for #Poland, #Serbia, #Hungary. But downgrades for several #EU members, plus #Turkey, #Macedonia and #Belarus. 2/13
Over the #forecast period we expect best growth performance in #EUCEE and #WesternBalkans, although both will slow by 2020. Outlook for #CIS & #Ukraine weaker. 3/13
Read 14 tweets
The only way you can look into the future - since there's no data, is to have a good theory.
- Clayton Christian @claychristensen
#philosophy #Technology #innovation
I don't go where puck is, I go where puck is going to be.
- Wayne Gretsky
@WayneGretzky
#philosophy
#technology
#innovation
#future
What is history? An echo of past in the future, a reflex from the future on past.
- Victor Hugo
#philosophy
#forecast
#innovation
Read 28 tweets

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