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Most recents (15)

1/ Okay, this is going to be controversial, but in #FPL:

*There is no such thing as form*

Hopefully I can convince you with data, this is going to be a (very) long thread
2/ Throughout the #FPLCommunity the key discussion from week-to-week is which players to transfer in and out. To do that we usually look at both player fixture and form.

Whilst fixture difficulty is not too hard to estimate, trying to quantify form is a lot harder.
3/ The problem comes from Apophenia. The tendency to perceive connections and meaning between unrelated things. This is also commonly thought of as the "Gambler's fallacy" (…)
Read 26 tweets
#FPL is a game of decisions.

How much time do we spend thinking about the quality of those decisions?

Here's a {thread} taking a look at some of the factors at play.

#FPLCommunity #FantasyPL #SkyFF #PremierLeague #epl

Identifying the problem

This might be under-performing players, fixture swings, inflexible team structure or a host of other common issues. The first question is likely to be 'Is this actually a problem at all?' It's often the case in FPL (& fantasy games generally)...

...that we don't have enough data to be sure. Simply put, the sample size is too small to draw conclusions. We often feel like we have to make moves to keep up with the pack. Classic FOMO. As a result we end up over-managing our teams & wasting transfers.

Read 24 tweets
PLAYER THREAD- A look ahead!

Following on from @fplschool and their in depth thread of every team’s fixtures, I’m looking at every team’s most interesting players to target.

Feel free to post opinions, retweets and likes are always appreciated 😁

Player- Maitland-Niles

Fixtures- wat, AVL, mnu, BOU

Arsenal’s second highest scoring player (albeit mostly in one game). Has potential to offer attacking and defensive returns. 0.64xA is pretty tasty 👌🏻

Player- Wesley Moraes

Fixtures- WHU, ars, BUR,nor

The focal point of Villa’s attack and with fairly kind fixtures to provide attacking returns. 0.70xG isn’t too shabby and we should expect returns 👌🏻
Read 23 tweets
🧠 GW4 - In Depth Review 〽️

Following the GW4 in Numbers snapshot I’ve put together a more detailed thread covering ALL 10 games.

It’s a BIG ONE so buckle up!

@FPL_Dave @BTD_FPL @ArrowFPL @BlinderFPL @FPLGoat7 @TBC_FPL @Techie_FPL @FlapjackFpl
😇 Southampton 1 - 1 Man Utd 👿

Possession: 41.5% vs 58.5%
Shots: 10 vs 21
Shots on Target: 2 vs 8
xG: 0.86 vs 1.56
xGC: 1.56 vs 0.86

* A wasteful Man Utd yet again paid for missed opportunities as they were pegged back to a 1-1 draw by a well drilled Southampton side who ..
played much of the game with 10 men after Danso collected his second yellow of the game
* Daniel James scored his 3rd goal of the season and it was a real thunderbolt by the £15m man. The Welshman was United’s biggest threat with a number of powerful attempts (5) on target (3)
Read 72 tweets

GW 3 summary:

Since my last thread went down so well I decided to write one about my detailed thoughts about all the games from gw 3 from an FPL perspective. Could very possibly be doing these after every gameweek so feel free to RT if you would like that.

The first game of the gameweek was between two sides who have been struggling a bit to start the season. Everton have struggled offensively and Aston Villa still had 0 points going in to this game. I was impressed by how Villa played though. Even though they didn’t...
have much possession they still looked quite dangerous with Wesley (6.0) getting his first goal of the campaign against an Everton team who has kept 2 clean sheet already. Everton looked sluggish and Andre Gomes (5.4) could have had the worst game out of every player this...
Read 36 tweets
I was sat 14th in the world.

I had two free transfers.

I had everything in place to reach the top 10 in the world by the end of the GW.

...then FOMO got to me!

A thread of what I'm trying to learn from last season's rise and fall and why this picture still haunts me!
I've had a few people lately asking bout my great start to last season. I thought I'd make a thread on what went right at the start of the season and what I believe I did "wrong" that turned it for the worse and how I can hopefully learn from it, and maybe you can as well!?
GW1. Just ahead of the Charity Shield game I remember just saying "f*ck it! Liverpool and City are by far the two best teams in the league, let's just get six of them in!" And I did. Starting Mendy and AWB which I remember some people benched.

GW rank: 13k
OR: 13K
Read 16 tweets
Using points per minute against the bottom 14 and the top 6 home and away, and average minutes played (when not injured/suspended), I've projected some premium players' points for the first 5 GWs 👇👇


❤/RTs and all that good shit is appreciated 😁

#FPL #FPLCommunity

Don't base decisions on this. Its last year's data, and things won't stay the same. At best it just gives a loose approximation

Also PPmins isn't the best metric, as it reflects unfairly well on sub apps, but it's what I've got so 🤷‍♂️ 😂

Enjoy 😅
🇦🇷 Aguero 🇦🇷

💷 £12m

HOME VS TOP 6 - 10.38 😱
AWAY VS BOTTOM 14 - 4.57
AWAY VS TOP 6 - 1.73 🤢

First 5GW projection: 32 pts
Points per game: 6.4 pts
Value: 2.66 pts per million

#FPL #FPLCommunity
Read 12 tweets
⚠️Thread Alert⚠️

Here's a thread on the best teams with players with form and fixtures under 7.0% ownership. A bit differential options here 👍👍
👍 And 🔁 if you find this useful
#FPL #FPLCommunity

🔥 Leicester city. (2/11)

- godly fixtures till GW35
- 3.9% ownership, helps you gain rank.👍
-8.8m 🌟

⚡ Maddison
- Came to life last GW, with most chances created.
- 4.1% ownership.
- 6.6m 🌟

⚡ Chillwell
- 2.3 % ownership, enabler.👍
- 5.0m 🌟
🔥 Spurs (3/11)

- Playing a bit deep this season, but also coming forward at times
- bagged a goal and assist last GW.
- 6.7 % ownership. A bargain 👍👍
- Fixtures smooth from GW30- GW38
- 9.3m 🌟
Read 13 tweets
Below is a thread of a potential digne replacements ♻️. The players listed are of the same price or cheaper of digne.
Like and Retweet♻️ If you find this helpful.
#FPL #FPLCommunity #FantasyPL
@FPL_physio @FplLogic @FPL_Audit @fpl_sheikh

The map shows the Total shots taken, missed shots, blocked shots or saved shots.
👕 Ricardo Pereira (LEI)
✔️ 11.9 % ownership
✔️ Fixtures looking very smooth from GW27
✔️A goal threat
✔️ Often a winger
✔️Avg xG of 2.63 in the last 10.
✔️ Avg xA of 7.05 in the last 10.
Read 13 tweets
A thread on players under 15 percent owned to keep an eye on in #FPL

If you're trying to make up ground and chase down mini league leaders you won't do that by selecting the same players as everyone else

Its all about differentials

RTs Appreciated from the #FPLCommunity
Hugo Lloris he has the odd rush of blood to the head but otherwise top keeper. After United Spurs fixtures are money. Just over 5 percent owned the cheapest of the premium top 6 keepers (that start) could be worth a look if Liverpool are about to hit a rough patch
One of the cheapest starting defenders in the game at 3.9m perfect enabler especially on a wildcard. Saints look like they have improved under their new coach. Won't return every week but perfect bench fodder
Read 16 tweets
here is my prerview of my January & February schedule for the 20 PL teams & I will give my opinion on which players standout & which players to avoid
Thread is a bit ling tho😅, but hope it helps you guys
RTs r appreciated :)
Fixtures- whu CHE CAR mci hud SOU BOU
Fixture rating-👍
Standout Options – PE Aubameyang (£11.4m)
Differential Options – Iwobi (£5.4m), Xhaka (£5.3m)
Avoid DEFs, GKs {they seriously can't keep a goddamn CS}
Fixtures- eve WHU CHE car liv WOL ars
Fixture rating-👎
Standout Options – Ryan Fraser (£6.1m), Callum Wilson (£6.7m)
Differential Options – Davy Brooks (£5.1m), Junior Stanislas (£6.0m)
Avoid DEF, GK {leaking goals for fun}
Read 23 tweets
A thread looking at some captaincy options for #FPL #GW17

Please Retweet and Like if you feel this will help your followers make the correct choice 🙏

#FantasyPL #FPLCommunity
@OfficialFPL @ahopcroft13 @BenDinnery @FFCommunity_ @FPL_Hana @FPL_Partridge @FPL_Fly @FplFreddo
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*⃣*⃣ Harry Kane *⃣*⃣

📻 Burnley(H)
Last 5⃣ matches:
⚽ Goals 3
🎯 Assists 2
Points: 3⃣0⃣

💣 Loves playing over the congested Christmas schedule and Burnley have one of the worst defense this season.
❗ Can be inconsistent.

#FPL #GW17 #FantasyPL #FPLCommunity
Safe © Options

*⃣*⃣ Aubameyang *⃣*⃣

📻 Southampton (A)
Last 5⃣ matches:
⚽ Goals 3
🎯 Assists 2
Points: 3⃣3⃣

💣 The highest scoring forward & in good form. SOU defense is ragged to say the least.
❗ SOU at home may be rejuvenated under a new regime.

#FPL #GW17 #FantasyPL
Read 11 tweets
A long thread looking at #FPL captaincy strategy between game weeks 17 & 22.

Aim is to highlight the best captaincy choices to target the weakest defences to maximise your points potential.

If you find it useful please give it a ❤️ and a ♻️ to share with the #FPLCommunity
First, let’s look at the worst 5 teams in defensive statistics:

Shots conceded in the box (avg. per game)

BUR (12)
FUL (11)
BHA (10)
NEW (10)
CAR (9)

Chances conceded from set pieces

NEW (5)
BHA (5)
BUR (4)
CAR (4)
TOT (4)
Defensive stats cont.

Big chances conceded (avg. per game)

BUR (3)
FUL (3)
NEW (3)
CAR (3)
WHU (2)

Based on a combination of these defensive stats I’ve ranked the “top” 5 defences to target:

Read 19 tweets
A thread at some captaincy options for #FPL #GW13

Safe © Options

*⃣*⃣ Salah *⃣*⃣

📻 Watford (A)
Last 5⃣ matches:
⚽ Goals 3
🎯 Assists 2
Points: 3⃣6⃣

💣 One of the safest bets as he's gradually played himself into form. Nailed on.
❗ Playing away from home.

Safe © Options

*⃣*⃣ Agüero *⃣*⃣

📻 West Ham United (A)
Last 5⃣ matches:
⚽ Goals 3
🎯 Assists 2
Points: 2⃣9⃣

💣 Plays for an attacking team and in form. Fully rested during the IB.
❗ Playing away from home. Pep rotation fear. Limited minutes.

#FPLCommunity #FPL #GW13
Safe © Options

*⃣*⃣ Richarlison *⃣*⃣

📻 Cardiff (H)
Last 5⃣ matches:
⚽ Goals 3
🎯 Assists 1
Points: 3⃣3⃣

💣 Playing as a striker and against one of the weakest defenses. In form and nailed on.
❗ Absence of Siggy might hamper teams creative creation.

#FPLCommunity #FPL #GW13
Read 9 tweets
A bit late but here’s my thread of GW Performances from GW1. This will be consistently updated 👍🏻
Started off strong with Mane (C) and AWB and co in defense, as well as that brilliant goal from B. Silva away at Arsenal to start off my season 😎
Auba out, Aguero in. Captain Kun and a late Mane goal accounted for most of the points with a shock AWB red card..
Read 20 tweets

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