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Seems #Germany is upset about the limited number of #Leopard donors to #Ukraine. While I have long been arguing for more aid to Ukraine, I'm somewhat unsure what exactly is the core of the criticism in this case.
The decision to approve exports was good, and #Scholtz et al. deserve credit for it. At the same time, it took months longer than it had to. This discrepancy is at the heart of (at least my) criticism towards #Germany.
Make no mistake, Germany does *a lot*, but every step is accompanied by hand-wringing and vocal concerns about the risk of escalation, which undercut the diplomatic part of it.
There is one aspect that is often ommitted in the discussion about military of negotiated solution of #Russia’s war against #Ukraine: the likely future development in the Russian occupied territories and in the Eastern Europe and Europe (!) more broadly.
1/8
1/8
#Ukraine wants to reinstate its legitimate sovereign control over these territories. The war damages there are immense. Unless Russia is forced to pay #reparations, Ukraine and its supporters will be saddled with the monstrous costs of post-conflict economic reconstruction.
2/8
2/8
But at least there is a pospect of reconstruction within the borders of a Ukrainian state that is moving towards membership in the #EuropeanUnion.
If #Russia keeps those territories under its control or occupies even more Ukrainian territory – what will happen there?
3/8
If #Russia keeps those territories under its control or occupies even more Ukrainian territory – what will happen there?
3/8
Ukraine has suffered two massive casualty events in the past days and our hearts go out to those who are suffering but we have some news that will bring relief! Taken one by one they are small, taken together, we are seeing some glacier changes. 1/n
Kissinger, hated, justifiably, by many, has come out in support of Ukraine’s NATO ambition. This is not small, both in change in attitude and as in general message 2/n
Serbia, has called out to stop Wagner’s recruitment and more importantly called out russias war as unjust and for territorial integrity of Ukraine, last true* allay in Europe is turning
*others are greedy and leader based, not societal 3/n
*others are greedy and leader based, not societal 3/n
