Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #gauteng
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Like Lagos Like CapeTown.
2 bedroom apartment in Clifton,(129m2). Includes 1 parking bay is going for R170k ($9 602,27 ) monthly.
7 Reasons why CapeTown rent is shooting for the sky.
A trend to note as a Real Estate investor so that you can get a piece of the pie earlier
A 🧵
2 bedroom apartment in Clifton,(129m2). Includes 1 parking bay is going for R170k ($9 602,27 ) monthly.
7 Reasons why CapeTown rent is shooting for the sky.
A trend to note as a Real Estate investor so that you can get a piece of the pie earlier
A 🧵
1️⃣🅰️ Semigration
People are migrating locally from other provinces to Cape Town.
18% of migrants to the Western Cape between 2006 - 2011 came from #Gauteng (Approx. 75 000 over 5 years)
Between 2016 - 2021 it’s increased to 21%. (Approx. 100 000 over this 5 year period)
People are migrating locally from other provinces to Cape Town.
18% of migrants to the Western Cape between 2006 - 2011 came from #Gauteng (Approx. 75 000 over 5 years)
Between 2016 - 2021 it’s increased to 21%. (Approx. 100 000 over this 5 year period)
1️⃣🅱️ The first wave of semigration to the WC
is evident from late 2013 to 2016 & again since 2020 – in the wake of the pandemic.
The unrest during 2021 & the growing concern around the ability of municipalities to deliver services.
So,as an investor -service delivery is key.
is evident from late 2013 to 2016 & again since 2020 – in the wake of the pandemic.
The unrest during 2021 & the growing concern around the ability of municipalities to deliver services.
So,as an investor -service delivery is key.
THREAD 👇👇👇
#Funnelplots: a cheap, graphically insightful and rigorous tool for early detection of #COVID19 variants. What are funnel plots? Their link with statistical quality control. Their previous uses in health care. rdcu.be/c3LNc @SpringerNature @SciReports 1/N
#Funnelplots: a cheap, graphically insightful and rigorous tool for early detection of #COVID19 variants. What are funnel plots? Their link with statistical quality control. Their previous uses in health care. rdcu.be/c3LNc @SpringerNature @SciReports 1/N
The introduction of funnel plots in healthcare surveillance dates back to the early 2000s when in UK the Shipman case and the Bristol Heart scandal triggered the development of statistical methods for monitoring healthcare institutions. 2/N
In the first decade of the 2000's several contributions supported performance monitoring by control charts, a tool borrowed from Statistical Quality Control (developed by W.A. Shewart in the 1920's). 3/N
The story of Omicron so far - virulence, severity, and hospitalisations across the globe.
🧵of tweets from reliable sources
🧵of tweets from reliable sources
South Africa: I have made some calculation about the ratio of hospitalizations to cases in the #Omicron and #Delta waves.
TL;DR: The ratio is dependent on the pace of the spread and Omicron is so far just a little lower than Delta.
(1/x)
TL;DR: The ratio is dependent on the pace of the spread and Omicron is so far just a little lower than Delta.
(1/x)
I am using these data sets here:
Cases:
nicd.ac.za/wp-content/upl…
Hospitalizations Delta:
nicd.ac.za/wp-content/upl…
Hospitalizations Omicron:
nicd.ac.za/wp-content/upl…
(2/x)
Cases:
nicd.ac.za/wp-content/upl…
Hospitalizations Delta:
nicd.ac.za/wp-content/upl…
Hospitalizations Omicron:
nicd.ac.za/wp-content/upl…
(2/x)
South Africa's presentation I commented on the last few days uses May 9 as a starting point for the #Delta wave.
On May 9, South Africa reported 1,790 new cases (7-day average).
That means the wave began with comparatively low growth by absolute numbers.
On May 9, South Africa reported 1,790 new cases (7-day average).
That means the wave began with comparatively low growth by absolute numbers.
ถ้า #omicron เข้ามาระบาดในชุมชนประเทศไทยซึ่งมาแน่ กราฟจะเป็นเส้นสีแดงเหมือน 4 ประเทศนี้ ระบาดเก่งกว่าเดลตา 2.5 เท่าเป็นอย่างน้อย ภายในเดือนกว่าๆคงทดแทนเชื้อเดลตาหมด นี่ผ่านไปกว่า 2 สัปดาห์แล้วเรารู้อะไรเกี่ยวกับ omicron บ้าง
1. หลบภูมิคุ้มกันได้ดีมากทั้งจากวัคซีน 1/
1. หลบภูมิคุ้มกันได้ดีมากทั้งจากวัคซีน 1/
และภูมิคุ้มกันที่ได้มาเคยเป็น #โควิด19 ล้วนไม่รอด ติดใหม่หมด แอนติบอดีที่ใช้ในการรักษาหลายชนิดใช้ไม่ได้ (ทดสอบในหลอดทดลอง)
2. ภูมิคุ้มกันที่ได้จาก AstraZeneca x 2 เท่ากับ 0 และ Pfizer x 2 เท่ากับ 30% ที่ 25 สัปดาห์ การกระตุ้นด้วยเข็มสามทำให้ภูมิขึ้นไป 70 กว่าเปอร์เซ็นต์
2/
2. ภูมิคุ้มกันที่ได้จาก AstraZeneca x 2 เท่ากับ 0 และ Pfizer x 2 เท่ากับ 30% ที่ 25 สัปดาห์ การกระตุ้นด้วยเข็มสามทำให้ภูมิขึ้นไป 70 กว่าเปอร์เซ็นต์
2/
3/ ความรุนแรงที่เกิดในแอฟริกาใต้ โดยเฉพาะอย่างยิ่งที่จังหวัด #Gauteng ดูไม่ค่อยรุนแรง ตอนนี้ถึงพีคเร็วกว่าที่คิด และกำลังจะลงแล้ว (credit: @pieterstreicher ) เข้าโรงพยาบาลก็น้อย เข้า ICU น้อย และใช้เครื่องช่วยหายใจน้อยด้วย แต่เราต้องไม่ลืมว่าที่นั่นมีบริบทเฉพาะของเค้าด้วย 3/
We have officially started our 2021 SAGA roundup!
We would like to welcome our new SAGA exco member @HunganiNdlovu
@AshleyDowds :
Thanks to funding, we were able to create workshops throughout this year.
Have a look at this on our Skills portal on our website where you can access each of these workshops for free!
saguildofactors.org.za
Thanks to funding, we were able to create workshops throughout this year.
Have a look at this on our Skills portal on our website where you can access each of these workshops for free!
saguildofactors.org.za
This week has seen huge Covid case growth in RSA, centered around #Gauteng, evidencing accelerating, exponential spread.
Hospital admissions have been rising in recent days, but are not growing at a proportion that would seem to track with expansion in past waves. This depends on when you think the outbreak first began. It’s also still early in RSA experience with #OmicronVarient
Before we speculate that #Omicron may be an innately “mild” form of SARS2 we should consider that it’s likely spreading by reinfecting delta recovered people. So it’s new victims may retain enough cellular immunity to more effectively prevent progression to severe disease.
🔴Transmissibility or Virulence : What should really worry us ?
Since these two have been widely discussed, given #omicron is around. A short explainer 👇.
3 plots below - from ~2x of Rt value and 1/2 of hospitalization rates (less virulent) to basal value (~ Delta wave)
Since these two have been widely discussed, given #omicron is around. A short explainer 👇.
3 plots below - from ~2x of Rt value and 1/2 of hospitalization rates (less virulent) to basal value (~ Delta wave)
Rt is the effective reproductive no.
One could clearly see why 2x Rt would create a sharper and ⏫rate of hospitalizations.
For a less virulent and highly transmissible variant, assuming 1/2x hospitalization rate, this would still create a significant wave of hospitalizations.
One could clearly see why 2x Rt would create a sharper and ⏫rate of hospitalizations.
For a less virulent and highly transmissible variant, assuming 1/2x hospitalization rate, this would still create a significant wave of hospitalizations.
A much detailed mathematical basis to this was discussed in the past by @AdamJKucharski
While #Omicron has sparked global fears due to the possibility of higher transmissibility & resistance to certain vaccines, here's a quick look at the situation & actions that countries are taking to control the number of cases:
weather.com/en-IN/india/co…
📸: R Sharma / BCCL Patna
weather.com/en-IN/india/co…
📸: R Sharma / BCCL Patna
During the routine sequencing by Network for Genomics Surveillance, seventy-seven samples within #SouthAfrica's #Gauteng contained the variant.
The variant has a deletion within the S gene that helps in rapid identification.
The variant has a deletion within the S gene that helps in rapid identification.
This variant is not a 'daughter of the delta' or 'grandson of beta' but represents a whole new lineage of SARS-CoV-2, which the scientists termed B.1.1.529.
Thus it is unclear whether vaccines or booster doses may be effective against Omicron.
Thus it is unclear whether vaccines or booster doses may be effective against Omicron.
[Thread] Fellow Gautengers,
The #3rdWave of #COVID19 in #Gauteng has been devastating😩
There are signs of hope, light at the end of the dark tunnel💡
Cases surpassed an inflection point and heading towards/possibly at a peak🗻
But we must remain vigilant🧐
#Rid1TweetsOnCovid
The #3rdWave of #COVID19 in #Gauteng has been devastating😩
There are signs of hope, light at the end of the dark tunnel💡
Cases surpassed an inflection point and heading towards/possibly at a peak🗻
But we must remain vigilant🧐
#Rid1TweetsOnCovid
Over past 7 days, > 78k #COVID19 cases reported in Gauteng, an avg of 11,266 per day, and up 6% week-on-week 📈
Case incidence rate at 73 new cases per 100k per day - highest infection rate seen by any province at any stage since the start of the pandemic ⚠️
#Rid1TweetsOnCovid
Case incidence rate at 73 new cases per 100k per day - highest infection rate seen by any province at any stage since the start of the pandemic ⚠️
#Rid1TweetsOnCovid
We need to wait for and see a sustained decrease in cases for 7 days to confirm a peak has been reached, i.e. 7-day rolling average showing <= 0% change week-on-week 📉
But rate of increase of cases has certainly slowed passing an inflection point... 🤞
#Rid1TweetsOnCovid
But rate of increase of cases has certainly slowed passing an inflection point... 🤞
#Rid1TweetsOnCovid
This graph shows a 7-day rolling average, so what we are seeing is not the "weekend effect" as the 7-day average takes that into account. This dip gives some hope!
However, it's too early to say if Gauteng has actually peaked - need to wait a few more days to confirm that..
However, it's too early to say if Gauteng has actually peaked - need to wait a few more days to confirm that..
Of course, we're not out of the woods either; the curve can turn upwards again at any time if there are any further spikes due to cluster outbreaks and possible superspreader events...
Also, the infection rate is still very high and risk remains high so need to remain vigilant...
Also, the infection rate is still very high and risk remains high so need to remain vigilant...
Here's a humor novel you can read this #MondayMorning for #MondayMotivation. It's called Uncle Sbu and His Seven-Year-Old Nephew. It's available in PDF format.
President Cyril Ramaphosa addresses the nation on developments in the country’s response to the COVID-19 pandemic twitter.com/i/broadcasts/1…
President #CryilRamaphosa: The #COVID19 #Delta variant, found in 85 countries around the world, is now been found in 5 of our provinces. These are
-Gauteng
-Eastern Cape
-Free State
-KZN
-Western Cape
-Gauteng
-Eastern Cape
-Free State
-KZN
-Western Cape
The #Delta variants is more transmissible, more contagious and people previously infected are not protected- President #CyrilRamaphosa #COVID19
[Thread]1. LATEST #VaccineRolloutSA stats:
* 282 135 #Pfizer 1st doses by Tue 23:59pm
* What does this tell us about the pace at which we're vaccinating?
- The pace is picking up:
* Mon = 49 276 doses
* Tue = 60 999 (282 135 - 221 136 = 60 999), so on Tue 19% more than on Mon
* 282 135 #Pfizer 1st doses by Tue 23:59pm
* What does this tell us about the pace at which we're vaccinating?
- The pace is picking up:
* Mon = 49 276 doses
* Tue = 60 999 (282 135 - 221 136 = 60 999), so on Tue 19% more than on Mon
2. Is the pace at which we're vaccinating fast enough to reach the goals @HealthZA has set? Not yet.
* Health dpt goals = 109 200 vaccinations per day for the week of May 24
* We reached 45% of this goal on Mon and 56% of the goal on Tue
* Health dpt goals = 109 200 vaccinations per day for the week of May 24
* We reached 45% of this goal on Mon and 56% of the goal on Tue
3. What does the provincial distribution of #VaccineRolloutSA look like? @Bhekisisa_MG created this map to make it easy to understand. (The figures are from Mon, because @HealthZA hasn't yet released provincial figures for Tue):
1. KZN: 80 121
2. GT: 49 548
3. EC: 26 232
1. KZN: 80 121
2. GT: 49 548
3. EC: 26 232
1. Third wave? There have been two consecutive weeks of increases in #Covid cases in ZA. There were 12,531 confirmed cases for the week 3-9 May (46% increase over previous week), and 17,133 cases for 10-16 May (38% increase over previous week).
2. Rt is increasing. On May 13 Rt was estimated at 1.34. On 23 April it was 1. The Rt number is an estimate of the number of people an infected person is likely to infect. The higher the number the more the #virus is spreading. coronavirus.mediahack.co.za/2020/05/25/cov…
3. The number of tests per positive case is decreasing. Based on weekly averages there was 1 positive case for every 26 tests performed for the week ending April 11. This dropped to 15 tests per positive case for the week ending 9 May, meaning more people are testing positive.
[Thread]
South Africa’s economy slipped into its 3rd #recession since 1994 in Q4:2019, shrinking by 1,4%. This followed a contraction of 0,8% in Q3.
#StatsSA #GDP #economy
South Africa’s economy slipped into its 3rd #recession since 1994 in Q4:2019, shrinking by 1,4%. This followed a contraction of 0,8% in Q3.
#StatsSA #GDP #economy
7 of the 10 industries contracted in Q4:2019. Transport and trade were the main drags on overall activity. Finance, mining and personal services registered positive growth.
Listen here for more: bit.ly/2vpxFx2
#StatsSA #GDP #economy
Listen here for more: bit.ly/2vpxFx2
#StatsSA #GDP #economy
The primary sector declined by 0,4% in Q4:2019. #Agriculture experienced its 4th consecutive quarter of negative growth, falling by 7,6%, while mining growth was driven largely by platinum group metals, iron ore & gold.
Listen here for more: bit.ly/2vpxFx2
#StatsSA #GDP
Listen here for more: bit.ly/2vpxFx2
#StatsSA #GDP
Mercury will pass between Earth & Sun on afternoon, 11 Nov 2019 Monday. Most of #MercuryTransit2019 can be seen from all of Africa, till local sunset. @SKA_Africa @SAAOOutreach @AfricaAstronomy @Astro4Dev & others are coordinating a Africa-wide campaign for #ToM2019 #ToMAfrica
It is VERY dangerous to look at the Sun directly using telescope binoculars or naked eyes. Looking at Sun's image projected onto a sheet of paper by a telescope is safe. There r a few public events by science centres etc in Africa where u can see #ToM2019 safely (pic @samyukta_m)
An interactive map of public events in Africa for #ToMAfrica, transit timings, a free handbook on #ToM2019, posters, and a podcast on #MercuryTransit2019 are at africanastronomicalsociety.org/activities/tra…, sarao.ac.za/transit-of-mer… and transit2019.saao.ac.za
