Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #geopolitical

Most recents (24)

The original thread on what you are not being told about #EU sanctions on #oil has led many people to address many useful questions. The main questions are : tehnical (why is it so hard to make the transition ) , geopolitical (what we can expect) & operational (what other /1
solutions are possible). Assuming the #EU sanctions against #Russia will be maintained here is what we will happen technically, geopolitically, operationally. 1) technically speaking it is very complicated to change The original thread is here. /2
the #EU reffineries to accept non #Russian oil.There are many different types of refinery and no two refineries are exactly the same.This reflects the type of crude oil which the refinery is designed to process and the demand for specific products in particular markets.Refining/3
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We are LIVE tweeting the panel discussion with @carlbildt, @MalikAshok, Ming-Shih Shen, @DCTwining, @LisaCurtisDC, @LynnKuok

Stay tuned for updates!

Join us using this link:

#Raisina2022 #RaisinaDialogue
.@LynnKuok: The #US has put working towards a common cause with its closest allies at the centre of advancing its national interest. The strength of the US as well as its partners matter.

#Raisina2022
.@carlbildt: If you look at the handling of the #Russia crisis, we are flying together. We are closer than in the past, covering all aspects of #security. There is a significant strengthening of #NATO and #transatlantic aspects of security.

#Raisina2022
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We are LIVE tweeting the panel discussion with @AraratMirzoyan, @danielocarmon, @lakshmiunwomen, Charles Kupchan, Jane Holl Lute, and @ShashiTharoor

Stay tuned for updates!

#Raisina2022
Join us for the session LIVE here:

#Raisina2022 #RaisinaDialogue #TerraNova
.@ShashiTharoor: The #UN and its continued relevance have been thrown into sharp relief because of the ongoing #Ukraine crisis.

#Raisina2022
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We are LIVE tweeting the Raisina AMA with @DrSJaishankar and @samirsaran

Stay tuned for updates!

Watch it LIVE here:

#Raisina2022 #RaisinaDialogue @MEAIndia
.@DrSJaishankar: Three things keep me up at night — the shocks that the international order is experiencing, particularly in the past two years—the #COVID19 pandemic, #Afghanistan & #Ukraine, & the friction between the #West & #Russia, the #USA and #China

#Raisina2022 @MEAIndia
.@DrSJaishankar: You need to develop an operational matrix to respond to a changing world. In our case, especially since 2014-15, we have had greater clarity on how we engage the world—concentric circles, neighbourhood first, but also a conscious policy engaging the major powers.
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Good evening & welcome to the Inaugural Session of the 7th edition of the #RaisinaDialogue 2022.

We are LIVE tweeting the session with @vonderleyen, President @EU_Commission, @SunjoyJ, Chairman @orfonline & @samirsaran, President @orfonline.

Follow for updates!
@MEAIndia Image
Watch the session LIVE here:
.@samirsaran: #Global institutions created in the 20th century were no longer able to protect us from the challenges of the 21st century. We need to refocus, reengage, and rewire our world.

#Raisina2022 Image
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As violent tragedy unfolds in Ukraine, what may appear as a relative lack of #market reaction in the U.S. belies the great uncertainty, lack of conviction and anemic #TradingLiquidity across #markets today.
Indeed, only six times in the last 10 years has top-of-book #liquidity on the #SPX been as low as it has been recently.
Additionally, we have been witnessing remarkable daily ranges in the #SPX, comparable to only a handful of major periods/events over the past dozen years.
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Which is the greater military power: #PRC with 60,000 troops massed on India’s border(for ~2 years) or #RF with 100,000 troops massed on Ukraine border(for ~ 2 months)?
2/rus #Russian massing of troops around Ukraine is not just a message to #USA and #Europe, but also to #China and #India, not to write off its Military power & ability to use it; even though Russia’s economic power is now much less than that of USA, EU, China, India.🧐🤔
3/rus The #Russian’s have learned from the #PRC aggression against India in 2020, which rapidly lost credibility after Galwan. They have done everything to ensure that the threat of invasion is credible enough to achieve their coercive objectives without fighting.
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A thread on imagining impacts of the #Metaverse on “my” world. How will the job of a #geopolitics analyst be different? How will this new platform change international relations in general and the #Gulf in particular? Feel free to add your take, it’s simply thinking out loud.
1/
First, meetings & events. #Zoom events are here to stay, alongside in-person ones. But a digital event on #Metaverse could be so much better and closer to a real-life experience, enhanced by instant access to resources 2/
Then, outputs. Will it make sense to write papers when you can produce an interactive output combining texts, recordings, images/videos in the form of a meta-research on #geopolitics on #Metaverse? 3/
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It’s out! 🎊
My new @ecfr paper on how #Europe can ride the #climate momentum in the #Gulf deploying its #GreenDeal to meet #NetZero & #geopolitical objectives in the region ➡️ bit.ly/2XOK8bG
Read b4 #COP26 #COP26Glasgow
Few take-aways 1/ Image
Good that #SaudiArabia & #UAE have pledged #NetZero but #GCC total domestic emissions are only 2.4% of world’s. The #EU needs to focus on the emissions they export, mostly to #China, I argue how: bit.ly/2XOK8bG 2/
As shown by the #SaudiGreenInitiative & #MiddleEastGreenInitiative + #UAE willingness to host #COP 28, the #GCC leaders now see a political value in embracing the #climate agenda. This paper described what each #GCC country is actually *doing* about it: bit.ly/2XOK8bG 3/
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We are LIVE tweeting the ‘in conversation’ session with between @AranchaGlezLaya and @mihirssharma. Participate with #Raisina2021 #RaisinaDialogue
.@mihirssharma: The past few years have seen a major emergence of Europe in #IndoPacific with several major EU countries having produced specific Indo-Pacific strategies. #Raisina2021
.@AranchaGlezLaya: As the world is going through a moment of #geopolitical turmoil with tensions emerging on the economy, democracy, and security side, #Spain believes we should deal with these challenges together.
#Raisina2021
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1/12: Will the UK #integratedreview of security & #foreignpolicy really make a difference? It was billed as a radical reset after #Brexit & does contain important innovations. But there are many areas of continuity. A thread, now we’ve had time to digest..
2/12: #GlobalBritain hyperbole was inevitable. A “science superpower”, a “#softpower superpower”, “an independent country free to tread our own path”. But to be fair, beneath the froth lies serious thought to frame international & domestic priorities.
3/12: The #geopolitical analysis is sober. A tougher, more competitive world where China looms large & old certainties no longer apply. Yet the core prescription is familiar. British foreign policy with global reach, defending liberal democratic values, rule of law & trade.
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#PakistanArmy #COAS Gen Bajwa: #NationalSecurity in the age of #globalization, #information & #connectivity has now become an all-encompassing notion. Surely it is not solely a function of the #ArmedForces anymore.
#IslamabadDialogue #IslamabadSecurityDialogue
#PakistanArmy #COAS Gen Bajwa: #NationalSecurity also includes providing a conducive environment in which aspirations of human #security, national #progress & #development could be realized.
#IslamabadDialogue #IslamabadSecurityDialogue
#PakistanArmy #COAS Gen Bajwa: #NationalSecurity has now become an all-encompassing notion, wherein besides various elements of national power, #global & #regional environments also play a profound role.
#IslamabadDialogue #IslamabadSecurityDialogue
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Having read through the #UK #IntegratedReview a few personal observations from a 🇩🇪 perspective, focusing on just a few key points - short thread
Very good to see how clearly the #IntegratedReview prioritizes #Europe & the #UK role via #NATO
Also good to see that cooperation with the #EU in the area of #security is specifically referenced.
The #IntegratedReview appropriately highlights #geopolitical & #geoeconomic shifts and the importance of the #IndoPacific while being realistic about what #UK #capabilities can achieve in that part of the world (emphasis on diplomacy & partnerships).
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Few Indians know about the Pakistani aggression in 1965 , the 2nd major aggression after 1947. A cntry <1/15 our economic size/power could repeatedly aggress against us, bcs of its smartness in aligning with No 1 superpower, & using latter for its own purposes(+higher gr rt<1986)
2/pak After 20yrs of "non-alignment" we had to enhance our #Geopolitical power by signing the "Indo-Soviet treaty of Friendship and Co-operation," with the No 2 Super power, before taking successful action in 1970-71 [Power pyramid: Economic, Military, Geopolitical, Will to power
3/pak If we have to sign a similar treaty with current super power to ward of aggression by the No 2 power & its ally, there is no shame n it. It is far more honorable than becoming a serf or vassal of a nasty communist dictatorship that commits genocide & enslaves its own people
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Now, that the fever of #Turkey's gas finding has cooled off (or not?), time for a (long) THREAD on challenges and implications #OOTT #ONGT

➡️ The gas is in ULTRA-deep waters: mark this term, it bears important outcomes

Tuna-1 well is located in 2115 meters water depth 1/
and the gas reserves were hit 1400 meters further, at nearly 3500 m water depth.
Total depth of drillings is expected to reach 4525 m where two more layers of gas are likely to be found (accord' to Fatih Donmez)

*Currently 500 m is considered the threshold for "deep waters" 2/
Depths over 1500 meters are considered "ultradeep waters"

👉Feature 1> in comparison with onshore projects, the offshore ones are considerable more expensive & involve long term deployments

👉Feature 2 > ultradeep projects are even more challenging
Since 1996, the oil & gas 3/
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Reliance Jio is in "Technology Commodity Market". Design ripoff by JioMeet & JioChat affirms this underlying message in the market. Technology as a commodity is different from (1)(#JioMeet #JioChat #commodity #Commodities #RelianceJio #Jio #UX #Design #Market) ImageImage
Software as a commodity. White-label apps, framework & platform were in the market since a long time that are the example of Software as a commodity. Commodity trading is one of the oldest practice. Traditional companies environment are well equipped with (2)(#trading)
commodity legalities, so as India Trade & Legal Ecosystem. Reliance Jio have turn the table in their favor from bureaucracy, regulatory & legal perspective. It could also be possible that (3)(#trade #legal #bureaucracy #regulatory)
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#Occupy: Serial: "#Geopolitical Aspects of #COVID19".
Thread with recent articles from Larry Romanoff
Via #GlobalResearch

1. 10 Questions for US
2. Biological Weapons
3. Geopolitics
4. GM Seed-Weapons
5. Why did US not test ?

1. 10 #Questions for #US:

->shar.es/aHASmU
#Occupy: Serial: "#Geopolitical Aspects of #COVID19".
Thread.

2. Biological Weapons

#Biological #Weapons:
A Useful & Timely Factual Overview:

->shar.es/aHASWk via @grtvnews
#Occupy: Serial: "#Geopolitical Aspects of #COVID19".
Thread.

3. Geopolitics

The Geopolitical Deployment of #Biological #Weapons:

->shar.es/aHAS2A <-via @grtvnews
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1/11: Before #Covid19 the #geopolitical system was shifting from globalism & multilateralism towards a big power stand-off between #US & #China. The pandemic is accelerating this trend, as all major players struggle to cope. A thread on this, with input from @AlexWhite1812..
2/11: #China, source of the outbreak, has taken a big hit. It suppressed information & numbers. The lockdown apparently worked but was harsh. China is now struggling to reverse a backlash in world opinion through propaganda, exploiting “first recoverer” status & US disarray..
3/11: The early #US federal response was incoherent & failed any test of international leadership. Trump has been awful. But the Fed moved far and fast & some states & cities have done well. Disproportionately high fatalities would damage American prestige...
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#BeyondHeadlines: There are not-so-obvious global reasons why the #OilMarketCrash is NOT good for #India.

Heavy #QE/ currency pressure + Intense #geopolitical tension

= #India, importer & friend to all oil producers, in the crosshairs.

Thread on these impacts of #OilPrice 👇 Image
US #oilprice crashed negative for the 1st time in history. West Texas Intermediate (a US crude) traded as low as -$40.32 a barrel. So far the bulk of the losses are in US crude, -200 to -1000%! Global (Brent) crude has not gone down as much because global storage still exists.
#COVID19 #lockdown has sharply cut all travel & thus demand for oil. Excess supply of oil resulted in a shortage of #storage space, esp in North America. As they & slowly the rest of the world run out of storage, the demand for future oil contracts (futures) goes down sharply
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1/x In an effort to understand the #OilPriceWar I dug a bit. Here is what I found & another resource thread for any students that are not in school & would like to learn a bit on #markets. #ResourceThread

A. It. began with the #Corvid19 = ⬇️ demand.
nytimes.com/2020/03/02/bus…
2/x The #Corvid19 -> ⬇️ Dem. to level this ⬇️prod.

B. V. much like the rhyme there was an old woman who swallowed a fly, shell, and a host of other holiday spin offs, the⬇️ demand, would have resulted in a price crash. See #oilprice metrics.
investopedia.com/articles/inves…
3/x #Oilprice is complex, here is a site that show some price charts that may be of interest. Here you can create your own dashboard.

eia.gov/beta/states/da…
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Lets talk about the 1st meeting of #G20 #Finance Ministers and #CentralBank Governors. Specifically, lets talk about the short to medium term headwinds for global #Economic #Growth...
If you haven't been living under a rock, and you happen to be an avid scholar / practitioner in the world of #Global #Finance / #CentralBanking, then you know that the Group of 20 Finance Ministers & Central Bank Governors met on the 22-23 Feb 2020 in #Riyadh, #SaudiArabia...
The 2020 #g20 meeting of finance ministers & central bank governors in #Riyadh brought together key #Fiscal and #Monetary #Policy makers to discuss, inter alia, what #Global #Economic #Growth prospects look like in the short to medium term...
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Over the past decade, the #Fed (and other developed market central banks) have been the story to follow for those seeking to understand the direction of the #economy and #markets, but we think this might be changing now.
That is due to the fact that the stability of the #economy, of job markets, and of #inflation has driven the Fed’s notoriety down multiple notches, at least temporarily, now that the economy can in fact stand on its own and that interest #rates are at accommodative levels.
This morning’s #inflation data illustrated another example of this stability, with modestly firming price increases in many areas of the economy, few areas of real concern, and moderately higher levels of pricing power exhibited in some #service sectors. Image
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