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#Iran's Khamenei now faces a hard point of decision-making.
His base (in Iran and across the region) will call on him to retaliate.
But what retaliation against the world's strongest military power with a reckless "gambler" (to quote Soleimani!) in the White House? #Thread
His base (in Iran and across the region) will call on him to retaliate.
But what retaliation against the world's strongest military power with a reckless "gambler" (to quote Soleimani!) in the White House? #Thread
My cautionary prediction: Khamenei will retaliate not against US bases but something much more limited. Will try to sell it as the #SevereRevenge he promised.
Unlike Trump, Khamenei is prudent and has survived decades at the helm. +
Unlike Trump, Khamenei is prudent and has survived decades at the helm. +
Khamenei has never shown reckless or even bold decision-making. His strong self-preservation instinct has always taken over. An attack on US won't be just reckless but suicidal.
There are, ofc, dangers and things might spiral EVEN out of his hand but I'd say that's unlikely.
There are, ofc, dangers and things might spiral EVEN out of his hand but I'd say that's unlikely.
