Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #globaltrends
Most recents (24)
#FlashBack Thread.
17th May 2004 - #BlackMonday LowerCircuit Day.
Started learning Technicals from @nsfidai just a week or two before this event.
Remember him and his friend discussing how markets are heading lower irrespective of results.
Let's see what happened.
17th May 2004 - #BlackMonday LowerCircuit Day.
Started learning Technicals from @nsfidai just a week or two before this event.
Remember him and his friend discussing how markets are heading lower irrespective of results.
Let's see what happened.
#IndianElections & the Impact.
#Nifty fell almost 20% in a single day. Closed 12-13 % lower.
Down 32% from April to May. Peak to Bottom.
On Close 24% fall.
#BJP lost elections.
Remember the "India is Shining " Campaign.
Learnt Lower Top Lower Bottom Pattern
#Nifty fell almost 20% in a single day. Closed 12-13 % lower.
Down 32% from April to May. Peak to Bottom.
On Close 24% fall.
#BJP lost elections.
Remember the "India is Shining " Campaign.
Learnt Lower Top Lower Bottom Pattern
@FAO takes a deep dive into fresh water & agriculture in the report; 'The state of #food & #agriculture: overcoming #water challenges in agriculture' - fao.org/documents/card… #GlobalTrends #FoodSecurity #WaterScarcity #Climate #Risks A few takeaways...1/3
The latest Incrementum Chart book; "The dawning of a golden decade" is, as per usual, full of insightful illustrations...Here are a few that stood out to me...
#GlobalTrends #Macro #Stagflation #Inflation #LessonsFromHistory #Investing #Gold (1/3) #US fundamentals...#Commodities
#GlobalTrends #Macro #Stagflation #Inflation #LessonsFromHistory #Investing #Gold (1/3) #US fundamentals...#Commodities
2/3 #Gold price performance in different major currencies...Gold bull/bear markets the long view...Gold vs local stock market performance 2020...#USD index trends, the long view...#Macro #GlobalTrends #Investing
3/3 Purchasing power of main currencies valued in #gold since 1971...Look beyond the last 4 decades for what lies ahead...Historical asset class performance during Stagflationary periods...#GlobalTrends #Macro #Investing #ThePathAhead
@McKinsey_MGI has a report out titled; '#Risk, resilience & rebalancing in global value chains' it holds some good insights into trends in #GlobalTrade...Here are some takeaways...1/4 Large companies has global #SupplyChains w. 1000s of suppliers, disruption risks varies...
2/4 #Globalisation has been changing in the last decade, sector concentration varies between industries, poten. losses from #SupplyChain disruptions can be as high as 42% of 1 years EBITDA..Supply chain #shocks are becoming more frequent & severe...
3/4 Overviews of global production distribution of select industries - #Automotive, #Semiconductor & #Pharma...Concentration can be a key source of vulnerability...#SupplyChains #Risk #Macro #GlobalTrade
#Japan's 'Defence of Japan' white paper provides some interesting insights into their perspectives on developments in the region & its preferred strategic positioning - mod.go.jp/e/publ/w_paper… #Asia #Security Some takeaways...The region as seen from Japan..(1/3)
The S&P Global Ratings' 'Global #Banks outlook midyear 2020 review holds some interesting insights: spglobal.com/_assets/docume… #GlobalTrends #Macro #Risks...Some takeaways...(1/5) Overview, BICRA scores & risk trends, rating bias turns sharply negative...
2/5 #NorthAmerica banking sector overview...#Credit conditions, Fragile uneven sector recovery, #US bank earnings fall on provisions...#Macro #Risks
The Q3 JPM "Guide to the Markets" has as per usual some insightful illustrations which I have sliced up below for your viewing pleasure... image.gim.jpmorgan.com/lib/fe92137277… #GlobalTrends #Macro #Investing #Insights (1/4)
2/4 S&P500 2020 earnings "growth" estimates...Sources of earnings per share growth...S&P500 dividend cuts, suspensions & increases...The long arch of history view of the #US stock market..#Macro #Investing
3/4 #US recessions the historic perspective...US components of #GDP...US income #inequality...US federal finances..#Macro #Investing
The S&P June '#Credit Conditions #NorthAmerica' report is an interesting exploration of current economic and financing trends: spglobal.com/_assets/docume… #GlobalTrends #Macro #US #Canada...Some takeaways...(1/3)
2/3 Shape of #Recovery by sector, Corporate earning vs GDP forecast & Fed driven financing conditions leads to surge in corporate bond issuance...#Macro #US #Risks #CorpCredit
3/3 Overview of corporate downgrade trends by sector & overview of structured finance trends in #NorthAmerica...#GlobalTrends #Macro #CorpCredit #CLOs #Risks
The Fed 'Dodd-Frank Act #StressTest 2020' results provide some bland but interesting perspectives on what a "severely adverse" scenario would look like & how it would affect key financial institutions: federalreserve.gov/publications/f… #GlobalTrends #Macro #Risks Some takeaways...(1/3)
2/3 What a 2020 "Severely Adverse" scenario would look like according to the June #StressTests...#Macro #Investing #Risks #CorporateCredit #LeveragedLending #CLOs #Credit #Banks #ETFs
3/3 What a "severely adverse" scenario would do to the key financial institutions according to the Fed's June #StressTests...#Macro #Investing #Risks #Banks #Credit
The BIS CGFS Paper; '#USD funding: an international perspective' holds some interesting insights on global #CapitalFlows, holders of USD-denom assets & risky areas of the 'plumbing' - bis.org/publ/cgfs65.pdf Some takeaways...1/4 USD #perspectives...
2/4 Overview of the characteristics of #USD funding markets...#Europe has pulled back from #USD cross-border flows since GFC, #UK, #Japan, #Canada & #OFCs remain dominant...#GlobalTrends #CapitalFlows
3/4 #GlobalTrends - Market-based finance's big role in #US corporate funding, #CorporateCredit, #LeveragedLending, #CLO trends & the increased footprint of #Japan, #SouthKorea & #Taiwan in this space...Overview of recent #SwapLine trends... #Macro #Risks
Moody's takes a swing at "Handicapping the paths for the pandemic economy" moodysanalytics.com/-/media/articl… #GlobalTrends #Macro #Risks Some takeaways..(1/3)
2/3 #GlobalTrends - #GlobalEconomy...#Unemployment trends, #Fiscal measures overview, #US econ double-dip recession? Baseline global economic outlook for key nations... #Macro #Risks
3/3 #GlobalTrends - #US bankruptcies surge, overview of select nations "running out of fiscal space"...#Macro #Risks
The @McKinsey_MGI 'The future of #work in #Europe' report brings plenty of #FoodForThought...mckinsey.com/~/media/McKins… #GlobalTrends #Urban #Rural #Employment Some takeaways...(1/3) 48 cities in Europe, home 2 20% of the population, generated 43% of the GDP growth between 2007-18..
2/3 #Europe #Employment - Job growth in all regions has been stronger in occupations req. higher lvls of skills & concentrated in key hubs. Worker #mobility has risen...As #Automation increases job growth is projected in #STEM, social & creative fields...#GlobalTrends
3/3 #Europe #Employment - Demand for #STEM, #Healthcare & #creative professionals on the rise..Next decade cld lead to even more concentration in key hubs, Future of #jobs requires candidates w. high lvl of #skills, Overview of diff challenges & priorities 4 local labor markets..
The @BIS_org Quarterly Review of international #banking & financial market developments holds some interesting insights: bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_… A few takeaway...#China's non-fin corp #debt is massive but mainly owed internally...(1/4)
2/4 #USD cross border credit to non-fin corps trends show that #India & #SaudiArabia is on the wrong trajectory but #Mexico is perhaps of most concern, + it faces steep financing needs 4 the sovereign & the SOE (PEMEX?) has plenty of foreign curr bonds outstanding...
The @McKinsey_MGI 'The future of #Asia: Decoding the value & performance of corporate Asia' report provides some interesting #insights: mckinsey.com/featured-insig… A few takeaways...(1/5) Asia's corporates: Capturing the top line but struggling to convert to the bottom line..
2/5 #GlobalTrends - Corp profitability has declined around the world over the past decade w. #Asia account 4 appox. half of the decline. The world is more capital-intensive than it was a decade ago...#Macro
This @BainInsights report from 2018; 'Labor 2030: The collision of #Demographics, #Automation & #Inequality' holds some good #insights: bain.com/insights/labor… #GlobalTrends Some takeaways...(1/3) Cobots the equaliser, automation brings productivity but reduces jobs..
2/3 The #US service sector, a key employer, could be significantly affected by #automation. Income & wealth #Inequality already on the rise. Labor's share of GDP has been declining for a while...#GlobalTrends
3/3 High levels of #inequality dampens consumption growth, a problem for consumption driven economies like the #US. Tracing the arc of the turbulent 2020s. Ageing #demographics will increase government transfers which could lead 2 higher taxes...#GlobalTrends
This @McKinsey_MGI provides some insights into how the #Covid19 crisis exasperated preexisting trends of #Inequality, economic & in terms of opportunity, for black people in the #US: mckinsey.com/~/media/McKins… #GlobalTrends #SocialUnrest A few takeaways...(1/3)
2/3 Black Americans overrepresented in 9 of the 10 lowest-wage jobs considered high-contact. 5 hardest-hit sectors of #Covid19 crisis represent nearly 40% of revenues for black-owned businesses. #SocialUnrest #Inequality #US
3/3 Multifamily housing, multigen households & denser metro areas all increase the likelihood of exposure 2 #Covid19. Remote learning: 36.4% of black households report having no broadband internet or no computer @ home (White 21.2% & Asian 11.9%). #SocialUnrest
@BainInsights shares some interesting #Insights on the state of affairs in #PE - bain.com/insights/covid… #GlobalTrends #Investing #Credit #CapitalFlows #PrivateEquity Some takeaways...(1/3)
#GlobalTrends - #Climate #Risk: Category 5 tropical cyclone Amphan set to hit the vulnerable coastline of the upper Bay of Bengal..wunderground.com/cat6/category-… #Bangladesh #India
I covered #Bangladesh and it's great potential but also how prone it is to adverse #climate events...(1/2)
@HJS_Org has put out a report looking at 'Breaking the China Supply Chain' it makes some interesting points & suggests some paths forward: henryjacksonsociety.org/wp-content/upl… #GlobalTrade #TechNationalism #GeoPolitics Some takeaways...(1/5)
2/5 Some interesting lessons from history from the perspective of the so-called 5-eyes nations...(Report lacks in presenting the perspective from other nations, namely China, which is needed 4 a constructive dialogue on these important dynamics) #GlobalTrends #GeoPolitics
3/5 Overview of the data on the level of #China dependencies among the '5-eyes' nations...#GlobalTrade #SupplyChains #Manufacturing #GeoPolitics
@rhodium_group has released their 'Two-Way street: 2020 Update #US #China #InvestmentTrends' report. It holds some interesting #insights - ncuscr.org/sites/default/… #Macro #Decoupling Some takeaways...(1/4) Overview of US FDI in China...
@McKinsey_MGI's report 'Fast forward #China: How #Covid19 is accelerating 5 key trends shaping the Chinese economy' provides some interesting #insights... mckinsey.com/featured-insig… A few takeaways...#GlobalTrends #Digitalisation (1/4)
2/4 #GlobalTrends - #China's declining global exposure, Sentiments moves towards supply chain diversification and regionalisation...
The @USChinaBusiness council's '2020 State Export Report' provides some good granular #Insights into #US goods & services #export trends to #China: uschina.org/reports/2020-s… Some takeaways...(1/4)
2/4 Overviews of #US state export trends for goods & services to #China (2018-19 & 2017-18) #GlobalTrends #Trade #USeconomy - For detailed state-by-state reviews go to the report....
Interesting look by @McKinsey_MGI on #Florida's exposure to climate driven hazards: mckinsey.com/business-funct… #GlobalTrends #Risks #Flooding #US Some takeaways....(1/5)
Insightful perspectives on the #Water, #Energy & #Food (WEF) Nexus here from @CairoReview - thecairoreview.com/essays/the-wat… #GlobalTrends #FoodInsecurity #ClimateChange Some takeaways...(1/4)
2/4 #GlobalTrends - #Water, #Energy & #Food Nexus in lieu or #Urbanisation trend...#Risks #FoodInsecurity
3/4 #GlobalTrends - #Water, #Energy & #Food nexus: The long term factors and the regions most affected...#FoodInsecurity #ClimateChange #MENA #SouthAmerica
