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#PremierLeague Shotstopping Performance Graphic:
#Ederson #Areola #Martinez & #Sanchez have been class 🔥
#Henderson has outperformed #DeGea when it comes to shotstopping 🔄
Despite criticism #Ramsdale #Pickford & #Guaita have performed at a roughly average top flight level 👀
#Ederson #Areola #Martinez & #Sanchez have been class 🔥
#Henderson has outperformed #DeGea when it comes to shotstopping 🔄
Despite criticism #Ramsdale #Pickford & #Guaita have performed at a roughly average top flight level 👀
Explanation of ExSaves:
ExSaves are calculated by looking at every shot a GK faces & using the shots distance, angle, trajectory, final location, the number of defenders in the way + other things & using historical data to find the probability that an avg PL GK makes the save...
ExSaves are calculated by looking at every shot a GK faces & using the shots distance, angle, trajectory, final location, the number of defenders in the way + other things & using historical data to find the probability that an avg PL GK makes the save...
...Therefore as a rough example a shot from 40yrds at a tight angle that goes down the middle of goal with all the teams defenders behind the ball may have an ExSave of 99% whereas a central 1v1 from 10yrds fired into the bottom corner may have an ExSave of 10%.
Last year #Guaita only saved 36% of the close range 1v1s he faced (only #Kepa & #DeGea were lower)
This is because he rarely forms a premeditated barrier before the shot is struck so gives himself no chance of making the save!
This weakness was exposed again tonight.
#PALNEW
This is because he rarely forms a premeditated barrier before the shot is struck so gives himself no chance of making the save!
This weakness was exposed again tonight.
#PALNEW
When shots are from close range there is simply not enough time for a GK to react therefore they have to get close to the striker & form a premeditated barrier & shrink the effective goal area & force the striker to “just hit the ball at them”
As the images below show
As the images below show
I analysed 800+ 1v1s in the #PremierLeague last year & using a logistic regression model found that the engage & react strategy that #Guiata regularly employs gives a GK a far lower chance of making the save vs the engage & block & the engage & spread premediated strategies.
